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Objective To explore the preoperative predictors of lymphovascular invasion(LVI)in patients with advanced gastric cancer,and establish the corresponding nomogram prediction model and conduct internal validation.Methods A total of 246 cases of advanced gastric cancer who underwent surgical resection in the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery of Hengshui People's Hospital from January 2018 to December 2021 were selected.Patients were divided into the LVI positive group and the LVI negative group according to postoperative pathological diagnosis.The age,gender,tumor differentiation,tumor size,tumor site,Borrmann classification,Lauren's classification,cT stage,cN stage and systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)of patients were collected and compared between the two groups.The predictors that were statistically different between the two groups were subjected to multivariate Logistic regression and further developed into a visual prediction model.Bootstrap method was applied for internal validation of the prediction efficiency of the model.Results The differences of tumor size,Borrmann classification,tumor differentiation,Lauren classification,cT staging,cN staging and SII were statistically significant between the two groups(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that tumor size(OR=2.184,95%CI:1.224-3.898),Borrmann classification(OR=2.517,95%CI:1.294-4.896),cT staging(OR=1.860,95%CI:1.045-3.308),cN staging(OR=1.816,95%CI:1.004-3.285)and SII(OR=1.001,95%CI:1.000-1.002)were independent predictors of LVI in advanced gastric cancer.A preoperative nomogram prediction model for advanced gastric cancer LVI was developed based on results of multivariate analysis.By internal validation,the area under curve(AUC)value of the subject operating characteristic(ROC)curve of the nomogram was 0.735,which was higher than that of tumor size(0.599),Borrmann staging(0.564),cT staging(0.604),cN staging(0.582)and SII(0.615),respectively.The calibration curve showed that the probability of predicted LVI by the nomogram was in a good agreement with the probability of actual LVI occurrence.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good model fit(χ2=4.387,P=0.821).Conclusion The established nomogram prediction model can help to predict the probability of LVI in advanced gastric cancer preoperatively,which can provide a guideline for clinical individualized treatment.
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Objective:To analyze the risk factors of central venous catheter-related thrombosis (CRT) in critically ill patients and develop the model of a nomogram.Methods:A prospective investigation study was conducted on 385 critically ill patients who received central venous catheters during hospitalization in Hengshui People's Hospital from May 2018 to March 2021. Color Doppler ultrasonography was performed daily after catheterization. Patients were divided into thrombosis group and non-thrombosis group according to whether CRT was formed. The patient's gender, age, body mass index (BMI), acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ) score, complications, existing tumor, D-dimer level on the 3rd day after catheterization, maximum velocity of right internal jugular vein on the 3rd day after catheterization, mechanical ventilation time, and catheter indwelling time were recorded, and the differences of above indexes between the two groups were compared. Multivariate Logistic regression was performed on the influencing factors with statistical differences between the two groups to establish the nomogram prediction. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the model.Results:The incidence of central venous CRT in critically ill patients was 16.1% (62/385). Compared with non-thrombosis patients, the thrombosis group patients had higher APACHEⅡscore, the proportion of existing tumor, and D-dimer level on the 3rd day after catheterization [APACHEⅡscore: 17 (15, 19) vs. 15 (12, 18), the proportion of existing tumor: 51.6% (32/62) vs. 35.3% (114/323), D-dimer (mg/L): 0.84 (0.64, 0.94) vs. 0.57 (0.44, 0.76), all P < 0.05], the maximum flow rate of right internal jugular vein was slower on the 3rd day after catheterization [cm/s: 14 (13, 15) vs. 16 (14, 18), P < 0.05]. Univariate analysis showed that high APACHEⅡscore, critical patients with existing tumor, high D-dimer level on the 3rd day after catheterization, and slow maximum flow rate of right internal jugular vein on the 3rd day after catheterization were more likely to develop central venous CRT. Further multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that high APACHEⅡscore, existing tumor, high D-dimer level on the 3rd day after catheterization and slow maximum flow rate of right internal jugular vein on the 3rd day after catheterization were independent risk factors for central venous CRT in critical patients [odds ratio ( OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were 0.876 (0.801-0.957), 0.482 (0.259-0.895), 0.039 (0.011-0.139), 1.401 (1.218-1.611), and P values were 0.003, 0.021, < 0.001, < 0.001, respectively]. According to the results of multivariate analysis, the prediction model of the nomogram was constructed. The area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.820, 95% CI was 0.767-0.872, P < 0.001. The calibration curve showed that the prediction probability of central venous CRT nomogram model in critically ill patients had good consistency with the actual occurrence probability. Conclusions:Existing tumor, high APACHEⅡscore, elevated D-dimer on the 3rd day after catheterization, and decreased maximum velocity of right internal jugular vein on the 3rd day after catheterization are independent risk factors for central venous CRT in critical patients. The prediction model based on the proposed model has good clinical efficacy.
