Machine Learning for the Prediction of New-Onset Diabetes Mellitus during 5-Year Follow-up in Non-Diabetic Patients with Cardiovascular Risks

PURPOSE: Many studies have proposed predictive models for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, these predictive models have several limitations, such as user convenience and reproducibility. The purpose of this study was to develop a T2DM predictive model using electronic medical records (EMRs) and machine learning and to compare the performance of this model with traditional statistical methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this study, a total of available 8454 patients who had no history of diabetes and were treated at the cardiovascular center of Korea University Guro Hospital were enrolled. All subjects completed 5 years of follow up. The prevalence of T2DM during follow up was 4.78% (404/8454). A total of 28 variables were extracted from the EMRs. In order to verify the cross-validation test according to the prediction model, logistic regression (LR), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithm models were generated. The LR model was considered as the existing statistical analysis method. RESULTS: All predictive models maintained a change within the standard deviation of area under the curve (AUC) < 0.01 in the analysis after a 10-fold cross-validation test. Among all predictive models, the LR learning model showed the highest prediction performance, with an AUC of 0.78. However, compared to the LR model, the LDA, QDA, and KNN models did not show a statistically significant difference. CONCLUSION: We successfully developed and verified a T2DM prediction system using machine learning and an EMR database, and it predicted the 5-year occurrence of T2DM similarly to with a traditional prediction model. In further study, it is necessary to apply and verify the prediction model through clinical research.

A Genetic Risk Score for Atrial Fibrillation Predicts the Response to Catheter Ablation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES@#The association of susceptibility loci for atrial fibrillation (AF) with AF recurrence after ablation has been reported, although with controversial results. In this prospective cohort analysis, we aimed to investigate whether a genetic risk score (GRS) can predict the rhythm outcomes after catheter ablation of AF.@*METHODS@#We determined the association between 20 AF-susceptible single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and AF recurrence after catheter ablation in 746 patients (74% males; age, 59±11 years; 56% paroxysmal AF). A GRS was calculated by summing the unweighted numbers of risk alleles of selected SNPs. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the association between the GRS and risk of AF recurrence after catheter ablation.@*RESULTS@#AF recurrences after catheter ablation occurred in 168 (22.5%) subjects with a median follow-up of 23 months. The GRS was calculated using 5 SNPs (rs1448818, rs2200733, rs6843082, rs6838973 at chromosome 4q25 [PITX2] and rs2106261 at chromosome 16q22 [ZFHX3]), which showed modest associations with AF recurrence. The GRS was significantly associated with AF recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] per each score, 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.24). Patients with intermediate (GRS 4–6) and high risks (GRS 7–10) showed HRs of 2.00 (95% CI, 0.99–4.04) and 2.66 (95% CI, 1.32–5.37), respectively, compared to patients with low risk (GRS 0–3).@*CONCLUSIONS@#Our novel GRS using 5 AF-susceptible SNPs was strongly associated with AF recurrence after catheter ablation in Korean population, beyond clinical risk factors. Further efforts are warranted to construct a generalizable, robust genetic prediction model which can guide the optimal treatment strategies.

A Genetic Risk Score for Atrial Fibrillation Predicts the Response to Catheter Ablation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The association of susceptibility loci for atrial fibrillation (AF) with AF recurrence after ablation has been reported, although with controversial results. In this prospective cohort analysis, we aimed to investigate whether a genetic risk score (GRS) can predict the rhythm outcomes after catheter ablation of AF. METHODS: We determined the association between 20 AF-susceptible single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and AF recurrence after catheter ablation in 746 patients (74% males; age, 59±11 years; 56% paroxysmal AF). A GRS was calculated by summing the unweighted numbers of risk alleles of selected SNPs. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the association between the GRS and risk of AF recurrence after catheter ablation. RESULTS: AF recurrences after catheter ablation occurred in 168 (22.5%) subjects with a median follow-up of 23 months. The GRS was calculated using 5 SNPs (rs1448818, rs2200733, rs6843082, rs6838973 at chromosome 4q25 [PITX2] and rs2106261 at chromosome 16q22 [ZFHX3]), which showed modest associations with AF recurrence. The GRS was significantly associated with AF recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] per each score, 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03–1.24). Patients with intermediate (GRS 4–6) and high risks (GRS 7–10) showed HRs of 2.00 (95% CI, 0.99–4.04) and 2.66 (95% CI, 1.32–5.37), respectively, compared to patients with low risk (GRS 0–3). CONCLUSIONS: Our novel GRS using 5 AF-susceptible SNPs was strongly associated with AF recurrence after catheter ablation in Korean population, beyond clinical risk factors. Further efforts are warranted to construct a generalizable, robust genetic prediction model which can guide the optimal treatment strategies.

