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Objective:To explore the lag effect and correlation between daily average temperature and the incidence of other infectious diarrhea in Hebei Province.Methods:The data of meteorological factors (including temperature and average daily temperature) and the daily incidence of other infectious diarrhea in Zhangjiakou City, Chengde City, Tangshan City, Qinhuangdao City, Baoding City, Langfang City, Cangzhou City, Shijiazhuang City, Hengshui City, Xingtai City, and Handan City in Hebei Province from 2017 to 2020 were collected. Eleven prefecture-level cities were divided into four regions, including east, north, middle and south regions. Distributed lag non-linear model was applied to examine the non-linear associations and the lag effect of daily mean temperature on daily incidence of other infectious diarrhea. Meanwhile, the cold and hot effects were used to estinuate the lag-response relationship on the incidence of other infectious diarrhea.Results:A total of 231 008 cases of other infectious diarrhea were reported in Hebei Province. The seasonal distribution was obvious, showing a bimodal distribution of large peaks in summer and small peaks in winter. An inverse S-shaped association between average daily temperature and cumulative risk ratio ( RR) of other infectious diarrhea was observed in Hebei Province. Both high temperature (higher than 27.50 ℃) and low temperature (less than 13.67 ℃) could increase the risk of other infectious diarrhea. When the temperature was lower than 13.00 ℃, the lag time and RR had a U-shaped association (lag four to seven days, 23 to 30 days). Meanwhile, when it was higher than 13.00 ℃, it had an inverted U-shaped association (lag 5 to 21 days). A comparison of four regions of Hebei Province showed that the lag time from south to north was extended from six days to 30 days at low temperature effects with temperature P5=-7.24 ℃. When the temperature getting hot ( P95=28.25 ℃), the risk occurred at lag 0 days, and the lag time gradually got short from north to south. Thus, the high temperature effect reached maximum quickly with a relative short duration. Conclusions:The inverse S-shaped non-linear association between daily average temperature and the incidence of other infectious diarrhea in Hebei Province is observed. Both low temperature and high temperature are associated with increased risk of other infectious diarrhea. But the impact of low temperature is more notable, which has a relative long duration.
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Objective@#To analyze the spatial-temporal characteristics of other infectious diarrhea (OID) in Jiangsu province from 2010 to 2017, and to provide evidence for setting up prevention and control programs of the disease.@*Methods@#Data was from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Statistics Bureau of Jiangsu province. Descriptive methods were used to illustrate the epidemiological characteristics of OID from 2010 to 2017. Global autocorrelation statistics method (Moran’s I) was used to detect the spatial autocorrelation of OID, annually. Kulldorff M spatiotemporal scan statistics was used to analyze the spatial-temporal clustering of OID. ArcGIS 10.0 software, SaTScan 9.4 software and Excel 2017 software were also applied.@*Results@#A total of 126 341 OID cases were found in Jiangsu province from 2010 to 2017 with an average annual incidence as 19.96/100 000. Children under five accounted for 55.08% (69 590/126 341) of the total cases. Obvious seasonal backshift with the increasing trends of the OID was noticed. There appeared four areas with high incidence of OID in the whole province, including Wuxi, Suzhou, Yancheng and Xuzhou. OID showed positive spatial autocorrelation at the county level with higher Moran’s I from 0.19 to 0.33 (P<0.01). There appeared four positive clusters, all occurred in the high incidence period of OID, including the cluster area from the intersection areas of Changzhou and Wuxi (RR=7.61, LLR=2 605.80, P<0.01), respectively.@*Conclusion@#With the increasing trends and the seasonal backshift of OID cases, pathogen surveillance programs set for those scattered children under five, in clustered regions and epidemic seasons should be strengthened.
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Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and its trends of other infectious diarrhea diseases in infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.Methods Statistical analysis was conducted on other infectious diarrhea cases of infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from China Information System for Disease Prevention and Control from 2005 to 2016.The main methods were descriptive epidemiology for population,area and time distribution of these registered cases in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.The trends were analyzed by the ratio of fixed base and ring base.Area map method was used for regional differences.Results From 2005 to 2016,17 760 other infectious diarrhea diseases of infants were reported in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,accounting for 58％of the total reposed cases.The cases number and incidence showed an overall upward trend.After 2011,the growth rate of case reports and incidences slowed down relatively.The peak of the incidence was in July and August(4 739 cases),accounting for27％of cases of the whole year.Seventy-three point forty-four percent of the cases were located in Hulunbeier City(5 161 cases,29.06％),Hohhot City(4 465 cases,25.14％)and Baotou City(3 417 cases,19.24％).Except for Wuhai City.the remaining 11 cities showed increased incidence of other infectious diarrhea diseases in infants.The ratio of male to female was 1.55∶1,and the incidence in males was higher than that in females every year.Twelve-month-old(5 800 cases,33％)had the greatest proportion.Clinical diagnosis(56.26％)and confirmed diagnosis(43.51％)were the main categories,but the rate of pathogen labeling was only 7.60％.Conclusions After 2011,the incidence of other infectious diarrhea diseases of infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region have slowed down relatively.However,the incidence has significant time,region and population aggregation.
