The disease burden of pancreatic cancer in China in 1990 and 2017 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective@#To analyze the disease burden of pancreatic cancer in China in 1990 and 2017.@*Methods@#Province-specific data in China from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2017 were used to describe the change of death status, disease burden of pancreatic cancer in Chinese population by specific province and age groups, including incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALY), years of life lost (YLL) due to premature mortality and years lived with disability (YLD) in 1990 and 2017. Meanwhile the incidence, mortality, DALY rate, YLL rate, YLD rate were standardized by the GBD global standard population in 2017.@*Results@#In 2017, the new cases of pancreatic cancer, incidence and age-standardized incidence accounted for 83.6 thousand, 5.92/100 000 and 4.37/100 000 in China, with an increase of 230.94%, 180.45% and 49.88% compared with 1990, respectively. The total number of deaths, mortality and age-standardized mortality appeared as 85.1 thousand, 6.02/100 000, 4.48/100 000, with an increase of 236.08%, 184.80% and 47.51% respectively. The incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer increased with age and accelerated from the age of 55 to 59 both in 1990 and 2017. The highest incidence and mortality showed in 85-89 years old in 2017 and in 90-94 years old in 1990. The standardized DALY rate of pancreatic cancer increased from 71.00/100 000 in 1990 to 94.32/100 000 in 2017, increased by 32.84%. The standardized YLL rate increased from 70.39/100 000 to 93.42/100 000, increased by 32.72%. The standardized YLD rate increased from 0.62/100 000 to 0.90/100 000, increased by 45.80%. In terms of age distribution, DALY rate, YLL rate and YLD rate of pancreatic cancer basically showed an increasing trend with age in 1990 and 2017. In 2017, Jiangsu (7.61/100 000), Shanghai (7.52/100 000) and Liaoning (6.84/100 000) ranked the top three provinces in terms of standardized mortality. Compared with 1990, Henan (104.28%), Sichuan (94.02%) and Hebei (90.39%) saw the fastest increase in standardized mortality.@*Conclusions@#The incidence, mortality and disease burden of pancreatic cancer in China increased significantly from 1990 to 2017. Prevention and control measures should be strengthened to reduce the disease burden of pancreatic cancer.

Deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on people's life expectancy in China in 2013.Methods The mortality data from the Disease Surveillance Points System and alcohol use data from China Chronic Disease Surveillance (2013) were used.The deaths attributed to alcohol use and its impact on the life expectancy of Chinese residents were estimated based on the principle of comparative risk assessment by calculating population attributable fraction.Results In 2013,alcohol use resulted in 381 200 deaths,including 97 100 hemorrhagic stroke deaths,88 200 liver cancer deaths,61 400 liver cirrhosis deaths and 48 700 esophageal cancer deaths,and prevented 76 500 deaths,including 68 500,4 900 and 3 100 deaths which might be caused by ischemic heart disease,hemorrhagic stroke and diabetes respectively.If risk factor of alcohol use is removed,the people's life expectancy would rise by an average of 0.43 years,especially in westem China by 0.52 years,which was 0.12 years higher than that in eastern and central China,and the life expectancy of the population in rural and urban areas would rise by 0.48 years and 0.31 years respectively.Conclusions Although alcohol has a protective effect on reducing ischemic heart disease,stroke and diabetes deaths,alcohol use is still a risk factor influencing the mortality and life expectancy of residents in China.It is necessary to take targeted measures to reduce the health problems caused by harmful use of alcohol.

Deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on people's life expectancy in China in 2013.Methods The mortality data from the Disease Surveillance Points System and alcohol use data from China Chronic Disease Surveillance (2013) were used.The deaths attributed to alcohol use and its impact on the life expectancy of Chinese residents were estimated based on the principle of comparative risk assessment by calculating population attributable fraction.Results In 2013,alcohol use resulted in 381 200 deaths,including 97 100 hemorrhagic stroke deaths,88 200 liver cancer deaths,61 400 liver cirrhosis deaths and 48 700 esophageal cancer deaths,and prevented 76 500 deaths,including 68 500,4 900 and 3 100 deaths which might be caused by ischemic heart disease,hemorrhagic stroke and diabetes respectively.If risk factor of alcohol use is removed,the people's life expectancy would rise by an average of 0.43 years,especially in westem China by 0.52 years,which was 0.12 years higher than that in eastern and central China,and the life expectancy of the population in rural and urban areas would rise by 0.48 years and 0.31 years respectively.Conclusions Although alcohol has a protective effect on reducing ischemic heart disease,stroke and diabetes deaths,alcohol use is still a risk factor influencing the mortality and life expectancy of residents in China.It is necessary to take targeted measures to reduce the health problems caused by harmful use of alcohol.