Routine Angiographic Follow-Up versus Clinical Follow-Up after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Acute Myocardial Infarction

PURPOSE: Differences in the utility of routine angiographic follow-up (RAF) and clinical follow-up (CF) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are not well understood. The present study aimed to compare the 3-year clinical outcomes of RAF and CF in AMI patients who underwent PCI with drug-eluting stents (DES). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 774 consecutive AMI patients who underwent PCI with DES were enrolled. RAF was performed at 6 to 9 months after index PCI (n=425). The remaining patients were medically managed and clinically followed (n=349); symptom-driven events were captured. To adjust for any potential confounders, a propensity score matched analysis was performed using a logistic regression model, and two propensity-matched groups (248 pairs, n=496, C-statistic=0.739) were generated. Cumulative clinical outcomes up to 3 years were compared between RAF and CF groups. RESULTS: During the 3-year follow-up period, the cumulative incidences of revascularization [target lesion revascularization: hazard ratio (HR), 2.40; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18–4.85; p=0.015, target vessel revascularization (TVR): HR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.69–6.58; p=0.001, non-TVR: HR, 5.64; 95% CI, 1.90–16.6; p=0.002] and major adverse cardiac events (MACE; HR, 3.32; 95% CI, 1.92–5.73; p<0.001) were significantly higher in the RAF group than the CF group. However, the 3-year incidences of death and myocardial infarction were not different between the two groups. CONCLUSION: RAF following index PCI with DES in AMI patients was associated with increased incidences of revascularization and MACE. Therefore, CF seems warranted for asymptomatic patients after PCI for AMI.

Metastasis to the Iliopsoas Muscle from Advanced Gastric Carcinoma: an Unusual Site of Metastasis / 대한내과학회지

Advanced gastric cancer with skeletal muscle metastasis is a rare occurrence. Here, we report a rare case of gastric carcinoma with psoas muscle metastasis. This patient had advanced gastric carcinoma and complained of inability to extend the left hip joint due to pain. Because magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed an iliopsoas mass showing heterogeneous signal intensity with fluid collection and enhancement around the mass, we speculated that the mass was an intramuscular metastatic tumor from primary gastric carcinoma as well as an intramuscular abscess. Histopathologically, the patient had a metastasis from primary gastric adenocarcinoma. Therefore, the patient was treated with radiotherapy and subsequent chemotherapy.

Successful Retrieval of a Fractured and Entrapped 0.035-Inch Terumo Wire in the Femoral Artery Using Biopsy Forceps

A 0.035-inch guide wire fracture and entrapment in a peripheral artery is a very rare complication, but when it does occur it may lead to life-threatening complications, such as perforation, thrombus formation, embolization, and subsequent limb ischemia. We describe our experience of successfully retrieving a fractured 0.035-inch Terumo guide wire in the external iliac artery using a biopsy forcep.

