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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of predicting early recurrence using preoperative factors only in comparison with using both pre-/postoperative factors.MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 549 patients who had undergone curative resection for single hepatcellular carcinoma (HCC) within Milan criteria. Multivariable analysis was performed to identify pre-/postoperative high-risk factors of early recurrence after hepatic resection for HCC. Two prediction models for early HCC recurrence determined by stepwise variable selection methods based on Akaike information criterion were built, either based on preoperative factors alone or both pre-/postoperative factors. Area under the curve (AUC) for each receiver operating characteristic curve of the two models was calculated, and the two curves were compared for non-inferiority testing. The predictive models of early HCC recurrence were internally validated by bootstrap resampling method.RESULTS: Multivariable analysis on preoperative factors alone identified aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (OR, 1.632; 95% CI, 1.056–2.522; p = 0.027), tumor size (OR, 1.025; 95% CI, 0.002–1.049; p = 0.031), arterial rim enhancement of the tumor (OR, 2.350; 95% CI, 1.297–4.260; p = 0.005), and presence of nonhypervascular hepatobiliary hypointense nodules (OR, 1.983; 95% CI, 1.049–3.750; p = 0.035) on gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging as significant factors. After adding postoperative histopathologic factors, presence of microvascular invasion (OR, 1.868; 95% CI, 1.155–3.022; p = 0.011) became an additional significant factor, while tumor size became insignificant (p = 0.119). Comparison of the AUCs of the two models showed that the prediction model built on preoperative factors alone was not inferior to that including both pre-/postoperative factors {AUC for preoperative factors only, 0.673 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.623–0.723) vs. AUC after adding postoperative factors, 0.691 (95% CI, 0.639–0.744); p = 0.0013}. Bootstrap resampling method showed that both the models were valid.CONCLUSION: Risk stratification solely based on preoperative imaging and laboratory factors was not inferior to that based on postoperative histopathologic risk factors in predicting early recurrence after curative resection in within Milan criteria single HCC patients.
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To discuss pathological factors which affection the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer.We ex plored and compared the main pathological factors affecting the prognosis of esophageal cancer patients by analyzing their clinical data:the extent of tumor invasion,lymph nodes shift,distant organ metastasis,as well as stages of tumor.And the prognosis associated with the following independent factors:tumor histological type and degree of dif ferentiation tumor mierometastases,vascular tumor thrombus formation,and stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes. The authors think the pathological stage of esophageal cancer patients need to be improved.
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Objective To evaluate the impact of pathologic parameters and lymphatic mierometastasis on 5-year disease-frtee survival in patients with stages Ⅰ and Ⅱ colorectal cancer.Methods Surgical operation was performed in 126 patients with stage Ⅰ and Ⅱ colorectal cancer.Sixteen (range,10-28)lymph nodes were harvested in each specimen and immunohistochemical staning was performed. Theimpact of pathologic parameters and lymphatic micrometastases in survival was estimated by KaplanMeier.Results The mean follow up time was 64.11 (range,64-106) months. Multivariate analysisrevealed that lymphatic vessel invasion and depth of tumor invasion were correlated with positive CEA in lymph node,and unrelated with clinical pathologic factors.There was no significant difference between pathologic parameters and five year disease-free survival rates. The five-year diseasse-free survival rates was 75.4 percent in CEA negative patients,68.2 percent in patients with isolated tumor cells,and 46.2 percent in patients positive for micrometastasis.There was no significant difference in 5 year disease-free survival between CEA negative patients and patients with isolated tumor cells (P=0.245).However,the5-year disease-free survival was lower in patients positive for micrometastases compared to CEA negativepatients (P=0.003).Conclusions The presence of micrometastases in patients with stages Ⅰ and Ⅱ colorectal cancer may result in poor prognosis and high recurrence,and adjuvant chemotherapy will bejustified and effective.
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Background and purpose:Liver is one of the most common metastatic sites in colorectal carcinoma,but there is no biomarker that could be used to predict and evaluate the possibility of metastases in the liver.Our study is aiming to investigate the relative parameters of liver metastasis of colorectal carcinoma after surgery.Methods:Several factors,including serum CEA level,lymph node metastasis,vessel and lymph vessel invasion,pathologic character of primary tumor,were used for analysis,the data was collected from either patients of colorectal carcinoma with(107 cases) and without(100 cases) hepatic metastasis in 2 years.All of the patients received surgery.Results:Patients with hepatic metastasis had significantly higher positive rates in terms of remote lymph node metastasis,vessel and lymph vessel invasion,respectively(P