Estimation of the impact of risk factors control on non-communicable diseases mortality, life expectancy and the labor force lost in China in 2030 / 中华预防医学杂志

Objective@#To estimate the impact of risk factors control on non-communicable diseases (NCDs) mortality, life expectancy and the numbers of labor force lost in China in 2030.@*Methods@#We used the results of China from Global Burden of Disease Study 2013, according to the correlation between death of NCDs and exposure of risk factors and the comparative risk assessment theory, to calculate population attributable fraction (PAF) and disaggregate deaths of NCDs into parts attributable and un-attributable. We used proportional change model to project risk factors exposure and un-attributable deaths of NCDs in 2030, then to get deaths of NCDs in 2030. Simulated scenarios according to the goals of global main NCDs risk factors control proposed by WHO were constructed to calculate the impact of risk factors control on NCDs death, life expectancy and the numbers of labor force lost.@*Results@#If the risk factors exposure changed according to the trend of 1990 to 2013, compared to the numbers (8.499 million) and mortality rate (613.5/100 000) of NCDs in 2013, the death number (12.161 million) and mortality rate (859.2/100 000) would increase by 43.1% and 40.0% respectively in 2030, among which, ischemic stroke (increasing by 103.3% for death number and 98.8% for mortality rate) and ischemic heart disease (increasing by 85.0% for death number and 81.0% for mortality rate) would increase most quickly. If the risk factors get the goals in 2030, the NCDs deaths would reduce 2 631 thousands. If only one risk factor gets the goal, blood pressure (1 484 thousands NCDs deaths reduction), smoking (717 thousands reduction) and BMI (274 thousands reduction) would be the most important factors affecting NCDs death. Blood pressure control would have greater impact on ischemic heart disease (662 thousands reduction) and hemorrhagic stroke (449 thousands reduction). Smoking control would have the greatest effect on lung cancer (251 thousands reduction) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (201 thousands reduction). BMI control would have the greatest impact on ischemic heart disease (86 thousands reduction) and hypertensive heart disease (45 thousands reduction). If the risk factors exposure changed according to the trend of 1990 to 2013, in 2030, the life expectancy of Chinese population would reach to 79.0 years old, compared to 2013, increasing by 3.3 years old, the labor force at the age of 15-64 years old would loss 1.932 million. If the risk factors get the goals in 2030, life expectancy would increase to 81.7 years old and the number of labor force lost would decrease to 1.467 million. Blood pressure, smoking and BMI control would have much greater impact on life expectancy (4.9, 4.0 and 3.8 years old respectively) and labor force lost (630 thousands, 496 thousands and 440 thousands respectively).@*Conclusion@#Risk factors control would play an important role in reducing NCD death, improving life expectancy of residents and reducing loss of labor force. Among them, the control of blood pressure raising, smoking and BMI raising would have a greater contribution to the improvement of population health status.

Subnational analysis of probability of premature mortality caused by four main non-communicable diseases in China during 1990-2015 and " Health China 2030" reduction target / 中华预防医学杂志

Objective@#To investigate the current status, temporal trend and achieving Health China 2030 reduction target of probability of premature mortality caused by four main non-communicable diseases (NCDs) including cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, tumour, diabetes, and chronic respiratory disease in China both at national and provincial level during 1990 to 2015.@*Methods@#Using the results of Global Burden of Disease study 2015 (GBD 2015), according to the method of calculating premature mortality probability recommended by WHO, the current status and temporal trend by different gender from 1990 to 2015 were calculated, analyzed, and compared. Referring to " Health China 2030" target of reduction 30% of probability of premature mortality caused by major NCDs, we evaluated the difficulty of achieving the reduction target among provinces (not including Taiwan).@*Results@#From 1990 to 2015, the probabilities of premature mortality in cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, tumour, and chronic respiratory disease were all declined consistently for both men and women in China, the total of four main NCDs decreased from 30.69% to 18.54% with higher decreasing in women (from 25.97% to 12.40%) than that in men (from 34.94% to 24.19%). In 2015, the top five provinces in terms of probability of premature mortality caused by four main NCDs were Qinghai (28.81%), Tibet (25.88%), Guizhou (24.67%), Guangxi (23.56%), and Xinjiang (23.21%) in turn, while the top five provinces with the lowest probability were Shanghai (8.40%), Beijing (9.39%), Hong Kong (10.10%), Macao (10.31%), and Zhejiang (11.70%). If achieving the " Health China 2030" target, the probabilities of premature mortality in Qinghai and Tibet with the highest probability should decline to about 20.17%, and 18.12%, respectively in 2030, while 5.88%, and 6.57% in Shanghai and Beijing, respectively. From 1990 to 2015, the probability of premature mortality of four main NCDs declined by 2.00% a year on average, the top five provinces with the fastest decline were Beijing (3.48%), Shanghai (3.24%), Zhejiang (2.81%), Fujian (2.75%), and Guangdong (2.67%), and 11 provinces including these five provinces could achieve the " Health China 2030" target by the usual rate of decline, while other 22 provinces could not achieve the target, they need greater rate of decline in order to achieve the target.@*Conclusion@#From 1990 to 2015, the probabilities of premature mortality of four main NCDs were declined consistently in China both at national and provincial level, compared with women, the men had higher probabilities and declined slower, there were significant different in probabilities of premature mortality and their change speed among provinces. Based on the results from 1990 to 2015, there were about two thirds of the provinces, which the task of achieving the Health China 2030 target will be daunting.

