Study on the risk factors of tuberculosis in four cities and provinces in China / 中华流行病学杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To investigate the influencing factors on tuberculosis (TB) in four provinces in the eastern and central parts of China.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>From Nov. 2009 to Feb. 2011, three population-based field surveys were conducted among the resident population in several townships/streets in Guangdong, Hunan and Jiangsu provinces and Shanghai municipality to collect TB-related information. 474 sputum smear positive TB patients and 1896 controls were randomly selected from the population under study and each case was matched by province, age and sex using a frequency matching method. Single-variable and multiple non-conditional logistic regression modeling were applied for data analysis, and odds ratios (ORs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>Data from Single-variable analysis showed that TB history, history of exposure to TB, DM history, immigrant population and per-capita living space were risk factors for TB, and high level of education was protective factors.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>from multiple logistic regression showed that the risk factors of TB would include the following items: history of having had TB (OR = 52.356, 95%CI: 18.956 - 144.607), living space over 50 m(2)per-capita (OR = 8.742, 95%CI: 1.107 - 69.064), history of exposure to TB (OR = 6.083, 95%CI: 2.336 - 15.839) and being immigrants (OR = 3.306, 95%CI: 1.907 - 5.734), while having had high degree of education as the protective factor of TB (OR = 0.284, 95%CI: 0.110 - 0.733).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Control programs targeting those ever having TB patients and contacts to TB patients as well as immigrants should be strengthened.</p>

Construction of surveillance and early-warning-index-system on tuberculosis in China / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To establish the surveillance and warning index system corresponnding with the epidemic characteristics of tuberculosis,in China.Methods Literature review and expert meeting were conducted to formulate the preliminary index system frame.Delphi method was used for screening the index and determining the weight of each index.Results Two-round Delphi consultations were performed.The activity coefficients were 87.0％,90.0％ respectively,with means of authority coefficient as 0.850 ± 0.055 and 0.917 ± 0.017,respectively.Mean scores of the index were 7.063 ± 1.435,8.156 ± 0.611 respectively,with the means of coefficient of variation as 0.352 ±0.161 and 0.170 ± 0.057 respectively.The harmony coefficients were 0.322 (x2=499.472,P＜0.05)and 0.393 (x2=241.126,P＜0.05) respectively.After the two-round consultation,the tuberculosis monitoring and warning index system was developed,including 4 first-class indicators,9 second-class indicators and 48 third- class indicators.Conclusion An index system was established for tuberculosis monitoring and early warning that could provide evidence for tuberculosis prevention and control as well as for the forecasting and warning model of the disease.