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Objective:To compare the prognostic accuracy of 16 pre-transplant scoring models in predicting the post-transplant short-term outcome of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBACLF), and to explore an efficient predictive model.Methods:A retrospective analysis of the clinical data of HBACLF patients who underwent liver transplantation at the Liver Transplant Center of Beijing Youan Hospital from August 2004 to September 2014. Score of 16 models (CTP, UNOS-MELD, Updated-MELD, Integrated-MELD, MELD-Na, MLED Na, CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-OFs, CLIF-C ACLFs, CLIF-C ADs, Refit MELD, Refit MELD Na, MELD-AS, Zheng's Risk, UKELD, MESO) was based on time-dependent operation characteristic curve, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the prediction accuracy of 3-month survival after transplantation. Selection of univariate factors associated with postoperative short-term mortality was performed, and then 16 scoring models one by one with statistically significant mortality-related factors were entered into LASSO regression (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression) to confirm the independent variables. Finally, a predictive model was constructed by Cox regression.Results:A total of 135 patients were included in this study, including 106 males and 29 females, aged (45.0±10.5) years old. Among the 16 scoring models, the AUC of MELD-Na and CLIF-SOFA were more than 0.7 in early survival prediction after liver transplant. The MELD-Na was confirmed as an independent predictive variable in the final model with univariate and LASSO regression multivariate selection analysis ( HR=1.0481, 95% CI: 1.0136-1.0838, P<0.05). The model was constructed by MELD-Na and combined with other clinical parameters (female, systemic infection, placement of T tube during operation) could better predict the early survival after liver transplant. The overall C-index of the final model was 0.886, and the C-index at 3-month after liver transplant was 0.844 through internal validation (Bootstrap). Conclusion:Compared with other scoring models, MELD-Na and CLIF-SOFA were better for early survival prediction after liver transplantation for patients with HBACLF. The constructed predictive model based on MELD-Na was superior than single MELD-Na or CLIF-SOFA in prognostic assessment and case selection.
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Objective To study the impact of splenectomy and devascularization on liver function and liver fibrosis in patients with non-cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPH). Methods The clinical data of patients with NCPH who were treated in Beijing You'an Hospital of Capital Medical University from April 2008 to December 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into the observation group (n=16 ) and the control group ( n =30 ) according to their treatment methods. The observation group underwent splenectomy combined with devascularization, while the control group received conservative treatment. The changes in liver function, ascites, varicose vein rupture and bleeding before and after treat-ment, and the changes in liver blood flow before and after treatment in the observation group were compared. Results The before and after treatment of the 2 groups in ALT, AST, total bilirubin, albumin showed no statistically significant difference (P＞0. 05). Six months after treatment, the rates of ascites and bleeding were significantly higher than the observation group, (P＜0. 05). Ten patients who had a history of preoper-ative variceal hemorrhage in the observation group did not bleed within 6 months after treatment. Further-more, in the observation group after treatment when compared with the control group, the PC-Ⅲ [(32. 3 ± 12. 1) g/L vs. (56. 7 ± 15. 3)g/L],Ⅵ-C [(46. 6 ± 35. 0) g/L vs. (121. 3 ± 30. 4)g/L], LN [(32. 5 ± 10. 5) g/L vs. (65. 8 ± 11. 1) g/L] were significantly lower than the control group ( P ＜0. 05). The preoperative portal venous blood flow in the observation group was significantly higher than that after surgery [(1 056. 8 ± 679. 8) ml/min vs. (481. 0 ± 227. 6) ml/min, P＜0. 05]. Conclusion Splenectomy and devascularization effectively stopped variceal bleeding and delayed liver fibrosis in NCPH patients without affecting the liver function.
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Objective To study the value of preoperative MELD-Na score (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium) in predicting complication severity grades after liver transplantation (LT) for severe hepatitis.Methods Patients who underwent LT for severe hepatitis between August 1,2004,and September 1,2014 were retrospectively studied.The Accordion severity grading system was used to classify the complication severity grades after LT.The grades were classified as grade 1 (mild),grade 2 (moderate),grade 3-5 (severe),and grade 6 (death).The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated by plotting the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the MELD-Na score for the severe and mortality grades after LT.The correlation between the MELD-Na score with the complication severity grade after LT was studied by the Spearman correlation and by multivariate analysis.Results The incidences of postoperative complications for the 159 patients in this study were:grade 2 in 43 patients (27.0％,MELD-Na score 27.3 ±7.4),grade 3 in 41 patients (25.8％,MELD-Na score 32.7 ± 12.4),grade 4 in 31 patients (19.5％,MELD-Na score 34.3 ± 12.1),grade 5 in 9 patients (5.7％,MELD-Na score 30.7 ± 12.3),grade 6 in 35 patients (22％,MELD-Na score 37.1 ± 10.4).There was no grade 1 patient.The AUC of the MELD-Na score for the severe and death groups were 0.631 (P ＜ 0.05;95 ％ CI,0.533 ～ 0.728) and 0.670 (P ＜ 0.05;95 ％ CI,0.574 ～ 0.766) respectively.The MELD-Na score was significantly correlated with the Accordion severity grade (rho 0.297,P ＜ 0.01) on Spearman correlation analysis.Multivariate analysis showed that a MELD-Na score ≥25 was a risk factor of postoperative severe grade complication (P ＜ 0.05,OR =4.35),a MELD-Na score ≥35 was a risk factor of postoperative mortality (P ＜0.01,HR =4.72).Conclusion The MELD-Na score was significantly correlated with the Accordion severity grade,which efficaciously predicted the complication severity grades after liver transplantation.
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Objective To explore the value of the Accordion severity grading system (ASGS) in predicting short-term outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation for severe hepatitis by classifying post-surgery complications.Methods The clinical documents of 159 patients were retrospectively analyzed who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation for severe hepatitis between Aug.1,2004 to Sept.1,2014 at our center.Complications were categorized according to the ASGS:grade 1 (mild),grade 2 (moderate),grade 3-5 (severe),and grade 6 (death).Outcome measures included ventilator support time,the length of ICU stay,postoperative recovery time.Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to test the correlation between the different grades with these outcome measures.1-year survival trends of different grade complication groups were demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier method and compared by Log-rank test.Results In total,43 (27.0％) patients had a grade 2 complication;41 (25.8％) grade 3;31 (19.5％) grade 4;9 (5.7％) grade 5;and 35 (22.0％) grade 6.There was no grade 1 patient.There was a significant correlation between the complication grades and the ventilator support time,the length of ICU stay and postoperative inpatient time (P＜0.01).With the increase of the complication grades,the outcome measures were even worse.Severe grade complication group had a longer ventilator support time,the length of ICU stay and postoperative inpatient time than the moderate grade complication group (P＜0.01).There was a significant downward trend in 1-year survival with the increase of the complication grade (P＜0.01).Conclusion The ASGS is helpful to assess risks and predict short-term outcomes after liver transplantation for severe hepatitis.Higher Accordion grades are correlated with even worse short-term outcomes.
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AIM: To investigate the effect of apoptosis and the change of mitochondial tansmembrane potential in A549 cells induced by thermochemotherapy of ADM. METHODS: ADM of different concentrations was directly applied to A549 cells cultivated in vitro. Cells maintained at 42.5 ℃ for 30 min. RESULTS: The inhibition of A549 cells was increased by thermochemotherapy of ADM significantly,and the cytoplasmic concentration of thermochemotherapy of ADM was significantly higher than that of chemotherapy (P