Disease burden attributable to household air pollution in 1990 and 2013 in China / 中华预防医学杂志

Objective@#To assess the disease burden attributable to household air pollution in 1990 and 2013 in China.@*Methods@#Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 in China (GBD 2013), we used population attributable fractions (PAF) to analyze the burden of different diseases attributable to solid-fuel household pollution in 2013 in China(not inclnding HongKang, Macao, Taiwan). We compared PAF, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) for diseases attributable to solid-fuel household pollution in 31 provinces in mainland China in 1990 and 2013, and stratified the burden by age group. The estimated world average population during 2000- 2025 was used to calculate age-standardized mortality and DALY rates.@*Results@#In 2013, 14.9% of lower respiratory infections in children <5, 32.5% of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), 12.0% of ischemic stroke, 14.2% of hemorrhagic stroke, 10.9% of ischemic heart disease, and 13.7% of lung cancer were attributable to solid-fuel household pollution. In addition, 807 000 deaths were attributable to solid-fuel household pollution, including 296 000 from COPD, 169 000 from hemorrhagic stroke, 152 000 from ischemic heart disease, 88 000 from ischemic stroke, 75 000 from lung cancer, and 28 000 from lower respiratory infections in children <5. The age-standardized mortality rate from solid-fuel household pollution decreased by 59.3% from 158.8/100 000 in 1990 to 64.6/100 000 in 2013. The age-standardized mortality rate from solid-fuel household pollution decreased in all 31 provinces, with the highest decline observed in Shanghai (96.3%), and lowest in Xinjiang (39.9%). In 2013, the age-standardized DALY rate from solid-fuel household pollution was highest in Guizhou (2 233.0/100 000) and lowest in Shanghai (27.0/100 000). The DALY rate was the highest for the >70 age group (7 006.0/100 000). Compared with 1990, the 2013 mortality rate and DALY rate from solid-fuel household pollution decreased in all age groups, with the highest decline observed in the <5 age group (91.9% and 91.8% , respectively).@*Conclusion@#Although the disease burden attributable to household air pollution decreased notably between 1990 and 2013, household pollution caused a high number of deaths and DALY loss in certain western provinces.

Mortality attributable to inadequate intake of fruits among population aged 25 and above in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To assess the mortality attributable to low fruit intake among people over 25 years old in China,2013,and its effect on life expectancy.Methods Based on data collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2013,the average fruit intake in different genders and areas were calculated.Potential impact fraction (PIF) was used to examine the impact on deaths,mortality and life expectancy.Results The average daily fruit intake was (113.3 ± 168.9)g among people over 25 years old,with (103.6± 160.1) g for men and (122.7± 176.6) g for women,in China in 2013.Fruit intake for urban residents was significantly higher than that in rural residents and higher in eastern regions than that in central or western regions.Scores that attributable to low fruit intake accounted for 15.21％ of the total deaths and the population attributable fraction of inadequate intake of fruits to associated diseases was 35.00％.PIF for all the deaths in rural residents (16.50％)appeared higher than that of the urban residents (13.88％),and higher in the residents living in the eastern region (15.48％) than that in the central (16.27％) or western (13.75％) regions.Number of deaths that attributable to low fruit intake was 1.348 4 million.Deaths caused by related diseases appeared as:ischemic heart disease (472.5 thousands),hemorrhagic stroke (338.8 thousands),ischemic stroke (259.0 thousands),lung cancer (208.4 thousands),esophageal cancer (60.7 thousands),laryngeal cancer (5.4 thousands) and oral cancer (3.6 thousands).Numbers of all deaths and related diseases for urban residents were lower than that of the rural residents,with central regions (452.7 thousands) higher than that in the eastern (531.1 thousands) or western (364.6 thousands) regions.The average life expectancy loss caused by low fruit intake was 1.73 years,1.80 years for men and 1.58 years for women,in this country.Loss of life expectancy in the rural residents was higher than that of the urban residents,and higher in central regions than that in the eastern or western regions.Conclusions The intake of fruit was far lower than the recommended standard set for the Chinese people.Population attributable fraction was related to the associated diseases caused by inadequate intake of fruits which also made serious impact on life expectancy.

