Survival status and influencing factors of HIV/AIDS on highly active anti-retrovial therapy in Shandong province / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To understand the survival status and influencing factors for HIV/AIDS patients on highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) in Shandong province. Methods: Both Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method and cumulative incidence function (CIF) were used to calculate the cumulative incidence of AIDS-related death respectively, and Fine-Gray model was used to identify the influencing factors related to survival time. Results: Through K-M method, a higher AIDS-related cumulated death rate than the CIF, was estimated. Among all the HIV/AIDS patients who initiated HAART from 2003 to 2015 in Shandong, 5 593 of them met the inclusion criteria. The cumulative incidence rate for AIDS-related death was 3.08% in 1 year, 4.21% in 3 years, 5.37% in 5 years, and 7.59% in 10 years respectively by CIF. Results from the F-G analysis showed that HIV/AIDS patients who were on HAART, the ones who had college degree or above (HR=0.40, 95%CI: 0.24-0.65) were less likely to die of AIDS-associated diseases. However, HIV/AIDS patients who were on HAART and living in the western areas of Shandong (HR=1.33, 95%CI: 1.01-1.89), diagnosed by medical institutions (HR=1.39, 95%CI: 1.06-1.80), started to receive care ≥1 year after diagnosis (HR=2.02, 95%CI: 1.30-3.15), their CD(4) cell count less than 200 cells/μl (HR=3.41, 95%CI: 2.59-4.59) at the time of diagnosis, with NVP in antiviral treatment (ART) regime (HR=1.36, 95%CI: 1.03-1.88), at Ⅲ/Ⅳ clinical stages (HR=2.61, 95%CI: 1.94-3.53) and CD(4) cell count less than 350 cells/μl (HR=5.48,95%CI: 2.32-12.72) at initiation of HAART ect., were more likely to die of AIDS-associated diseases. Conclusions: With the existence of competing risks, the cumulative incidence rate for AIDS-related death was overestimated by K-M, suggesting that competing risk models should be used in the survival analysis. Measures as early diagnoses followed by timely care and early HAART could end up with the reduction of AIDS-related death.

Herpes simplex virus-2 infection and related factors among female drug abusers in the women's compulsory drug rehabilitation center of Shandong province / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: This study aimed to understand the herpes simplex virus-2 (HSV-2) infection and related factors among female drug abusers in the women's compulsory drug rehabilitation center of Shandong province and to provide reference for the prevention and control of HSV-2 in these settings. Methods: We screened all of 451 female drug abusers in the women's compulsory drug rehabilitation centers in of Shandong province and conducted a study using both questionnaire investigation and serological tests for HSV-2, HIV and syphilis. We also used EpiData 3.1 software to establish a database and SPSS 20.0 software to conduct the χ(2) test and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 451 female drug abusers were under study. We noticed that the rates for HSV-2 infection, HIV infection and syphilis infection appeared as 72.1% (325/451), 2.2% (10/451) and 33.5% (151/451) respectively. Results from univariate analysis showed that factors as: awareness on AIDS, having temporary sex partner after using the drug, having multiple sex partners after using the drug, providing commercial services or having temporary sex practice before being detained, with syphilis infection etc., were associated with HSV-2 infection. Data from the multivariate analysis showed that the OR (95%CI) value of HSV-2 infection was 2.90 (1.19-7.06) for those who providing commercial service, when comparing to those who did not. Compared to those who did not suffer from syphilis infection, the OR (95%CI) value of HSV-2 infection for those with syphilis infection was 2.75 (1.63-4.63). Conclusions: The rate of HSV-2 infection was high in the women's compulsory drug rehabilitation center of Shandong province. We should enhance measures and promote condom use to prevent from HSV-2 and other sexually transmitted diseases among them.

Lead time bias and its control in observational studies for clinical outcomes / 中华流行病学杂志

Lead time bias might exist in observational study for clinical outcomes. This paper summarizes the concept of lead time bias, causes and control of lead time bias by using the studies of influences of screening diagnostic test on cancer patients'survival and highly active antiretroviral therapy on HIV/AIDS patients' survival as examples for the purpose of providing thinking and methods in the control of lead time bias for the accurate evaluation of the effects of interventions, such as test and treatment, on the diseases with multi courses or phases.

