A single emergency center study for evaluation of P-POSSUM and Mannheim Peritonitis Index as a risk prediction model in patients with non-traumatic peritonitis

Objective@#Peritonitis is a life-threatening, emergent surgical disease with very high mortality and morbidity. Currently, there are insufficient Korean studies using the P-POSSUM (Portsmouth-Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity) and the Mannheim Peritonitis Index (MPI) as risk prediction models for nontraumatic peritonitis patients who visit the emergency room. @*Methods@#This retrospective study was carried out on 196 cases of non-traumatic peritonitis in a single emergency center from January 2015 to December 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were obtained and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was compared using both P-POSSUM and MPI. The observed mortality and expected mortality for P-POSSUM were compared using the goodness of fit assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow equation. @*Results@#Diastolic blood pressure, blood urea nitrogen, potassium, length of stay, and intensive care unit admissions were significantly different between survivors and non-survivors. The AUC was 0.812 for P-POSSUM and 0.646 for MPI. The observed-to-expected mortality ratio for P-POSSUM indicated fewer than expected deaths in all quintiles of risk and this was more pronounced, especially when the expected mortality was over 60%. @*Conclusion@#In non-traumatic peritonitis patients, P-POSSUM was more useful in predicting risk than the MPI score. However, P-POSSUM overestimated the risk in high-risk patients. Although the MPI score is only somewhat useful for predicting mortality in patients with non-traumatic peritonitis, it is useful as an adjuvant.

Right cardiac border to cardiac diameter (RB:CD) ratio, a simple radiological index associated with a good neurological outcome

Objective@#The optimum chest compression point during cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) associated with a good neurological outcome is unestablished. We aimed to suggest the association between the point and a simple index measured on anteroposterior chest radiography (chest_AP). @*Methods@#This retrospective, cross-sectional study included all adults with available chest_AP who arrived at a university hospital from January 2014 to June 2019 for non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Distances from the vertical midsternum to the farthest right and left cardiac borders were defined as RB and LB, respectively. Their sum provided cardiac diameter (CD). Assuming the universality of cardiac anatomy, the cardiac structure immediately beneath the midsternum was compressed most forcefully during CPR. The influencing outcome of CPR was determined using the RB:CD ratio. We investigated the association of RB:CD ratio with a good neurological outcome at discharge using multiple logistic regression analysis, adjusting for the core Utstein elements and comorbidities. @*Results@#Among 429 patients (63.2±14.5 years; 121 [28.2%] female), return of spontaneous circulation, survival-to-discharge and good neurological outcome at discharge were achieved in 259 (60.4%), 121 (28.2%) and 84 (19.6%) cases, respectively. The RB:CD ratio (0.279±0.072) was divided into semi-tertiles to enhance clinical usage: 0.30 (n=161). The second group was associated with good neurological outcome (odds ratio, 6.00 [95% confidence interval, 1.58-22.8], P=0.010). @*Conclusion@#An RB:CD ratio of 0.25-0.30 measured on chest_AP is associated with good neurological outcomes in OHCA victims receiving CPR.