Accuracy of an equation for estimating age from mandibular third molar development in a Thai population

PURPOSE: This study assessed the accuracy of age estimates produced by a regression equation derived from lower third molar development in a Thai population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The first part of this study relied on measurements taken from panoramic radiographs of 614 Thai patients aged from 9 to 20. The stage of lower left and right third molar development was observed in each radiograph and a modified Gat score was assigned. Linear regression on this data produced the following equation: Y=9.309+1.673 mG+0.303S (Y=age; mG=modified Gat score; S=sex). In the second part of this study, the predictive accuracy of this equation was evaluated using data from a second set of panoramic radiographs (539 Thai subjects, 9 to 24 years old). Each subject's age was estimated using the above equation and compared against age calculated from a provided date of birth. Estimated and known age data were analyzed using the Pearson correlation coefficient and descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Ages estimated from lower left and lower right third molar development stage were significantly correlated with the known ages (r=0.818, 0.808, respectively, P≤0.01). 50% of age estimates in the second part of the study fell within a range of error of ±1 year, while 75% fell within a range of error of ±2 years. The study found that the equation tends to estimate age accurately when individuals are 9 to 20 years of age. CONCLUSION: The equation can be used for age estimation for Thai populations when the individuals are 9 to 20 years of age.

Image analysis of the eruptive positions of third molars and adjacent second molars as indicators of age evaluation in Thai patients

PURPOSE: This study was performed to determine the relationship between the stage of tooth eruption (both vertical and mesio-angular) and chronological age. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Indirect digital panoramic radiographs were used to measure the distances from the dentinoenamel junction (DEJ) of the second molars to the occlusal plane of the second molar teeth and of the adjacent third molars in 264 Thai males and 437 Thai females using ImageJ software. The ratio of those distances was calculated by patient age, and the correlation coefficient of the ratio of the third molar length to the second molar length was calculated. RESULTS: The correlation between the height of the vertically erupted upper third molar teeth and age was at the intermediate level. The age range of > or =15 to <16 years was noted to be the range in which the correlation between the chronological age determined from the eruptional height and actual chronological age was statistically significant. The mean age of the female subjects, in which the position of the right upper third molar teeth was at or above the DEJ of the adjacent second molar but below one half of its coronal height was 19.9+/-2.6 years. That for the left side was 20.2+/-2.7 years. The mean ages of the male subjects were 20.1+/-3.3 years and 19.8+/-2.7 years for the right and left sides, respectively. CONCLUSION: It might be possible to predict chronological age from the eruption height of the wisdom teeth.