Effects of insufficient physical activity on motality and life expectancy in adult aged 25 and above among Chinese population / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the attribution of mortality and impact on life expectancy caused by insufficient physical activity in different gender and areas in adults aged ≥25 years among Chinese people.Methods Data from the programs related to Chinese death surveillence,risk factors of chronic survey,health outcomes of physical activity as well as relative risk (RR) on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study were used.Population attributable fraction (PAF) of different health outcomes attributable to deaths that caused physical activity and the influence of life expectancy in adults aged ≥25 years in Chinese people were calculated.Results The overall PAF for all cause of death due to physical activity in adults aged ≥25 years was 4.24％,with 4.86％ in females and 3.82％ in males.The health outcomes of inadequate physical activity would include breast cancer,colorectal cancer,ischemic heart disease,ischemic stroke and diabetes with relative PAFs as 9.04％,13.96％,14.96％,17.80％ and 16.92％,respectively.The attribution of death on Physical activity was 388 954.The most attributed death was ischemic heart disease,followed by ischemic stroke.With the elimination of physical inactivity,the total life expectancy was expected to lose by 0.43 years,with 0.47 years in women,and 0.39 years in men.Conclusion The increase of physical activity may benefit on health condition so to reduce the burden of chronic diseases and increase the life expectancy.

Number of deaths that attributable to high fasting plasma glucose among population aged 25 and above and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze deaths that attributable to high fasting plasma glucose and its impact on life expectancy among Chinese residents in 2013.Methods Data from the Mortality Surveillance Programs in National Disease Surveillance Points System and the China Chronic Disease Surveillance (2013) were used.Death attributed to high fasting plasma glucose and its impact on the life expectancy of Chinese residents were estimated,based on the principle of population attributable fraction.Results In 2013,the total number of deaths attributed to high fasting plasma glucose among aged ≥25 years old was 621 thousand,with 333 thousand males and 288 thousand females.Diseases related to the number of deaths caused by high fasting plasma glucose would include ischemic heart disease (212 thousand) as the most important one.Cerebrovascular disease appeared the 2nd place,with around 181 thousand cases and then followed by diabetes (145 thousand),chronic kidney disease (52 thousand) and tuberculosis (31 thousand).After removal of the effects on high blood glucose exposure,the life expectancy of Chinese residents in 2013 would have reached 76.5 years old,an average increase of 0.7 years,compared to the average life expectancy of all deaths,with men having an increase of 0.7 years and women of 0.8 years,respectively.Conclusions High fasting plasma glucose appeared an important risk factor for mortality and life expectancy on the Chinese residents.Programs related to prevention and control of high fasting plasma glucose and related diseases should be strengthened.

Deaths and life expectancy losses attributable to diet high in sodium in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To quantitatively estimate the deaths and life expectancy losses attributable to diet high in sodium in China,and examine the gains and shifts under different control scenarios of sodium consumption.Methods Based on data from the cause-of-death through the National Mortality Surveillance System,and 24 hours urinary sodium values from Global Burden of Disease study on Chinese's estimates,population attributable fractions with the framework of comparative risk assessment were used to analyze the deaths and life expectancy losses due to diet high in sodium.The same methods were followed to examine the gains and shifts under different control scenarios of sodium consumption.Results In 2013,1 430 (940 for men and 490 for women)thousand deaths were attributable to diet high in sodium,accounting for 15.6％ (17.4％ for men and 13.0％ for women) of all-cause deaths in China,which causing 2.17 (2.49 for men and 1.71 for women) years of life expectancy loss.Diet with high sodium in 2013 caused 1 200,50 and 180 thousand deaths from cardiovascular disease,chronic kidney disease and stomach cancer respectively,accounting for 31.5％,30.8％ and 64.8％ of those specific causes.Comparing to the baseline in 2013,if the targets of 10％ decrease of sodium consumption by 2020 and 15％ by 2030 for Chinese chronic disease prevention and treatment planning,and 30％ decrease by 2030 for WHO non-communicable disease monitoring framework are achieved,220,340 and 730 thousand deaths will be averted,which may gain 0.30,0.45 and 0.95 years of life expectancy,respectively.Conclusions As one of the leading risk factors,diet high in sodium had caused heavy burden of disease from cardiovascular disease,chronic kidney disease and stomach cancer on Chinese residents.Intervention programs on sodium-reductionare urgently needed in China and related cost-effectiveness is highly expected.

