ABSTRACT
COVID-19 has brought a significant impact to the global health system, and also opportunities and challenges to epidemiological researches. Theoretical epidemiological models can simulate the process of epidemic in scenarios under different conditions. Therefore, modeling researches can analyze the epidemical trend of COVID-19, predict epidemical risks, and evaluate effects of different control measures and vaccine policies. Theoretical epidemiological modeling researches provide scientific advice for the prevention and control of infectious diseases, and play a crucial role in containing COVID-19 over the past year. In this study, we review the theoretical epidemiological modeling researches on COVID-19 and summarize the role of theoretical epidemiological models in the prevention and control of COVID-19, in order to provide reference for the combination of mathematical modeling and epidemic control.
Subject(s)
Humans , COVID-19 , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Models, Theoretical , SARS-CoV-2ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the association between genetic variants in microRNA biosynthesis genes and the risk of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).Methods A case-control study was conducted with 576 HNSCC patients and 1 552 healthy controls matched by factors as age-(± 5 years) and sex.Eight potentially functional single nucleotide polymorphism loci in microRNA biosynthesis genes (DICER1,GEMIN3,and PIWIL1) were genotyped using the Illumina Infinium BeadChip platform.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed to assess the association between genotypes and HNSCC risk.Results The allele frequencies of rs1106042 (G＞A) in PIWIL1 were significantly different between the cases and controls (P=0.011).After controlling for factors as age,sex,smoking and alcohol intake,the A allele of rs 1106042 showed a decreased risk of HNSCC (additive model:adjusted OR=0.73,95％CI:0.57-0.93,P=0.011).Results from the stratification analysis by age,sex,smoking,alcohol intake and tumor sites showed that the effect of rs1106042 A allele on HNSCC risk was significant in older age groups (≥60),females,nonsmokers,non-alcohol drinkers,and subjects with oral cavity cancer (P＜0.05).Conclusion Potentially,functional single nucleotide polymorphism in PIWIL1 might modify the risk of HNSCC in China.
ABSTRACT
Objective To investigate the association between genetic variants in microRNA biosynthesis genes and the risk of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).Methods A case-control study was conducted with 576 HNSCC patients and 1 552 healthy controls matched by factors as age-(± 5 years) and sex.Eight potentially functional single nucleotide polymorphism loci in microRNA biosynthesis genes (DICER1,GEMIN3,and PIWIL1) were genotyped using the Illumina Infinium BeadChip platform.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed to assess the association between genotypes and HNSCC risk.Results The allele frequencies of rs1106042 (G＞A) in PIWIL1 were significantly different between the cases and controls (P=0.011).After controlling for factors as age,sex,smoking and alcohol intake,the A allele of rs 1106042 showed a decreased risk of HNSCC (additive model:adjusted OR=0.73,95％CI:0.57-0.93,P=0.011).Results from the stratification analysis by age,sex,smoking,alcohol intake and tumor sites showed that the effect of rs1106042 A allele on HNSCC risk was significant in older age groups (≥60),females,nonsmokers,non-alcohol drinkers,and subjects with oral cavity cancer (P＜0.05).Conclusion Potentially,functional single nucleotide polymorphism in PIWIL1 might modify the risk of HNSCC in China.