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Objective:To analyse the effects of meteorological factors on plague epidemic in Himalayana marmot plague natural foci in Subei and Sunan counties of Gansu Province. Methods:The surveillance data of plague from 1973 to 2016 in Himalayan marmot foci of Subei and Sunan counties (from Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention) and the meteorological factors (rainfall, temperature, relative humidity) of current, preceding first, second and third years (the first, second and third years before the reference year, from China Meteorological Data Sharing Service System) were collected. In order to build generalized additive model (GAM), the positive rate of plague was used as dependent variable while meteorological factors of the current, preceding first, second and third years were used as independent variables. The influence of meteorological factors on plague was quantitatively analyzed by using R2.3.2 software. Results:In 2006 - 2016, compared with 1974 - 1983, the average temperature in Subei rose by 0.99 ℃, the average relative humidity rose by 3.55%RH, and the average rainfall rose by 12.16 mm; in Sunan County, the average temperature rose by 1.00 ℃, the average relative humidity rose by 2.01%RH, and the average rainfall rose by 14.60 mm. From 1973 to 2016, 11 cases of human plague with 7 cases of dead (12 cases of attack) occurred in the investigated district. The average rainfall of the preceding third year of Subei rose every 1.00 mm within a certain range, the animal plague occurred rose by 0.40%. The average relative humidity of preceding second year of Subei rose every 1.00%RH within a certain range, animal plague occurred rose by 11.66%. The average rainfall of the preceding first year of Sunan rose every 1.00 mm within a certain range, the animal plague occurred rose by 1.32%. The average relative humidity of preceding third year of Sunan rose every 1.00%RH within a certain range, animal plague occurred rose by 11.96%. The average temperature of the preceding second year of Subei, Sunan rose every 1.00 ℃ within a certain range, animal plague rose 73.17%, 70.18%, respectively.Conclusions:The occurrence and prevalence of plague in Himalayana marmot are closely related to meteorological factors, and the temperature within a certain range (but not continuously) not only promotes the epidemic of plague, but also has a lag effect. In addition, the effects of different types of climate in the same foci on the prevalence of animal plague vary.
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Objective To investigate the correlation of meteorological factors with the numbers of marmots and parasitic fleas in the plague foci of Himalayan marmot in Subei County and Sunan County of Gansu Province.Methods The surveillance data (from Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention) of natural plague foci of Subei,Sunan of Himalayan marmot from 1982 to 2016 and the meteorological factors data (from China Meteorological Data Sharing Service Network) such as annual average temperature,rainfall and relative humidity during the same period were collected.The correlation between marmot density,body flea index and meteorological factors were analyzed by SAS 9.3 software.Based on the meteorological data as an independent variable in current year and previous 1,2,and 3 years (relative to previous 1,2,and 3 years as the reference),the marmot density as the dependent variable,the time series semiparametric generalized additive model (GAM) was established to quantitatively study the nonlinear effect of meteorological factors on the marmot density by R2.3.2 software.Results From 1982 to 2016,the marmot density in Subei County of Gansu Province was 0.29-6.63 per hectare,and the body flea index range was 0.04-4.56;the marmot density in Sunan County of Gansu Province was 1.22-7.92 per hectare,and the body flea index range was 0.06-0.42.In Subei County,the marmot density was correlated with the previous 1 year rainfall and relative humidity,respectively (r =0.43,0.36,P＜ 0.05),and negatively correlated with the average temperature of the year and the previous 1,3 years (r =-0.58,-0.55,-0.41,P ＜ 0.05).In Sunan County,the marmot density was correlated with the relative humidity of the year and the previous 1 year rainfall and relative humidity,respectively (r =0.36,0.57,0.43,P ＜ 0.05).In Subei County,the body flea index was negatively correlated with the average temperature of the year and the previous 1,2,3 years,respectively (r =-0.57,-0.43,-0.31,-0.37,P ＜ 0.05).In Sunan County,there was a negative correlation between the body flea index and the average temperature of the year and the previous 1,2,3 years (r =-0.71,-0.46,-0.38,-0.40,P ＜ 0.05).After controlling other influencing factors,the results of the GAM showed that for every 1 mm increase in rainfall of the year in Subei County,the marmot density increased 0.93％;for every 1％ increase in relative humidity of the previous 3 year in Subei County,the marmot density increased 25.34％;for every 1 mm increase in rainfall of the previous 3 year in Sunan County,the marmot density increased 1.69％.Conclusions The numbers of marmots in the plague foci of Himalayan marmot in Subei County and Sunan County of Gansu Province are closely related to rainfall and relative humidity,and the influence has different hysteresis effects.Surface temperature is a important factor affecting the population of parasitic fleas.
