The Relationship between 10-Year Cardiovascular Risk Calculated Using the Pooled Cohort Equation and the Severity of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND: We investigated the association between the severity of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and the estimated 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) calculated by Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) and Framingham risk score (FRS). METHODS: A total of 15,913 participants (mean age, 46.3 years) in a health screening program were selected for analysis. The presence and severity of fatty liver was assessed by abdominal ultrasonogram. Subjects who drank alcohol more than three times a week were excluded from the study. RESULTS: Among the participants, 57.6% had no NAFLD, 35.4% had grade I, 6.5% had grade II, and 0.5% had grade III NAFLD. Mean estimated 10-year CVD risk was 2.59%, 3.93%, 4.68%, and 5.23% calculated using the PCE (P for trend <0.01) and 4.55%, 6.39%, 7.33%, and 7.13% calculated using FRS, according to NAFLD severity from none to severe (P for trend <0.01). The odds ratio for ≥7.5% estimated CVD risk calculated using the PCE showed a higher correlation with increasing severity of NAFLD even after adjustment for conventional CVD risk factors (1.52, 2.56, 3.35 vs. the no NAFLD group as a reference, P<0.01) compared with calculated risk using FRS (1.65, 1.62, 1.72 vs. no NAFLD group as a reference, P<0.01). CONCLUSION: In our study of apparently healthy Korean adults, increasing severity of NAFLD showed a higher correlation with estimated 10-year CVD risk when calculated using the PCE than when calculated using FRS.

Increased Estimated 10-Year Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Assessed Using the Pooled Cohort Equation in Non-Diabetic Subjects According to Increasing HbA1c Levels

OBJECTIVE: In 2013, a new risk calculator known as the Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) was introduced with the new cholesterol guideline. We aimed to calculate the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk using PCE in non-diabetic Korean subjects with glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) lower than 6.5%. METHODS: A total of 17,519 participants were evaluated in a health screening program. The 10-year ASCVD risk was calculated using the PCE. Subjects with underlying diabetes or HbA1c > or =6.5% were excluded. Subjects were divided into four groups according to fasting blood glucose (FBG) and HbA1c levels: FBG or =120 mg/dL; HbA1c or =5.8%. RESULTS: The mean 10-year ASCVD risk significantly increased as FBG increased from 120 mg/dL in the four divided groups (2.6%, 3.3%, 3.8%, 4.1%; p5.8% (2.4%, 2.7%, 3.0%, 3.6%; p or =10% significantly increased from group I to IV according to FBG and HbA1c levels after adjusting for age, body mass index and fasting insulin level (1.187, 1.753, and 2.390 vs. 1.0 in the lowest FBG group; 1.626, 1.574, and 1.645 vs. 1.0 in the lowest HbA1c group). CONCLUSION: The 10-year ASCVD risk calculated using the PCE significantly increased as the FBG and HbA1c increased even in Korean subjects without underlying diabetes.