ABSTRACT
Objective:To investigate the risk factors of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in very low birth weight (VLBW) infants with gestational age ≤32 weeks within 28 days after birth and to establish and validate the nomogram model for BPD prediction.Methods:We retrospectively chose VLBW infants with gestational age ≤32 weeks who survived to postmenstrual age (PMA) 36 weeks and were admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit of Peking University Third Hospital from January 2016 to April 2020 as the training cohort. BPD was diagnosed in accordance with the 2018 criteria. The clinical data of these infants were collected, and the risk factors of BPD were analyzed by Chi-square test, Mann-Whitney U test, and multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram model was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was constructed for differentiation evaluation, and the calibration chart and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test were used for the calibration evaluation. Bootstrap was used for internal validation. VLBW infants with gestational age ≤32 weeks survived to PMA 36 weeks and admitted to Hebei Chengde Maternal and Child Health Hospital from October 2017 to February 2022 were included as the validation cohort. ROC curve and calibration plot were conducted in the validation cohort for external validation. Results:Of the 467 premature infants included in the training cohort, 104 were in the BPD group; of the 101 patients in the external validation cohort, 16 were in the BPD group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that low birth weight ( OR=0.03, 95% CI: 0.01-0.13), nosocomial pneumonia ( OR=2.40, 95% CI: 1.41-4.09), late-onset sepsis ( OR=2.18, 95% CI: 1.18-4.02), and prolonged duration of endotracheal intubation ( OR=1.61, 95% CI: 1.26-2.04) were risk factors for BPD in these groups of infants (all P<0.05). According to the multivariate logistic regression analysis results, a nomogram model for predicting BPD risk was established. The AUC of the training cohort was 0.827 (95% CI: 0.783-0.872), and the ideal cut-off value for predicted probability was 0.206, with a sensitivity of 0.788 (95% CI: 0.697-0.862) and specificity of 0.744 (95% CI: 0.696-0.788). The AUC of the validation cohort was 0.951 (95% CI:0.904-0.999). Taking the prediction probability of 0.206 as the high-risk threshold, the sensitivity and specificity corresponding to this value were 0.812 (95% CI: 0.537-0.950) and 0.882 (95% CI: 0.790-0.939). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test in the training and validation cohort showed a good fit ( P>0.05). DCA results showed a high net benefit of clinical intervention in very preterm infants when the threshold probability was 5%~80% for the training cohort. Conclusion:Low birth weight, nosocomial pneumonia, late-onset sepsis, and prolonged tracheal intubation duration are risk factors for BPD. The established nomogram model has a certain value in predicting the risk of BPD in VLBW less than 32 weeks.
ABSTRACT
ObjectiveThere are few animal experiments on ICU acquired weakness (ICU AW), and suitable animal models are the main constraints. The study was to explore the method of ICU AW animal model which satisfies the clinical requirements of ICU and suitable for large-scale animal trials.MethodsThirty six SD rats were randomly divided into Control group(0.9%NS at 2.5 ml/kg intraperitoneal injection once a day for consecutive 3 days), immobilization group(the left hindlimb was immobilizated for 7d, then the immobilization was removed to 14 d), sepsis group(lipopolysaccharide at 2.5 mg/kg intraperitoneal injection once a day for consecutive 3 days) and sepsis-immobilization group(the left hindlimb was immobilizated for 7d, then the immobilization was removed to 14 d and lipopolysaccharide at 2.5 mg/kg intraperitoneal injection once a day for consecutive 3 days).To determine whether the model was successful, the muscle strength of left hindlimb, gastrocnemius/body weight ratio and pathological changes of gastrocnemius were measured at 0 d( immediately after intervention), 3d, 7 d, 10 d, 14 d. To explore the possible pathological mechanism, creatinine/body weight ratio, albumin, lymphocyte, and gastrocnemius pathological scores were measured.Results7 days later, the scores of left hindlimb muscle strength and pathology in sepsis immobilization group