Spinal cord injury after conducting transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for costal metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been used widely to treat patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. However, this method can induce various adverse events caused by necrosis of the tumor itself or damage to nontumor tissues. In particular, neurologic side effects such as cerebral infarction and paraplegia, although rare, may cause severe sequelae and permanent disability. Detailed information regarding the treatment process and prognosis associated with this procedure is not yet available. We experienced a case of paraplegia that occurred after conducting TACE through the intercostal artery to treat hepatocellular carcinoma that had metastasized to the rib. In this case, TACE was attempted to relieve severe bone pain, which had persisted even after palliative radiotherapy. A sudden impairment of sensory and motor functions after TACE developed in the trunk below the level of the sternum and in both lower extremities. The patient subsequently received steroid pulse therapy along with supportive care and continuous rehabilitation. At the time of discharge the patient had recovered sufficiently to enable him to walk by himself, although some paresthesia and spasticity remained.

Metastasis to the Iliopsoas Muscle from Advanced Gastric Carcinoma: an Unusual Site of Metastasis / 대한내과학회지

Advanced gastric cancer with skeletal muscle metastasis is a rare occurrence. Here, we report a rare case of gastric carcinoma with psoas muscle metastasis. This patient had advanced gastric carcinoma and complained of inability to extend the left hip joint due to pain. Because magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed an iliopsoas mass showing heterogeneous signal intensity with fluid collection and enhancement around the mass, we speculated that the mass was an intramuscular metastatic tumor from primary gastric carcinoma as well as an intramuscular abscess. Histopathologically, the patient had a metastasis from primary gastric adenocarcinoma. Therefore, the patient was treated with radiotherapy and subsequent chemotherapy.

Telmisartan Versus Valsartan in Patients With Hypertension: Effects on Cardiovascular, Metabolic, and Inflammatory Parameters

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) have beneficial effects on cardiovascular, metabolic, and inflammatory parameters in addition to controlling blood pressure (BP). However, few comparative clinical studies have been conducted with different ARBs. We compared these effects in patients with uncomplicated hypertension who were receiving telmisartan or valsartan. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The subjects were patients with essential hypertension (48.4+/-9.6 years) who were randomly assigned to take either telmisartan (80 mg/day, n=30) or valsartan (160 mg/day, n=30) for 12 weeks. Their anthropometric, laboratory, vascular, and echocardiographic data were measured at baseline and at the end of the study. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were not significantly different between the two groups, except for the carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV; telmisartan group vs. valsartan group; 841.2+/-131.0 vs. 761.1+/-104.4 cm/s, p<0.05). After 12 weeks, BP had fallen to a similar extent with mean reductions in the systolic and diastolic BP of 20.7+/-18.1 and 16.3+/-13.0 mm Hg (p<0.001, respectively) for the telmisartan and 22.5+/-17.0 and 16.8+/-9.3 mm Hg (p<0.001, respectively) for the valsartan group. Although the cfPWV and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) fell significantly only with the administration of telmisartan, they were not significantly different when baseline cfPWV was considered. The differences in the cfPWV and LVMI changes from baseline between the two groups were also not significant after adjusting for baseline cfPWV. No significant changes in other vascular, metabolic, or inflammatory parameters were observed with either treatment. CONCLUSION: The effects of a 12-week treatment with the two ARBs, telmisartan and valsartan, on cardiovascular, metabolic, and inflammatory parameters were not different in patients with uncomplicated hypertension.

Cause of Chest Pain in a Patient with Previous Myocardial Infarction: Look Outside the Heart for Extracardiac Mass / 전남의대학술지

We report a case of thymic carcinoma that was initially detected by echocardiography in an 80-year-old male who visited the emergency room for chest pain and had a history of myocardial infarction and percutaneous coronary intervention. Transthoracic echocardiography showed a huge extracardiac mass that was located in the anterior mediastinum and was diagnosed as a thymic carcinoma by biopsy.

Cause of Chest Pain in a Patient with Previous Myocardial Infarction: Look Outside the Heart for Extracardiac Mass / 전남의대학술지

We report a case of thymic carcinoma that was initially detected by echocardiography in an 80-year-old male who visited the emergency room for chest pain and had a history of myocardial infarction and percutaneous coronary intervention. Transthoracic echocardiography showed a huge extracardiac mass that was located in the anterior mediastinum and was diagnosed as a thymic carcinoma by biopsy.