Preoperative Prediction for Early Recurrence Can Be as Accurate as Postoperative Assessment in Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of predicting early recurrence using preoperative factors only in comparison with using both pre-/postoperative factors.MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 549 patients who had undergone curative resection for single hepatcellular carcinoma (HCC) within Milan criteria. Multivariable analysis was performed to identify pre-/postoperative high-risk factors of early recurrence after hepatic resection for HCC. Two prediction models for early HCC recurrence determined by stepwise variable selection methods based on Akaike information criterion were built, either based on preoperative factors alone or both pre-/postoperative factors. Area under the curve (AUC) for each receiver operating characteristic curve of the two models was calculated, and the two curves were compared for non-inferiority testing. The predictive models of early HCC recurrence were internally validated by bootstrap resampling method.RESULTS: Multivariable analysis on preoperative factors alone identified aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (OR, 1.632; 95% CI, 1.056–2.522; p = 0.027), tumor size (OR, 1.025; 95% CI, 0.002–1.049; p = 0.031), arterial rim enhancement of the tumor (OR, 2.350; 95% CI, 1.297–4.260; p = 0.005), and presence of nonhypervascular hepatobiliary hypointense nodules (OR, 1.983; 95% CI, 1.049–3.750; p = 0.035) on gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging as significant factors. After adding postoperative histopathologic factors, presence of microvascular invasion (OR, 1.868; 95% CI, 1.155–3.022; p = 0.011) became an additional significant factor, while tumor size became insignificant (p = 0.119). Comparison of the AUCs of the two models showed that the prediction model built on preoperative factors alone was not inferior to that including both pre-/postoperative factors {AUC for preoperative factors only, 0.673 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.623–0.723) vs. AUC after adding postoperative factors, 0.691 (95% CI, 0.639–0.744); p = 0.0013}. Bootstrap resampling method showed that both the models were valid.CONCLUSION: Risk stratification solely based on preoperative imaging and laboratory factors was not inferior to that based on postoperative histopathologic risk factors in predicting early recurrence after curative resection in within Milan criteria single HCC patients.

Initial Laboratory Parameters and its Correlation to Intermediate Syndrome in Patients with Acute Organophosphate Poisoning

PURPOSE: The association of serial serum cholinesterase (SChE) activity and the occurrence of intermediate syndrome (IMS) in patients orally poisoned with organophosphate (OP) were investigated. In addition, other clinical and laboratory factors were assessed for their ability to predict the subsequent development of IMS. METHODS: A total of 114 patients presented to our emergency department with acute OP ingestion between 2007 and 2012 were enrolled in this prospective study. Of these patients, 67 who needed mechanical ventilation (MV) over five days were divided into the IMS group. The 47 patients weaned from MV within four days after admission, or who did not receive the assistance of MV, were placed in the non-IMS group. The level of SChE at admission, 48 hours, and 96 hours, at discharge after admission were checked. The APACHE II (Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation II) score, the amount ingested, exposure route, gender, age, and the laboratory test results were collected. All statistical analyses were performed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (version 20.0). RESULTS: The mean age of total enrolled patients was 53.7+/-17.9 years and 73 patients (64.0% of total patients) were male. There were 102(89.5%) patients who intentionally ingested the OP and the mean amount ingested was 102.5+/-64.9 mL. The mean time after patients sought medical care was 5.4+/-10.5 hours after ingestion. The level of SChE at admission was 1,586+/-796 U/L and the APACHE II score was 28.81+/-19.7. The arterial pH, bicarbonate and carbon dioxide pressure, and serum protein and albumin were significantly lower in the IMS group than the non-IMS group (p<0.001). In contrast, the serum amylase, lipase, and glucose were higher in the IMS group. The APACHE II score, serum albumin and amylase, arterial bicarbonate, and the SChE at 48 and 96 hours after ingestion were independent factors that predicted the occurrence of IMS in patients with OP poisoning. The rate of recovery was 86.6% in the IMS group and 100% in the non-IMS group (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with a higher APACHE II score and levels of serum amylase, and lower levels of serum albumin and arterial bicarbonate, may be associated with the occurrence of IMS. Furthermore, when SChE levels after 48 hours and 96 hours did not increase, compared with the level of SChE at admission, patients tended to show IMS.

Initial Laboratory Parameters and its Correlation to Intermediate Syndrome in Patients with Acute Organophosphate Poisoning

PURPOSE: The association of serial serum cholinesterase (SChE) activity and the occurrence of intermediate syndrome (IMS) in patients orally poisoned with organophosphate (OP) were investigated. In addition, other clinical and laboratory factors were assessed for their ability to predict the subsequent development of IMS. METHODS: A total of 114 patients presented to our emergency department with acute OP ingestion between 2007 and 2012 were enrolled in this prospective study. Of these patients, 67 who needed mechanical ventilation (MV) over five days were divided into the IMS group. The 47 patients weaned from MV within four days after admission, or who did not receive the assistance of MV, were placed in the non-IMS group. The level of SChE at admission, 48 hours, and 96 hours, at discharge after admission were checked. The APACHE II (Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation II) score, the amount ingested, exposure route, gender, age, and the laboratory test results were collected. All statistical analyses were performed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (version 20.0). RESULTS: The mean age of total enrolled patients was 53.7+/-17.9 years and 73 patients (64.0% of total patients) were male. There were 102(89.5%) patients who intentionally ingested the OP and the mean amount ingested was 102.5+/-64.9 mL. The mean time after patients sought medical care was 5.4+/-10.5 hours after ingestion. The level of SChE at admission was 1,586+/-796 U/L and the APACHE II score was 28.81+/-19.7. The arterial pH, bicarbonate and carbon dioxide pressure, and serum protein and albumin were significantly lower in the IMS group than the non-IMS group (p<0.001). In contrast, the serum amylase, lipase, and glucose were higher in the IMS group. The APACHE II score, serum albumin and amylase, arterial bicarbonate, and the SChE at 48 and 96 hours after ingestion were independent factors that predicted the occurrence of IMS in patients with OP poisoning. The rate of recovery was 86.6% in the IMS group and 100% in the non-IMS group (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with a higher APACHE II score and levels of serum amylase, and lower levels of serum albumin and arterial bicarbonate, may be associated with the occurrence of IMS. Furthermore, when SChE levels after 48 hours and 96 hours did not increase, compared with the level of SChE at admission, patients tended to show IMS.