The effect of high total cholesterol on life expectancy in 2013 in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To estimate the effect of high total cholesterol (TC) on life expectancy in China.Methods Population attributable fractions (PAF) of high TC were calculated in both urban,rural areas and regions,using data related to TC levels from the chronic disease risk factor surveillance in China,2013.Together with PAFs,data related to death registry,demographics,attributable deaths from high TC and its effect on life expectancy,were estimated.Results In 2013,the TC level in Chinese population aged 25 and above appeared as (4.8± 1.0) mmol/L,higher in urban areas [(4.8±1.0) mmol/L] than that in rural areas [(4.7± 1.0) mmol/L)],with the highest in eastern regions [(4.9 ±1.0) mmol/L] and lowest in the central regions [(4.6 ± 1.0) mmol/L].TC level appeared as (4.8 ± 1.0)mmol/L in both sexes.A total of 2.9％ of all the deaths were attributed to high TC (264 998 deaths),among which 89.3％ were caused by ischemic heart disease (236 540 deaths).PAF was seen higher in females (3.7％) than that in males (2.3％),higher in urban (3.4％) than that in rural areas (2.4％),with the highest in eastern (3.7％) and lowest in western regions (2.1％).Mortality that attributed to high TC was 19.6/100 000,higher in females (21.2/100 000) than that in males (18.0/100 000),higher in urban (20.8/100 000) than that in rural areas (18.2/100 000),with the highest in eastern (23.2/100 000) and lowest in western regions (15.6/100 000).In 2013,the loss of life expectancy that caused by high TC was 0.30 year,higher in females (0.35 year) than in males (0.26 year),higher in urban (0.34 year) than that in rural areas (0.28 year),with the highest seen in the eastern (0.36 year) and lowest (0.23 year) in the western regions.Conclusion In 2013,the effect of high TC on life expectancy appeared different between genders,urban and rural areas or regions,with greater impact on females,urban and eastern areas of the country.

Mortality and life expectancy that attributable to high blood pressure in Chinese people in 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To estimate the deaths (mortality) and life expectancy that attributable to high blood pressure in people from different regions and gender,in China in 2013.Methods Data was from the ‘China Chronic Disease Risk Factor Surveillance 2013'and the ‘China National Mortality Surveillance 2013'.According to the comparative risk assessment theory,population attributable fraction (PAF) of high blood pressure by gender,urban-rural,east-central-west regions was calculated before the estimations on deaths (mortality) and life expectancy attributable to high blood pressure was made.Results In 2013,among the Chinese people aged 25 years old and above,the mean SBP was (129.48 ± 20.27) mmHg.High blood pressure [SBP＞(115 ± 6) mmHg] caused 20.879 million deaths and accounted for 22.78％ of the total deaths.SBP,deaths,mortality rate and standardized mortality rate that attributable to high blood pressure all appeared higher in men [(131.15 ± 18.73) mmHg,11.517 million,165.56/100 000 and 106.97/100 000,respectively] than in women [(127.79 ± 21.60) mmHg,9.362 million,141.99/100 000 and 68.93/100 000,respectively].SBP,deaths,mortality rate and PAF were all seen higher in rural [(130.25±20.66) mmHg,11.234 million,178.58/100 000 and 23.59％,respectively] than in urban [(128.58± 19.77) mmHg,9.645 million,132.87/100 000 and 21.54％,respectively] areas.However,levels of SBP were similar in the east,central or west regions,with attributable deaths,attributable mortality rate and PAF the highest as 7.658 million 179.93/100 000,and 26.72％ respectively.In 2013,among the Chinese people aged 25 years old and above,deaths caused by cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease attributable to high blood pressure were 19.912 million and 0.966 million,accounting for 52.31％ of the total deaths due to cardiovascular diseases and 62.11％ to the total chronic kidney diseases.The top three deaths attributable to high blood pressure were ischemic heart disease (6.656 million),hemorrhagic stroke (5.331 million) and ischemic stroke (3.593 million).When the effect of high blood pressure had been eliminated,the life expectancy per capita would have increased by 2.86 years old,with higher in women than in men (3.07 and 2.64 years old,respectively),higher in central than in east and west (3.48,2.56 and 2.58 years,respectively) areas,in rural than in urban (2.97 and 2.59 years,respectively) areas.Conclusions In 2013,the number of deaths attributable to high blood pressure was around 20.9 million,accounting for 22.78％ of the total deaths,and appeared higher in men than in women,in rural than in urban,in central than in east and west areas.The mortality burden induced by ischemic heart disease,hemorrhagic stroke and ischemic stroke was most serious since the high blood pressure brought about 2.86 years of lost in life expectancy.