were significantly higher than those in the sepsis group and the control group(P<0.05), contary body weight and gastrocnemius weight were lower than those in control group, immobilization group and sepsis group(P<0.05), and gastrocnmiu/body weight ratio(0.528±0.018) was significantly lower than those in control group(0.756±0.315) and sepsis group(0.813±0.040)(P<0.05). Creatinine / body weight in sepsis immobilization group(0.283±0.0268) was significantly higher than those of blank group (0.185±0.022), immobilization group (0.207±0.027) and sepsis group (0.246±0.043)(P<0.05). The lymphocyte count [(5.193±1.493) ×109/L] was significantly lower than that in the blank group[(7.005±0.702) ×109/L] and the immobilization group[(7.208±0.832) ×109/L)](P< 0.05). 14 days later, the scores of left hindlimb muscle strength, body and gastrocnemius weight in sepsis immobilization group were significantly lower than those in control group, immobilization group and sepsis group(P<0.05). Gastrocnmiu/body weight ratio in sepsis immobilization group(0.519± 1.493) was significantly lower than those in control group(0.798±0.015), immobilization group (0.570±0.022)and sepsis group(0.693±0.022)(P<0.05).ConclusionThe qualified animal model of ICU AW can be established by repeated intraperitoneal injection in low dose of lipopolysaccharide combined with limb immobilization. Immunosuppression and Hypercatabolism in ICU AW rats is an important reason that ICU AW can not to be mitigated. Thus, we supposed that it may be the mechanisms for the development of ICU AW,which needs further experimental verification.
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Objective:To detect the clinical relevance of mannose-binding lectin 2 (MBL2) gene polymorphism and sepsis in Chinese lived in Hainan island.Methods:Blood samples from 57 patients with sepsis and 69 patients without sepsis were collected in the ICU of several large hospitals in Hainan province. Genomic DNA was extracted from whole blood and then PCR purification product was sequenced and typed by 3730 sequencing analyzer. The concentration of MBL2 in serum was detected by ELISA.Results:We found that genotype and allele distributions in two groups were in accordance with the Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium. The frequency of GA genotype was significantly higher than that in non-sepsis group (P=0.013). A allele frequency in sepsis group was also much higher than that in non-sepsis group (P=0.028). Logister regression analysis showed that the patients who carried A allele were more prone to get sepsis than G allele carrier (P=0.014, 0R=2.550, 95%CI=1.207-5.386). The MBL2 level in serum of sepsis patients with genotype GG and GA was significantly lower than that in non-sepsis group (P<0.05). In sepsis group, the MBL2 serum level of patients with genotype GA was obviously lower than that in patients with genotype GG (P<0.05).Conclusions:The variation of rs1800450 G→A increased the incidence of sepsis and decreased the level of MBL2 in serum.
ABSTRACT
Objective: To detect the clinical relevance of mannose-binding lectin 2 (MBL2) gene polymorphism and sepsis in Chinese lived in Hainan island. Methods: Blood samples from 57 patients with sepsis and 69 patients without sepsis were collected in the ICU of several large hospitals in Hainan province. Genomic DNA was extracted from whole blood and then PCR purification product was sequenced and typed by 3730 sequencing analyzer. The concentration of MBL2 in serum was detected by ELISA. Results: We found that genotype and allele distributions in two groups were in accordance with the Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium. The frequency of GA genotype was significantly higher than that in non-sepsis group (P=0.013). A allele frequency in sepsis group was also much higher than that in non-sepsis group (P=0.028). Logister regression analysis showed that the patients who carried A allele were more prone to get sepsis than G allele carrier (P=0.014, 0R=2.550, 95%CI=1.207-5.386). The MBL2 level in serum of sepsis patients with genotype GG and GA was significantly lower than that in non-sepsis group (P<0.05). In sepsis group, the MBL2 serum level of patients with genotype GA was obviously lower than that in patients with genotype GG (P<0.05). Conclusions: The variation of rs1800450 G→A increased the incidence of sepsis and decreased the level of MBL2 in serum.