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Objective To predict incidence trend of brucellosis in Anyang,Henan Province,so as to provide basis for instituting aimed preventive management.Methods To construct gray model (GM) according to incidence and rate of brucellosis of Anyang from 2004 to 2015,and predict the incidence rate of brucellosis of Anyang from 2016 to 2018.The data of brucellosis in Anyang were from the Infectious Disease Report Information Management System for Disease Control,China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention,the population data were from Anyang Bureau of Statistics.Results The GM (1,1) had good accuracy in predicting and test,the posterior error ratio (C) =0.32,and the probability value (P) =0.99.The model could be used for extrapolating prediction.The actual incidence rate was compared with the predicted value,the value was basically consistent,fit effect was good.The predictive morbidity of brucellosis was 2.92/105,3.12/105 and 3.43/105 from 2016 to 2018 in Anyang,the incidence showed an increasing trend.Conclusions The GM (1,1) has high precision for predicting incidence of brucellosis.We need to take into account the epidemic characteristics of infectious diseases and social factors in actual practice.
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Objective@#To study the VP1 gene of coxsackievirus A6 (CVA6) and to reveal the molecular epidemiologic characteristics of CVA6 related to hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Anyang city from 2011 to 2015.@*Methods@#Serotypes of human enterovirus (HEV) were detected with the real-time RT-PCR from the clinical specimens. Primers were designed and used to amply and sequence the VP1 region of CVA6. Phylogenetic tree was constructed and phylogenetic analysis was performed. Selection pressures of the VP1 gene were evaluated for different subgenotypes of CVA6 circulating in China in recent years.@*Results@#A total of 365 specimens with CVA6 positivity were identified in Anyang city during 2011—2015. CVA6 specimens accounted for 19.59% of all HEV-positive specimens. Phylogenetic analysis showed that all CVA6 strains were divided into four genotypes and the genotype D was further divided into two subgenotypes. Among the twenty-two Anyang sequences involved in the phylogeny of CVA6, five sequences belonged to subgenotype D1 and the other seventeen sequences belonged to subgenotype D2. The values of selection pressure of the Chinese CVA6 strains within subgenotype D1 and subgenotype D2 were 0.031 and 0.075, respectively. Only one positively selected site was detected in the VP1 gene of subgenotype D1, meanwhile four were detected in the VP1 gene of subgenotype D2.@*Conclusions@#Subgenotype D1 and its successor, subgenotype D2, circulated in Anyang city during 2011—2015. The subgenotype replacement from CVA6 subgenotype D1 to CVA6 subgenotype D2 and the continuous transmission of CVA6 subgenotype D2 were the two major causes of HFMD epidemic related to CVA6 in Anyang city during 2013—2015.
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Objective To evaluate the relationship between smoking and p53 gene mutation in the lung cancer patients with Meta-analysis.Methods PubMed,Web of Science,ProQest and Medline were used to search all the relevant studies about the association between smoking and p53 gene mutation in the patients with lung cancer. Based on reviewing full text,the studies were selected and evaluated and the data was extracted.Statistical analysis was performed with Stata 1 2.0 software including the heterogeneity inspection, publication bias assessment, sensitivity analysis,effect consolidating and cumulative Meta-analysis.Results Totally 15 articles with 1 770 lung cancer patients were identified. 69.6% of the patients were smokers,30.4% were non-smokers.Overall,the smokers with lung cancer had a 2.70-fold higher risk for p53 gene mutation than the non-smokers with lung cancer (OR=2.70,95%CI=2.04-3.59).Conclusion p53 gene mutation is associated with smoking in the patients with lung cancer.The smokers with lung cancer have higher risk for p53 mutation than non-smokers.
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To evaluate the association between BRAF(V) 600E mutation and pathological features in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).</p><p><b>METHODS</b>The raleted studies were searched through Medline, PubMed, and Web of Science, and meta-analysis was used to calculate the OR and 95%CI of the study results.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>A total of 52 studies including 12 029 PTC patients was identified. The prevalence of BRAF(V) 600E mutation in PTC was 57.85%. There was a closed association between the BRAF(V) 600E mutation and pathological features, including advanced TNM stage (OR = 1.89, 95%CI 1.58-2.27), lymph node metastasis (OR = 1.74, 95%CI 1.42-2.14), multifocality (OR = 1.25, 95%CI 1.07-1.46), and recurrence (OR = 2.26, 95%CI 1.25-4.09) of PTC. For Asians with PTC, the association between the BRAF(V) 600E mutation and pathological features was indicated for advanced TNM stage (OR = 1.56, 95%CI 1.24-1.96) and lymph node metastasis (OR = 1.57, 95%CI 1.25-1.99). For Europeans with PTC, the association between the BRAF(V) 600E mutation and pathological features was indicated for advanced TNM stage (OR = 2.63, 95%CI 2.10-3.30), lymph node metastasis(OR = 1.97, 95%CI 1.19-3.25), and multifocality (OR = 1.35, 95%CI 1.01-1.80).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>There were associations between the BRAF(V) 600E utation and advanced TNM stage, lymph node metastasis, multifocality, and recurrence of PTC.</p>
Subject(s)
Humans , Carcinoma , Diagnosis , Genetics , Pathology , Carcinoma, Papillary , Lymphatic Metastasis , Mutation , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf , Genetics , Thyroid Neoplasms , Diagnosis , Genetics , PathologyABSTRACT
To evaluate security of influenza virus vaccines by analysis of adverse reaction to influenza virus vaccine,especially the relationship between Guillain Barr? syndrome and influenza vaccines.