Death and impact of life expectancy attributable to smoking in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the death attributable to smoking and impact of life expectancy in China in 2013.Methods According to the characteristics of different diseases,we calculated the population attributable fractions of different diseases,death and impact of life expectancy which caused by smoking,using direct method (current smoking rate as exposure levels)and indirect method (smoking impact ratio as exposure levels),based on data from both programs of death surveillance and Chinese chronic disease risk factor surveillance of 2013.Results In 2013,smoking caused around 1.59 million deaths which accounted for 17.38％ of all deaths in China.Constituent ratio of death caused by smoking in males (23.66％) was much higher than that in females (8.30％).However,in urban areas (17.24％),it was slightly lower than that in rural areas (17.51％).Constituent ratio of death caused by smoking in the eastern regions appeared the lowest (16.81％),with western regions the highest (17.91％).In 2013,lung cancer,COPD and ischemia heart disease were the top three diseases causing deaths that related to smoking,but the top three population attributable fractions were lung cancer,COPD and nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China.In 2013,smoking caused a reduction of 2.04 years of life expectancy loss in China,with males in the western regions the highest (3.05 years).Conclusion Smoking is still an important public health problem in China.Tobacco-control-targeted programs in the heavily involved areas could reduce the number of deaths from related diseases that caused by smoking.

Life expectancy and influence on disease in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the characteristics of life expectancy and influencing factors in Chinese population in different areas and provide scientific evidence for policy-making on disease managements,medical care and risk factor intervention.Methods Based on the national census data from National Bureau of Statistics and the death registration data from the National Health and Family Planning Commission,we used exponential model,under-report adjustment model and abbreviated life tables to estimate the life expectancy and influence on disease in Chinese population in 2013.Results The Chinese life expectancy was 75.8 years in 2013,1 year higher than that in 2010.The life expectancy in urban area was 77.4 years,while it was 75.1 years that in rural area with the gap between the rural area and urban area was 2.3 years.The life expectancy was 77.2 years in the eastern area,75.8 years in middle area and 73.5 years in western area,the gap between the east and west was 3.6 years.In 2013,the first 10 leading diseases causing the life expectancy lost were cerebrovascular disease,ischemic heart disease,chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,lung cancer,road injury,liver cancer,stomach cancer,hypertensive heart disease,lower respiratory infection,esophagus cancer,resulting in 7.97 years of life expectancy lost.Conclusion The life expectancy in Chinese has already reached a relative high level,while the gap between different areas still exists.Different policies on disease management,medical care and risk factor interventions targeting different areas are needed to increase the life expectancy and improve the quality of life.

Acute effect of fine particulate matters on daily cardiovascular disease mortality in seven cities of China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To explore the effect of fime particulate matters with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μtm (PM2.5) on daily cardiovascular disease mortality in seven cities of China.Methods Daily average concentrations of PM2.5,cardiovascular disease mortality data and environmental data were collected from January 1,2013 to December 31,2015 in seven cities of China,including Shijiazhuang,Haerbin,Shanghai,Wuhan,Guangzhou,Chengdu and Xi'an.We linked generalized additive model with Quasi-Poisson distribution to evaluate the association between daily concentrations of PM2.5 and cardiovascular disease mortality at single-city level and multi-city level,after adjusting for the long-term and seasonal trend,as well as meteorological factors and the effect of "days of week".Results The single-pollutant model indicated that there were marked differences in association strength in these cities,among which the effect in Guangzhou was strongest.At multi-city level,a 10 μg/m3 increase of PM2.5 was associated with an increase of 0.315％ (95％CI:0.133％-0.497％) of daily cardiovascular disease mortality.From lag0 to lag2,the effect of PM2.5 on cardiovascular disease mortality decreased,while it was strongest on lag01.In the two-pollutant model,the estimated effect decreased in all the cities with the adjustments of SO2 or NO2.The insignificant combined results suggested that PM2.5 might have combined effect with other pollutants.Each 10 μg/m3 increase of PM2.5 was associated with increases of 0.371％ (95％CI:0.141％-0.600％) and 0.199％ (95％ CI:0.077％-0.321％) of cardiovascular disease mortality in males and females,respectively.The effect of PM2.5 on cardiovascular disease mortality increased with age and decreased with educational level,although the differences between different subgroups were insignificant.The dose-response relationship between PM2.5 and cardiovascular disease mortality was non-linear and non-threshold,with a steeper curve at lower concentrations.Conclusion The increases of PM2.5 concentration can result in the increase of daily cardiovascular mortality.

