ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To project hospitalisation trends due to selected non-communicable diseases (NCD) from 2005 to 2010. DESIGN: Morbidity data, maintained at the Medical Statistics Unit of the Ministry of Health, from 1981 to 2000, were used to model trends of hospitalisation due to diabetes mellitus, hypertensive disease and ischaemic heart disease. Linear and quadratic trends were used to model morbidity trends. RESULTS: For all three diseases considered, the increase in the incidence of hospitalisation is exponential. An increase is estimated in the incidence of hospitalisation by 36%, 40% and 29% due to diabetes mellitus, hypertensive disease and ischaemic heart disease, respectively, in 2010 as compared to 2005. The greatest burden and the largest increase in the rate of hospitalisation will be due to hypertensive disease. CONCLUSIONS: There will be an exponential increase in hospitalisation due to diabetes, hypertension and ischaemic heart disease. The health sector should provide additional resources to meet the demand.
Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Health Services Needs and Demand/trends , Hospitalization/trends , Humans , Hypertension/epidemiology , Incidence , Models, Statistical , Morbidity , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Sri Lanka/epidemiologyABSTRACT
AIM: To investigate the presence of hepatitis B and C virus markers in new entrant medical students at the Faculty of Medicine, University of Kelaniya. METHOD: 456 students (mean age 24 years, SD 3.5, 257 men) were investigated before they were exposed to clinical work, using a questionnaire to assess sociodemographic factors and possible risk factors for contracting hepatitis B or C. Blood samples were tested for HBs Ag and anti HBs (n = 456), and anti-HCV (n = 162 randomly selected samples) with a third generation sandwich radioimmunoassay technique. RESULTS: The students were from 20 of the 25 districts in the country, although their distribution was not inform. A past history of hepatitis or jaundice was obtained from 24 (5.3%) and 6 (1.3%) students respectively. None of them had been vaccinated against hepatitis B. At least one risk factor for hepatitis B or C was present in 32 (7%) of them. None of the samples were positive for HBsAg or anti-HCV, and only two (0.44%) were positive for anti-HBs. CONCLUSION: Our results support the view that exposure to hepatitis B and C seems to be uncommon in this country, at least up to young adulthood. As most new entrant medical students are not immune to these infections there is a strong case to vaccinate them against hepatitis B before they are exposed to clinical work.