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Objective@#To study the lag effect of temperature and the source of heterogeneity on other infectious diarrhea (OID) in Zhejiang province, so as to identify related vulnerable populations at risk.@*Methods@#Data on OID and meteorology in Zhejiang province from 2014 to 2016 were collected. A two-stage model was conducted, including: 1) using the distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the city-specific lag effect of temperature on OID, 2) applying the multivariate Meta- analysis to pool the estimated city-specific effect, 3) using the multivariate Meta-regression to explore the sources of heterogeneity.@*Results@#There were 301 593 cases of OID in Zhejiang province during the study period. At the provincial level, temperature that corresponding to the lowest risk of OID was 16.7 ℃, and the temperature corresponding to the highest risk was 6.2℃ (RR=2.298, 95%CI: 1.527- 3.459). 16.7 ℃ was recognized as the reference temperature. P5 and P95 of the average daily temperature represented low and high temperature respectively. When the temperature was cold, the risk was delayed by 2 days, with the highest risk found on the 5th day (RR=1.057, 95%CI: 1.030-1.084) before decreasing to the 23rd day. When the temperature got hot, the risk of OID occurred on the first day (RR=1.081, 95%CI: 1.045-1.118) and gradually decreasing to the 8th day. Differences on heterogeneous sources related to the risks of OID in different regions, presented on urban latitude and the rate of ageing in the population.@*Conclusions@#Both high or low temperature could increase the risk of OID, with a lag effect noticed. Prevention program on OID should be focusing on populations living in the high latitude and the elderly population at the low temperature areas.
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Objective@#To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and its trends of other infectious diarrhea diseases in infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.@*Methods@#Statistical analysis was conducted on other infectious diarrhea cases of infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from China Information System for Disease Prevention and Control from 2005 to 2016. The main methods were descriptive epidemiology for population, area and time distribution of these registered cases in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. The trends were analyzed by the ratio of fixed base and ring base. Area map method was used for regional differences.@*Results@#From 2005 to 2016, 17 760 other infectious diarrhea diseases of infants were reported in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, accounting for 58% of the total reported cases. The cases number and incidence showed an overall upward trend. After 2011, the growth rate of case reports and incidences slowed down relatively. The peak of the incidence was in July and August (4 739 cases), accounting for 27% of cases of the whole year. Seventy-three point forty-four percent of the cases were located in Hulunbeier City (5 161 cases, 29.06%), Hohhot City (4 465 cases, 25.14%) and Baotou City (3 417 cases, 19.24%) . Except for Wuhai City, the remaining 11 cities showed increased incidence of other infectious diarrhea diseases in infants. The ratio of male to female was 1.55∶1, and the incidence in males was higher than that in females every year. Twelve-month-old (5 800 cases, 33%) had the greatest proportion. Clinical diagnosis (56.26%) and confirmed diagnosis (43.51%) were the main categories, but the rate of pathogen labeling was only 7.60%.@*Conclusions@#After 2011, the incidence of other infectious diarrhea diseases of infants in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region have slowed down relatively. However, the incidence has significant time, region and population aggregation.
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Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of other-infectious diarrhea (OID) in Shaanxi Province from 2006 to 2015 to further clarify the prevention and control strategies.Methods We collected data from the Infectious Disease Report Information System in China for Disease Prevention and Control and made a statistical description of the epidemiological characteristics of incidence distribution in Shaanxi from 2006 to 2015.Results Totally 207 437 cases of other-infectious diarrhea were reported in Shaanxi Province during 2006 -2015,with the average yearly incidence rate of 52.43/105.The incidence number was higher in males (126 673 cases) than in females (80 764 cases),with male-female ratio of 1.57 ∶ 1.The diseases were most serious in age groups 0-and 1-4 years,accounting for 72.48％.The top-three careers of reported cases were scattered children (74.88 ％),farmers (10.75 ％) and students (5.75 ％),respectively.The cities with the highest incidence in Shaanxi Province were Baoji,Yan'an and Ankang.Two high-incidence seasons were summer (July to August) and winter (November to December).The main pathogen of viral diarrhea was rotavirus,but laboratory-confirmed proportion was low (4.60％).Conclusion Other-infectious diarrhea,especially infection caused by rotavirus in autumn and winter,mainly occurred in children younger than 5 years old.Etiological diagnosis should be strengthened because of the poor laboratory diagnosis reporting rate.