Analysis on mortality of cervical cancer and its temporal trend in women in China, 2006-2012 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the mortality of cervical cancer and its temporal trend in women in China between 2006 and 2012.Methods The cause-of-death data about cervical cancer,which was abstracted from National Disease Surveillance Points and adjusted by special survey for underreporting,was used to analyze the age and area specific crude mortality rates of cervical cancer in China during 2006-2012.The age-standardized mortality rate was calculated by using world standardized population (Segi's).The Joinpoint regression model was used to obtain annual percentage change and 95％CI for assessing the time trend of mortality rate of cervical cancer from 2006 to 2012.Results In 2012,the crude mortality rate of cervical cancer was 3.15 per 100 000 in women in China.The mortality rate in rural area (3.45/100 000) was higher than that in urban area (2.76/100 000),while the central area had the highest mortality rate of cervical cancer (3.77/100 000) compared with western area (3.23/100 000) and eastern area (2.54/100 000).The Segi's age-standardized mortality rate in eastern area increased by 2.9％ (95％CI:0.8％-5.0％) annually,an increase of 6.0％ was observed in age group 30-59 years (95％CI:1.6％-10.5％).However,the Segi's age-standardized mortality rate in central area declined by 4.6％ (95％CI:-5.9％--3.3％),where the declines of 3.2％ and 5.7％ were observed in age groups 30-59 years and ≥60 years (95％ CI:-5.0％--1.4％ and 95％ CI:-9.3％--2.0％) and respectively.There was no significant change in cervical cancer mortality in western area.The similar trends were observed in the age-standardized mortality rate calculated according to the population of China.Conclusions The decline of overall mortality rate of cervical cancer tended to stop in China and significant differences still exist among different areas.Our results suggest that the central/western areas and rural areas are still key areas for cervical cancer prevention and control and close attention should be paid to the increase of cervical cancer mortality in women aged 35-59 years in eastern area.It is essential to establish a systematic cervical cancer prevention network with larger population coverage to reduce the deaths caused by cervical cancer.

Mortality attributable to inadequate intake of fruits among population aged 25 and above in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To assess the mortality attributable to low fruit intake among people over 25 years old in China,2013,and its effect on life expectancy.Methods Based on data collected from China Chronic Disease and Risk Factor Surveillance in 2013,the average fruit intake in different genders and areas were calculated.Potential impact fraction (PIF) was used to examine the impact on deaths,mortality and life expectancy.Results The average daily fruit intake was (113.3 ± 168.9)g among people over 25 years old,with (103.6± 160.1) g for men and (122.7± 176.6) g for women,in China in 2013.Fruit intake for urban residents was significantly higher than that in rural residents and higher in eastern regions than that in central or western regions.Scores that attributable to low fruit intake accounted for 15.21％ of the total deaths and the population attributable fraction of inadequate intake of fruits to associated diseases was 35.00％.PIF for all the deaths in rural residents (16.50％)appeared higher than that of the urban residents (13.88％),and higher in the residents living in the eastern region (15.48％) than that in the central (16.27％) or western (13.75％) regions.Number of deaths that attributable to low fruit intake was 1.348 4 million.Deaths caused by related diseases appeared as:ischemic heart disease (472.5 thousands),hemorrhagic stroke (338.8 thousands),ischemic stroke (259.0 thousands),lung cancer (208.4 thousands),esophageal cancer (60.7 thousands),laryngeal cancer (5.4 thousands) and oral cancer (3.6 thousands).Numbers of all deaths and related diseases for urban residents were lower than that of the rural residents,with central regions (452.7 thousands) higher than that in the eastern (531.1 thousands) or western (364.6 thousands) regions.The average life expectancy loss caused by low fruit intake was 1.73 years,1.80 years for men and 1.58 years for women,in this country.Loss of life expectancy in the rural residents was higher than that of the urban residents,and higher in central regions than that in the eastern or western regions.Conclusions The intake of fruit was far lower than the recommended standard set for the Chinese people.Population attributable fraction was related to the associated diseases caused by inadequate intake of fruits which also made serious impact on life expectancy.