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Objective:To investigate the incidence and risk factors of central venous catheter-related thrombosis after gastrointestinal surgery.Methods:From May 2018 to May 2019, 124 patients who received surgical treatment with central venous catheter placement in gastrointestinal surgery department at Harrsion International Peace Hospital were prospectively analyzed, and the factors that may be related to catheter-related thrombosis were collected.And performed ultrasound screening before the removal of central venous catheter, According to whether there was thrombosis or not, they were divided into thrombosis group( n=66) and non-thrombosis group( n=58). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for the factors with statistical differences between the two groups. Results:A total of 66 patients were diagnosed with catheter-related thrombus by ultrasonography, with an incidence of 53.2%(66/124), 63 cases with no clinical symptoms(50.8%), only 3 cases with clinical symptoms, and the incidence of catheter-related thrombus with symptoms was 2.4%(3/124). The operation type, central venous catheter indwelling time, fibrinogen on the 3rd day after surgery and D-dimer on the 3rd day after surgery between the two groups had statistically significant differences (χ 2=21.415, 7.651, t=5.7181, 0.418, all P<0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that operation type( OR=0.157, 95% CI: 0.040-0.612, P=0.008), fibrinogen on the 3rd day after surgery( OR=7.371, 95% CI: 2.318-23.442, P=0.001), D-dimer on the 3rd day after surgery( OR=6.920, 95% CI: 2.854-16.783, P=0.000) were independent risk factors of catheter-related thrombosis. Conclusion:The incidence of central venous catheter-related thrombosis is higher after gastrointestinal surgery, and most patients have no obvious clinical symptoms.The patients who undergoing tumor surgery or with abnormal levels of fibrinogen and D-dimer on the 3rd day after surgery should aware of catheter-related thrombosis.
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BACKGROUND:According to the thrust of document issued by State Drug Administration, the clinical experiment was carried onfufang duzhongjiangu keli (compound) (Bo Si Zhuang) in treatment of knee joint osteoarthritis.OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the improvement of the compound in treatment of knee joint osteoarthritis and its safety.DESIGN: Zhuanggu guanjie wan (bolus) was taken as controlled drug and double blind, double-simulation randomized method was designed.SETTING: Fujian Institute of Chinese Medicine, Guananmen Hospital of China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Institute of Orthopedics and Traumatology of China Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Beijing Hospital of Chinese Medicine.PARTICIPANTS: Clinical experiment Ⅱ was performed since December 19, 1999, in which, 200 cases of knee joint osteoarthritis were observed and divided into compound group (100 cases) and bolus group (100 cases).From December 1999 to March 2000, clinical experiment Ⅲ was performed to observe 400 cases of knee joint osteoarthritis, in which, 300cases were divided in compound group and 100 cases in bolus group. All of cases were diagnosed by X-ray test and differentiated in Chinese medicine as insufficiency of liver and kidney and stasis of tendons and vessels. All of patients were in the known of experiment.METHODS: In compound group, fufang duzhong zhuanggu keli (1bag/time, 3 times/day) + simulated dosage of zhuanggu guanjie wan were administrated. In bolus group, fufang duzhong zhuanggu keli simulated dosage + zhuanggu guanjie wan (1bag/time, twice/day) were administrated.Double blind and double-simulation randomized control experiment was given in one-month treatment to observe clinical therapeutic effects.MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Evaluation on clinical indexes of joint function ,clinical therapeutic effect, syndrome score in Chinese medicine and adverse reaction.RESULTS: Totally 600 cases employed had all accomplished datum collections, no dropped-off case. ① The total effective rate of compound group was superior remarkably to bolus group (92.%, 82%). ② The result of joint function in compound group was superior remarkably to that of bolus group. ③ Concerning to improvement of syndromes in Chinese medicine, the result in compound group was superior to that of bolus group (the decreased integrals were 7.03±3.38 and 5.43±3.16 respectively). ④No obvious harmful effect presented during experiment.CONCLUSION: Fufang duzhong jiangu keli improves the symptoms of osteoarthritis of knee safely and effectively.