Risk-scoring model to predict one-year major adverse cardiac events after percutaneous coronary intervention

Background: The aim of the present study was to develop a scoring system for predicting 1-year major adverse cardiac events [MACE], including mortality, target vessel or target lesion revascularization, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, and non-fatal myocardial infarction after percutaneous coronary intervention [PCI]

Methods: The data were extracted from a single center PCI registry. The score was created based on the clinical, procedural, and laboratory characteristics of 8206 patients who underwent PCI between April 2004 and October 2009. Consecutive patients undergoing PCI between November 2009 and February 2011 [n= 2875] were included as a validation data set

Results: Diabetes mellitus, increase in the creatinine level, decrease in the left ventricular ejection fraction, presentation with the acute coronary syndrome, number of diseased vessels, primary PCI, PCI on the left anterior descending artery and saphenous vein graft, and stent type and diameter were identified as the predictors of the outcome and used to develop the score [R[²] = 0.795]. The models had adequate goodness of fit [Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic; p value = 0.601] and acceptable ability of discrimination [c-statistics = 0.63]. The score categorized the individual patients as low-, moderate-, and high-risk for the occurrence of MACE. The validation of the model indicated a good agreement between the observed and expected risks

Conclusion: An individual risk-scoring system based on both clinical and procedural variables can be used conveniently to predict 1-year MACE after PCI. Risk classification based on this score can assist physicians in decision-making and postprocedural health care

Association between traditional risk factors and coronary artery ectasia: a study on 10057 angiographic procedures among Iranian population

Whether coronary artery ectasia [CAE] is a unique clinical finding or results from other clinical entities is still unknown. We aimed to determine the CAE prevalence, investigate the relationship between CAE and patients' demographic and clinical characteristics, and assess the prognosis at follow-up in a sample of Iranian population. Totally, 10057 patients who underwent coronary angiography were divided into three categories: normal coronary arteries without co-existing coronary artery disease; CAE without co-existing coronary artery narrowing < 50%; and coronary artery stenosis with > 50% luminal narrowing [CAS]. The prevalence of CAE was 1.5%. Compared to the normal individuals, the CAE patients were older, were more frequently male, and had higher rates of myocardial infarction [MI]. The CAE patients had a lower frequency of diabetes and MI than the CAS group. The CAE patients were largely focused between 40 to 60 years of age. The right coronary and left anterior descending arteries were the most involved arteries, and ectasia was located more frequently in the proximal part of these arteries. Patients with ectasia in the three main vessels had higher rates of MI. After a mean follow-up of 54.23 +/- 18.41 months, chest pain and dyspnea on exertion remained the main complaint in more than 97% of the patients, leading to hospital admission in more than 14%. There was no relationship between the presence of ectasia and conventional risk factors. According to our study, pure CAE may be deemed a benign feature of atherosclerosis; however, it can lead to frequent hospital admissions because of the persistence of cardiovascular symptoms

Frequency and predictors of renal artery stenosis in patients undergoing simultaneous coronary and renal catheterization

Atherosclerotic renal artery stenosis [ARAS] remains underdiagnosed due to its nonspecific demonstrations. We aimed to both estimate the frequency of ARAS in high-risk non-selected patients undergoing simultaneous coronary and renal catheterization and possibly identify a predictive model for ARAS using baseline clinical, laboratory, and coronary angiographic variables. The records of 866 patients aged >/= 21 years undergoing simultaneous coronary and renal angiography were retrieved for analysis from our computerized database. The degree of ARAS was estimated visually by experienced attending interventional cardiologists. Lesions with an estimated stenosis of >/= 50% were considered significant. Multivariable stepwise logistic regression models were used to identify the risk factors predicting the presence and extent of ARAS. Of a total of 866 consecutive patients undergoing renal angiography in conjunction with coronary angiography [mean age +/- SD: 63.06 +/- 10.32, ranging from 24 to 89 years], 454 [57%] were men. A total of 345 [39.8%] cases had significant ARAS, 77 [22.3%] of which were bilateral. Using significant ARAS as the dependent variable, six variables were identified as the independent predictors significantly associated with the presence of ARAS, namely age, female sex [male sex was found to be a protector], hypertension, history of renal failure, left anterior descending artery [LAD] stenosis > 50%, and left circumflex artery [LCX] stenosis > 50%. The Gensini score was not found to be a predictor of the presence of ARAS, but it was more likely associated with a trend towards a more extensive ARAS [adjusted OR = 1.00, 95% CI = 1.00-1.01; p value = 0.039]. Other independent determinants of the ARAS extent were the same as the predictors of the ARAS presence. Although risk versus benefit was not tested in this study, it seems that clinicians could consider renal catheterization in combination with coronary angiography particularly in female patients with advanced age and with significant coronary artery stenoses in the LAD and LCX

Anatomy of atrioventricular node artery and pattern of dominancy in normal coronary subjects: a comparison between individuals with and without isolated right bundle branch block