Effects of insufficient physical activity on motality and life expectancy in adult aged 25 and above among Chinese population / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze the attribution of mortality and impact on life expectancy caused by insufficient physical activity in different gender and areas in adults aged ≥25 years among Chinese people.Methods Data from the programs related to Chinese death surveillence,risk factors of chronic survey,health outcomes of physical activity as well as relative risk (RR) on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study were used.Population attributable fraction (PAF) of different health outcomes attributable to deaths that caused physical activity and the influence of life expectancy in adults aged ≥25 years in Chinese people were calculated.Results The overall PAF for all cause of death due to physical activity in adults aged ≥25 years was 4.24％,with 4.86％ in females and 3.82％ in males.The health outcomes of inadequate physical activity would include breast cancer,colorectal cancer,ischemic heart disease,ischemic stroke and diabetes with relative PAFs as 9.04％,13.96％,14.96％,17.80％ and 16.92％,respectively.The attribution of death on Physical activity was 388 954.The most attributed death was ischemic heart disease,followed by ischemic stroke.With the elimination of physical inactivity,the total life expectancy was expected to lose by 0.43 years,with 0.47 years in women,and 0.39 years in men.Conclusion The increase of physical activity may benefit on health condition so to reduce the burden of chronic diseases and increase the life expectancy.

Number of deaths that attributable to high fasting plasma glucose among population aged 25 and above and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To analyze deaths that attributable to high fasting plasma glucose and its impact on life expectancy among Chinese residents in 2013.Methods Data from the Mortality Surveillance Programs in National Disease Surveillance Points System and the China Chronic Disease Surveillance (2013) were used.Death attributed to high fasting plasma glucose and its impact on the life expectancy of Chinese residents were estimated,based on the principle of population attributable fraction.Results In 2013,the total number of deaths attributed to high fasting plasma glucose among aged ≥25 years old was 621 thousand,with 333 thousand males and 288 thousand females.Diseases related to the number of deaths caused by high fasting plasma glucose would include ischemic heart disease (212 thousand) as the most important one.Cerebrovascular disease appeared the 2nd place,with around 181 thousand cases and then followed by diabetes (145 thousand),chronic kidney disease (52 thousand) and tuberculosis (31 thousand).After removal of the effects on high blood glucose exposure,the life expectancy of Chinese residents in 2013 would have reached 76.5 years old,an average increase of 0.7 years,compared to the average life expectancy of all deaths,with men having an increase of 0.7 years and women of 0.8 years,respectively.Conclusions High fasting plasma glucose appeared an important risk factor for mortality and life expectancy on the Chinese residents.Programs related to prevention and control of high fasting plasma glucose and related diseases should be strengthened.

Deaths and life expectancy losses attributable to diet high in sodium in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To quantitatively estimate the deaths and life expectancy losses attributable to diet high in sodium in China,and examine the gains and shifts under different control scenarios of sodium consumption.Methods Based on data from the cause-of-death through the National Mortality Surveillance System,and 24 hours urinary sodium values from Global Burden of Disease study on Chinese's estimates,population attributable fractions with the framework of comparative risk assessment were used to analyze the deaths and life expectancy losses due to diet high in sodium.The same methods were followed to examine the gains and shifts under different control scenarios of sodium consumption.Results In 2013,1 430 (940 for men and 490 for women)thousand deaths were attributable to diet high in sodium,accounting for 15.6％ (17.4％ for men and 13.0％ for women) of all-cause deaths in China,which causing 2.17 (2.49 for men and 1.71 for women) years of life expectancy loss.Diet with high sodium in 2013 caused 1 200,50 and 180 thousand deaths from cardiovascular disease,chronic kidney disease and stomach cancer respectively,accounting for 31.5％,30.8％ and 64.8％ of those specific causes.Comparing to the baseline in 2013,if the targets of 10％ decrease of sodium consumption by 2020 and 15％ by 2030 for Chinese chronic disease prevention and treatment planning,and 30％ decrease by 2030 for WHO non-communicable disease monitoring framework are achieved,220,340 and 730 thousand deaths will be averted,which may gain 0.30,0.45 and 0.95 years of life expectancy,respectively.Conclusions As one of the leading risk factors,diet high in sodium had caused heavy burden of disease from cardiovascular disease,chronic kidney disease and stomach cancer on Chinese residents.Intervention programs on sodium-reductionare urgently needed in China and related cost-effectiveness is highly expected.