Related factors on secondary drug resistance in HIV infected persons receiving antiretroviral therapy in Shandong province: a case-control study / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To explore the causes of secondary drug resistance among HIV infected persons who were receiving antiretroviral therapy in Shandong province, and provide evidence for the improvement of antiretroviral therapy strategy. Methods: A case-control study was designed with 1∶2 matching on case and control groups. Household and face-to-face interview were conducted in October, 2015. All the study subjects were screened from both the drug resistant database of antiretroviral therapy of Shandong provincial laboratory and national comprehensive HIV/AIDS database in Shandong. The sample size was estimated as 330 cases including 110 drug resistant and 220 non-drug resistant cases. Subjects were people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) aged 15 or older and received antiretroviral therapy for more than 6 months with records of virus load (VL). Subjects who presented VL above 1 000 copies/ml would receive drug resistance testing. Subjects who were confirmed resistant to with secondary drug, were selected as case group, the rest subjects with non-secondary drug resistance would form the control group. EpiData 3.1 software and SPSS 22.0 software were used to establish a database. Related influencing factors were analyzed with non- conditional stepwise logistic regression model. Results: A total of 288 cases were enrolled, including 103 in the case and 185 cases in the control groups, with average age as (37.62±1.06) years and (37.90±0.74) years old, respectively. Most of them were male, married/cohabitant, with education level of junior/senior high school or below and under Han nationality. Results from the multivariate logistic regression model showed that ORs (95%CI) of receiving antiretroviral therapy for 1-3 years, or more than 3 years were equal to 8.80 (3.69-21.00), 3.00 (1.20-7.53), compared with receiving antiretroviral therapy less than one year, respectively. OR (95%CI) of Among the PLWHA that with missing rate above 25.0% on medication, the OR appeared as 15.41(4.59-51.71), compared with not missing medication. OR (95%CI) among those who took the medicine themselves was 0.22 (0.07-0.74). Conclusions: Factors as duration of treatment, missing rate on medication and taking medicine by oneself were of influence on secondary drug resistance. Other factors as duration on antiretroviral therapy longer than 1 year, missing rate above 25.0% on medication, were related to the risk on secondary drug resistance. However, if the medicine was taken by oneself, it served as a protective factor for secondary drug resistance. It is necessary to strengthen the intervention and health education programs related to antiretroviral therapy.

Epidemiological features of hepatitis C and its related influencing factors in Shandong province, 2007-2016 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics, dynamic trend of development and related influencing factors of hepatitis C in Shandong, China, 2007-2016, also to provide epidemiological evidence for prevention and control of HCV. Methods: National surveillance data of hepatitis C from 2007 to 2016 in Shandong was used, with distribution and clustering map of hepatitis C drawn at the county level. Panel Poisson regression was used to explore the influencing factors of hepatitis C at the city level. Results: The incidence of hepatitis C in Shandong increased from 1.49/100 000 in 2007 to 4.72/100 000 in 2016, with the high incidence mainly clustered in the urban regions in Jinan, Zibo, Weihai et al. and surrounding vicinities. Majority of the cases were young adults, with 53.16% (14 711/27 671) of them being farmers. Results from the Multiple panel Poisson regression analysis indicated that factors as: population density (aIRR=1.07, 95%CI: 1.05-1.10), number of hospital per hundred thousand people shared (aIRR=1.16, 95%CI: 1.08-1.24), expenditure of medical fee in rural (aIRR=1.21, 95%CI: 1.08-1.37) and the proportion of the tertiary industry (aIRR=1.08, 95%CI: 1.07-1.09) were all correlated to the incidence of hepatitis C. Conclusions: The incidence of hepatitis C had been increasing rapidly in recent years, in Shandong. Prevention and control of HCV should focus on high risk population. In addition, rural, especially in areas with lower economics provision should be under more attentions, so as to find more concealed cases for early treatment.