ABSTRACT
Objective:The prognosis of cancer patients depends not only on tumor related factors, but also on host related factors, especially systemic inflammatory response. Based on the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes (NLR), the ratio of platelets to lymphocytes (PLR) and the ratio of lymphocytes to monocytes (LMR), we constructed a systemic inflammation model to predict the survival time of patients with gastric cancer (GC) after radical gastrectomy.Methods:Two hundred and five patients with GC who underwent radical resection from January 2011 to January 2017 were selected in Qinghai Provincial Communications Hospital and Red Cross Hospital of Qinghai Province. NLR, PLR and LMR were collected before operation. The best truncation values of NLR, PLR and LMR were obtained by ROC curve and systemic inflammatory marker score (SIMS) was constructed. The clinical value of SIMS was analyzed by single factor and multi factor Cox risk proportion model.Results:All patients were followed up for an average of (63.47 ± 10.36) months (range 20 to 65 months). The median survival time was 56 months. The one-year mortality rate was 6.3%, the three-year mortality rate was 26.2%, and the five-year mortality rate was 34.6%. The AUC of NLR, PLR and LMR were 0.745, 0.805 and 0.866 respectively, and the best truncation values were 3.11, 144 and 3.34 respectively. The mortality of patients with NLR > 3.11, PLR > 144, LMR ≤ 3.34 was higher than that of patients with NLR ≤ 3.11, PLR ≤ 114, LMR > 3.34 ( χ2 = 10.491, 14.658 and 38.765; P<0.01); there were differences in survival curves among different groups of NLR, PLR, LMR ( P < 0.05). The survival curves of different scores of SIMS were different ( P < 0.05). Age ( HR = 1.358, 95% CI 1.153 to 1.599), T stage-T 3 ( HR = 2.739, 95% CI 1.200 to 6.248), T stage-T 4 ( HR = 3.013, 95% CI 1.312 to 6.920), N stage-N 2 ( HR = 5.832, 95% CI 2.974 to 11.455), pathological stage Ⅲ ( HR = 2.962, 95% CI 1.835 to 4.646), lymphovascular invasion ( HR = 1.813, 95% CI 1.274 to 3.642), SIMS-1 ( HR = 7.065, 95% CI 4.673 to 10.692), SIMS-2 ( HR = 7.885, 95% CI 4.991 to 12.435), SIMS-3 ( HR = 8.365, 95% CI 5.635 to 3.485) were the independent risk factors of GC patients′ death ( P < 0.05). Conclusions:This study successfully constructs Sims and confirms that preoperative Sims is a relatively easy, easy to obtain and low-cost prognosis index for GC patients, which can be used to evaluate the survival time of GC patients before operation.
ABSTRACT
<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To understand the current status of the disease burden of liver cancer in Jinchang cohort.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>All the liver cancer death data from 2001 to 2013 and medical records of liver cancer cases from 2001 to 2010 in Jinchang cohort were collected for the analyses of the mortality, standardized mortality, potential years of life lost (PYLL) and working PYLL (WPYLL) associated with liver cancer. Spearman correlation and the average growth rate were used to analyze the trends.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>A total of 207 liver cancer deaths occurred in Jinchang cohort from 2001 to 2013, accounting for 16.68% of total cancer deaths. There were 259 liver cancer inpatients, accounting for 6.79% of the total cancer cases inpatients, in which 83 died (32.05%). Liver cancer death mainly occurred in males, accounting for 88.89%, and the liver cancer deaths in females accounted for 11.11%. The standardized mortality rate was 42.32/100,000 in males and 15.31/100,000 in females. The growth rate of liver cancer mortality was 5.62% from 2001 to 2013. Liver cancer deaths mainly occurred in age groups 60-69 years (26.57%) and 50-59 years (24.15%). The PYLL was 2906.76 person-years, the average PYLL was 14.04 years. The WPYLL was 1477.00 person-years and the average WPYLL was 7.14 years. The direct economic burden of liver cancer was 6270.78 Yuan per person, 301.75 Yuan per day. The average stay of hospitalization was 21.32 days.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>The mortality rate of liver cancer is increasing and the disease burden is still heavy.</p>