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1.
Tianjin Medical Journal ; (12): 423-427, 2017.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM | ID: wpr-514814

ABSTRACT

prognosis of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB). Methods A total of 130 patients with AUGIB in our hospital were enrolled in this study from August 2014 to August 2016 . Three kinds of scoring systems including Rockall, Blatchford and AIMS65 were used to evaluate the risk classification of the patients. Patients were followed up for 2 months. The incidence rates of re-bleeding and death within 2 months after admission were observed. Data of prognosis in patients with AUGIB were compared between the three scoring systems in the prognosis of patients with AUGIB, including the risk classification and the prediction accuracy of re-bleeding and death. Results There were no significant differences in the re-bleeding rate and fatality rate between the groups divided by Rockall and Blatchford scoring systems ( P>0.05). According to the grouping results of AIMS65 scoring system, the re-bleeding rate of low-risk group was lower than that in high risk group (1.45%vs. 13.11%, P=0.01), but there was no significant difference in fatality rate between the two groups (P>0.05). The values of area under the curve (AUC) of predicting re-bleeding rates by using Rockall, Blatchford and AIMS65 scoring systems were 0.6258, 0.6910, and 0.7241, and the values of AUC of predicting fatality rates were 0.7031, 0.7969, and 0.7031 by using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. There were no significant differences between them (P>0.05). The values of AUC of predicting re-bleeding rates by using the risk grading calculation by Rockall, Blatchford and AIMS65 scoring systems were 0.6189, 0.6139 and 0.7254 (P>0.05). But the values of AUC of predicting fatality rates were 0.6211, 0.6641 and 0.7695 (P<0.01). Conclusion The operation method of AIMS65 scoring system is simple and convenient, which is applicable to a wide range of patients with AUGIB. In the prediction of re-bleeding and mortality, AIMS65 scoring system has high accuracy and stability, which is worthy of promoting in clinical application.

2.
Chinese Journal of Gastroenterology ; (12): 96-99, 2017.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM | ID: wpr-508259

ABSTRACT

Acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB)is a commonly seen gastrointestinal emergency.Rockall and Blatchford scoring system are commonly used for risk stratification in ANVUGIB.Aims:To investigate the predictive values of Rockall and Blatchford scoring system for assessing the risk of blood transfusion,surgical intervention and mortality in patients with ANVUGIB.Methods:Five hundred and ninety hospitalized patients with ANVUGIB were scored by Rockall and Blatchford scoring system,respectively.Predictive values of these two scoring systems for assessing the risk of blood transfusion,surgical intervention and mortality were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curve (AUC).Results:Rockall and Blatchford scores in patients with blood transfusion,surgical intervention and died were significantly higher than those in patients without blood transfusion,surgical intervention and survived (P <0.01 ).The AUC of Rockall scoring system for predicting blood transfusion,surgical intervention and mortality were 0.785 (95% CI:0.743-0.828,P=0.000),0.765 (95% CI:0.693-0.837,P=0.000),0.835 (95% CI:0.703-0.966,P=0.005),respectively.The AUC of Blatchford scoring system for predicting blood transfusion,surgical intervention and mortality were 0.812 (95%CI:0.775-0.848,P=0.000),0.870 (95%CI:0.811-0.930,P=0.000),0.784 (95% CI:0.614-0.954,P=0.017),respectively.Conclusions:Rockall and Blatchford scoring system have high predictive value for blood transfusion,surgical intervention and mortality in patients with ANVUGIB.Rockall scoring system is better for predicting mortality,while Blatchford scoring system is better for predicting blood transfusion and surgical intervention.

3.
Chinese Journal of Digestion ; (12): 828-831, 2010.
Article in Chinese | WPRIM | ID: wpr-382916

ABSTRACT

Objective To investigate the accuracy of prognosis risk assessment and clinical applicability of Rockall (RS) and Blatchford scoring system (BRS) for acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB). Methods From January 2009 to December 2009, the clinical date 195 ANVUGIB patients who met the standards with complete information and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were recorded. Each patient's scores of RS and BRS were calculated for risk stratification. Patients were followed up for 30 days after discharged.Death or the prognosis of disease in 30 days after discharged was considered as clinical study endpoints.Checked prognostic capacity of these two scoring system. Results In the 195 patients, there were 150 years, mean age was 53.97±18.34 years. 90 patients' age was over sixty (elderly group), 105 less than sixty (non-elderly group). 182 patients survived (93.3%), while 13 dead (6.7%). In survival patients, 11were re-bleeding (5.6 %). Mortality ( 12.2 %, 11/90), the percentage of patients with comorbidities (43.3%, 39/90) and taking aspirin (24. 4%, 22/90) were higher in elderly patients than non-elderly patients (1.9%, 2/105; 16.2%, 17/105; 11.4%, 12/105 respectively)(P<0.05).The AUC of RS in predicting risk of death was 0.742 (P=0.004) and re-bleeding was 0.469 (P=0.101). For BRS score system, the AUC of predicting risk of death was 0. 493 (P= 0. 067)and rebleeding was 0.341(P=0.092). The RS score was positively correlated with length of hospital stay,however there was no statistically significant between BRS score and length of hospital stay.Conclusion RS score system was good at predicting the risk of death, and the score was positively correlated with length of hospital stay. While it was poor in predicting the risk of re-bleeding. BRS performed poorly in predicting the risk of both death and re-bleeding, so it was not suitable for predicting the risk of hospitalized patients.

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