Isolated right bundle branch block [RBBB] is a common finding in the general population. The atrioventricular node [AVN] artery contributes to the blood supply of the right bundle branch. Our hypothesis was that the anatomy of the AVN artery and the pattern of dominancy differ between subjects with and without RBBB. We retrospectively studied the coronary angiography of 92 patients with RBBB and 184 age- and gender-matched controls without RBBB. All the subjects had angiographically proven normal coronary arteries. The dominant circulation and precise origin of the AVN artery were determined in each subject. Obtained data were compared between the two study groups. There was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of dominancy [p value = 0.200]. Origination of the AVN artery from the right circulatory system was more common in both groups, but this pattern was more prevalent in the cases than in the controls [p value = 0.021]. There was a great variation of the AVN artery origin. In the total study population, the AVN artery was more commonly separated from a non crux origin than from the crux area. The prevalence of the non-crux origination of the AVN artery was significantly higher in the cases than in the controls [p value < 0.001]. While the origination of the AVN artery from the right circulatory system was more common in both groups, the prevalence of the right origin of the AVN artery was significantly higher in the cases than in the controls. We observed that the AVN artery most commonly originated from the dominant artery but not necessarily from the crux. The anatomy of the AVN artery but not the pattern of dominancy is somewhat different in subjects with RBBB compared with normal individuals

Measurement of atrial septal defect size: a comparative study between transesophageal echocardiography and balloon occlusive diameter method

Transcatheter closure of atrial septal defect secundum [ASD-II] has become an alternative method for surgery. We sought to compare the two-dimensional transesophageal echocardiography [TEE] method for measuring atrial septal defect with balloon occlusive diameter [BOD] in transcatheter ASD-II closure. A total of 39 patients [71.1% female, mean age: 35.31 +/- 15.37 years] who underwent successful transcatheter closure of ASD-II between November 2005 and July 2008 were enrolled in this study. Transthoracic echocardiography [TTE] and TEE were performed to select suitable cases for device closure and measure the defect size before the procedure, and BOD measurement was performed during catheterization via TEE. The final size of the selected device was usually either equal to or 1-2 mm larger than the BOD of the defect. The mean defect size obtained by TEE and BOD was 18.50 +/- 5.08 mm and 22.86 +/- 4.76 mm, respectively. The mean difference between the values of ASD size obtained by TEE and BOD was 4.36 +/- 2.93 mm. In comparison with BOD, TEE underestimated the defect size in 94.9%, but TEE value being equal to BOD was observed in 5.1%. There was a good linear correlation between the two measurements: BOD=0.773 ASD size by TEE+8.562; r2=67.9.1%. A negative correlation was found between TEE sizing and the difference between BOD and TEE values [r=-0.394, p value=0.013]. In this study, BOD was larger than ASD size obtained by two-dimensional TEE. However, TEE maximal defect sizing correlates with BOD and may provide credible information in device size selection for transcatheter ASD closure

Comparison of short-term clinical outcome of non-ST elevation versus ST elevation myocardial infarction

Studies on the prognosis of ST elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI] versus non-ST elevation myocardial infarction [non-STEMI] have shown different results. The present study was designed to compare the early outcome and left ventricular systolic function of patients with ST and non-ST elevation myocardial infarction. The patients' information was derived from 10,065 consecutive patients hospitalized in Tehran Heart Center with acute MI [2007 patients with STEMI and 8058 with non-STEMI]. The baseline clinical characteristics, post-MI complications, left ventricular systolic functions, and 30-day mortality rates were compared. A history of current cigarette smoking, opium addiction, and brain stroke was more frequent in the STEMI patients, whereas hyperlipidemia, hypertension, and obesity were found more in the non-STEMI group. Ejection fraction was higher in the non-STEMI patients than that in the STEMI group, and anterior wall infarction was detected more frequently in the STEMI cases. A history of coronary artery bypass grafting and also percutaneous coronary intervention was observed more in the non-STEMI group. Amongst the in-hospital complications, ventricular arrhythmias [1.4 vs. 0.5, P<0.001] and pulmonary edema [0.4 vs. 0.1, P=0.002] were more prevalent in the STEMI cases. The 30-day mortality rate in the STEMI group was higher than that in the non-STEMI group [5.5 vs. 2.4, P<0.001]. Early mortality in both groups was dependant on advanced age, diabetes mellitus, post-MI bradycardia, and atrioventricular block. Also, female gender and pulmonary edema in the STEMI group and family history of MI in the non-STEMI patients could predict 30-day mortality. There were several differences in the baseline characteristics and early outcome between the two types of STEMI and non-STEMI. The 30-day mortality rate was higher in the STEMI group than that in the non-STEMI group

Using workload to predict left main coronary artery stenosis in candidates for coronary angiography

Coronary angiography, albeit a safe procedure, may cause serious complications especially in patients with left main stenosis [LMS].This study was designed to investigate the efficacy of workload achieved by exercise tolerance test [ETT] in predicting LMS in candidates for coronary angiography. A total of 743 patients with a positive ETT who subsequently underwent cardiac catheterization were retrospectively studied. Different risk factors were compared among the patients with and without LMS. A multivariate forward stepwise logistic regression analysis was used to identify the main predictors of LMS. Among our 743 patients, 72% were male and 41 [5.5%] had LMS >/= 50%. Patients with LMS, by comparison with those without LMS, were older and were more likely to be male and had higher percentages of ejection fraction less than 35% [EF 7, LMS was found in 8.3% and 3.6%, respectively [P=0.006]. The risk of having LMS in the men with METs 7 [OR=3, P=0.003, 95% CI=1.50-6.00]. Among the patients with LMS, stenosis >/= 70% was found in 44% in METs 7. Lower METs correlated with an increased likelihood of significant LMS in the patients, especially if they were male, who had a positive exercise test and were suspected of coronary artery disease. It is, therefore, advisable that patients with METs