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Objective@#To investigate the correlation of meteorological factors with the numbers of marmots and parasitic fleas in the plague foci of Himalayan marmot in Subei County and Sunan County of Gansu Province.@*Methods@#The surveillance data(from Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention) of natural plague foci of Subei, Sunan of Himalayan marmot from 1982 to 2016 and the meteorological factors data (from China Meteorological Data Sharing Service Network) such as annual average temperature, rainfall and relative humidity during the same period were collected. The correlation between marmot density, body flea index and meteorological factors were analyzed by SAS 9.3 software. Based on the meteorological data as an independent variable in current year and previous 1, 2, and 3 years (relative to previous 1, 2, and 3 years as the reference), the marmot density as the dependent variable, the time series semiparametric generalized additive model (GAM) was established to quantitatively study the nonlinear effect of meteorological factors on the marmot density by R2.3.2 software.@*Results@#From 1982 to 2016, the marmot density in Subei County of Gansu Province was 0.29-6.63 per hectare, and the body flea index range was 0.04-4.56; the marmot density in Sunan County of Gansu Province was 1.22-7.92 per hectare, and the body flea index range was 0.06-0.42. In Subei County, the marmot density was correlated with the previous 1 year rainfall and relative humidity, respectively (r= 0.43, 0.36, P < 0.05), and negatively correlated with the average temperature of the year and the previous 1, 3 years (r=-0.58,-0.55,-0.41, P < 0.05). In Sunan County, the marmot density was correlated with the relative humidity of the year and the previous 1 year rainfall and relative humidity, respectively (r= 0.36, 0.57, 0.43, P < 0.05). In Subei County, the body flea index was negatively correlated with the average temperature of the year and the previous 1, 2, 3 years, respectively(r=-0.57,-0.43,-0.31,-0.37, P < 0.05). In Sunan County, there was a negative correlation between the body flea index and the average temperature of the year and the previous 1, 2, 3 years (r=-0.71,-0.46,-0.38,-0.40, P < 0.05). After controlling other influencing factors, the results of the GAM showed that for every 1 mm increase in rainfall of the year in Subei County, the marmot density increased 0.93%; for every 1% increase in relative humidity of the previous 3 year in Subei County, the marmot density increased 25.34%; for every 1 mm increase in rainfall of the previous 3 year in Sunan County, the marmot density increased 1.69%.@*Conclusions@#The numbers of marmots in the plague foci of Himalayan marmot in Subei County and Sunan County of Gansu Province are closely related to rainfall and relative humidity, and the influence has different hysteresis effects. Surface temperature is a important factor affecting the population of parasitic fleas.
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Objective To analyze the relationship between meteorological variables and the prevalence of marmot plague in the Himalayan marmot foci of Subei County,Gansu Province.Methods The surveillance data (from Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention) on human plague,the meteorological factors (average rainfall,temperature,relative humidity) data (from China Meteorological Data Sharing Service Network) of the current and preceding (relative to current year as a reference) first,second and third years and meteorological factors data of the current and preceding first,second and third months in Subei of Himalayan marmot foci from 1973 to 2014 were collected.The association of positive rate of plague bacteriological detection and meteorological factors was evaluated by using SAS 9.3 software.The influence of meteorological factors on the epidemic of marmot plague was analyzed by the logistic regression analysis.Results From 1973 to 2014,6 human plague cases with 5 dead cases occurred in Subei County.The positive rate of plague bacteriological detection was positively correlated with the average relative humidity of current year and the average temperature of preceding first year (r =0.366,0.385,P ＜ 0.05),and it was negatively correlated with the average relative humidity of preceding third year (r =-0.304,P ＜ 0.05);the positive rate of plague bacteriological detection was positively correlated with the average rainfall of preceding first month (r =0.212,P ＜ 0.05),and it was negatively correlated with the average relative humidity of preceding second and third months (r =-0.196,-0.201,P ＜ 0.05).The risk factor of animal plague epidemic in marmot foci in Subei County was average temperature of current month [odds ratio (OR) =1.304,95％ confidence intervals (CI):1.195-1.422],and the protective factor was average relative humidity of preceding third month (OR =0.960,95％CI:0.932-0.988).Conclusions The prevalence of marmot plague is closely associated with meteorological factors in the natural plague foci of Subei County of Gansu Province.The temperature not only plays a role in promoting the prevalence of plague,but also has a lagging effect.Therefore,the meteorological factors can be considered as a reference of the plague prevalence in Himalayan marmot plague foci.
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This article was aimed to explore theeffect of Pi-Zhen(PZ) on 5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT) in nerve end-ings tension painrabbitmodel. Forty-two healthy male big ear whiterabbits of three months old were randomly divided into 5 groups, which were the normal group,model group, drug group, Hao-Zhen (HZ) group, and PZ group. Nerve endings tension pain modelswere established. No operation was made in the normal group. The amount of 1 ml saline was injected to the operative sitebetween the shallow and deep fascia in each rabbit and then draw out at 5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60 min after operation. The 5-HT level in extracting solution of different groups was determined with ELISA method. The results showed that PZ interventioncan reducethe 5-HT level ofextracting solution in operative site; and with the increasing of time, the level of 5-HT was gradually reduced. Compared with the model group, the contents of 5-HT in the treatment group were significantly decreased at different time points(P<0.01). The content of 5-HT in the PZ group was significantly higher than that of the normal group at 5 min (P<0.01). Compared with the drug group, the contents of 5-HT in the HZ group and PZ group were significantly increased at 5, 10, 20, 30, 40 min (P<0.01). Compared with the normal group, the contents of 5-HT in the PZ group was significantly decreased at 40, 50, 60 min (P<0.05). Compared with the HZ group, the contents of 5-HT were significantly decreased at 20, 30, 40, 50, 60 min (P<0.01). There was no difference at other time points. It was concluded that PZ can ease pain through reducing the tension of local soft tissues, decreasing 5-HT releasing, and promoting its degradation.