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Objective To find out the clinical indicators related to prognosis in patients with acute mushroom poisoning, and approach its correlation with prognosis. Methods Clinical data of patients with mushroom poisoning admitted to the First Hospital of China Medical University, the Ninth People's Hospital of Shenyang, Xiuyan Central People's Hospital, and Fushun Central Hospital from August 2015 to August 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The biochemical indicators within 24 hours after admission, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, whether plasmapheresis (PE) was carried out or not and 28-day prognosis of patients were collected. According to prognosis, the patients were divided into death group and survival group, and the differences in above parameters between the two groups were compared. Spearman or Pearson correlation method was used to analyze the relationship between MELD score and prognosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the prognostic value of MELD score for prognosis. Further analysis of the patients receiving PE treatment was conducted. Results A total of four Liaoning hospitals with 89 patients with mushroom poisoning were enrolled, with 6 died within 28 days, and 83 survived. There were 17 patients with severely impaired liver and coagulant functions accepted PE treatment, with 6 patients died within 28 days, and 11 survived. ① In 89 patients, compared with survival group, MELD score, prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), total bilirubin (TBil), international normalized ratio (INR), blood glucose (Glu), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) in death group were significantly increased [MELD score: 32.34 (28.31, 41.06) vs. 8.76 (3.77, 21.19), PT (s): 53.5 (52.4, 113.2) vs. 14.5 (13.8, 19.5), APTT (s): 58.6 (48.9, 70.8) vs. 36.9 (34.4, 43.2), TBil (μmol/L): 134.8 (31.3, 155.6) vs. 21.5 (15.1, 41.4), INR: 6.0 (5.6, 14.7) vs. 1.2 (1.1, 1.5), Glu (mmol/L): 9.2 (9.0, 11.0) vs. 6.6 (5.7, 7.8), ALT (U/L):5 923.0 (1 105.0, 6 000.0) vs. 35.0 (18.0, 1 767.0), GGT (U/L): 49.0 (32.0, 57.0) vs. 25.0 (16.0, 41.0), all P < 0.05], but the prothrombin activity (PTA), albumin (ALB), serum Na+, Cl- were significantly decreased [PTA: 13.0% (6.0%, 14.0%) vs. 80.0% (61.0%, 87.0%), ALB (g/L): 31.1 (29.8, 39.0) vs. 42.4 (37.9, 44.3), Na+(mmol/L): 126.5 (122.4, 131.0) vs. 137.0 (134.9, 141.0), Cl- (mmol/L): 93.5 (87.6, 95.0) vs. 104.0 (101.3, 106.0), all P < 0.05]. Spearson correlation analysis showed that MELD score of patients with mushroom poisoning was positively correlated with the 28-day mortality (r = 0.423, P = 0.001). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of MELD score for prognosis of patients with mushroom poisoning was 0.926; when the cut-off value was 27.30, the sensitivity was 100%, and the specificity was 84.3%. ② In 17 patients who accepted PE treatment, compared with survival group, the MELD score, TBil, Glu, and ALT in the death group were significantly increased [MELD score: 36.81±5.18 vs. 29.01±5.23, TBil (μmol/L): 145.2±13.9 vs. 93.2±44.0, Glu (mmol/L): 9.1±1.9 vs. 6.0±2.7, ALT (U/L): 5 961.5±44.5 vs. 3 932.9±1 625.7, all P < 0.05], and Cl- was significantly lowered (mmol/L: 94.3±1.2 vs. 100.5±5.7, P < 0.05), but SOFA score showed no significant difference (5.83±2.71 vs. 5.91±1.58, P > 0.05). Correlation analysis showed that the MELD score in patients with mushroom poisoning who accepted PE treatment was positively correlated with 28-day mortality (r = 0.355, P = 0.001), but no correlation with SOFA score was found (r = 0.427, P = 0.087). ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of MELD score in the prediction of mushroom poisoning patients undergoing PE treatment was 0.545; when the cut-off value was 32.19, the sensitivity was 33.3%, and the specificity was 100%. Conclusions In mushroom poisoning patients, especially those undergoing PE treatment, the higher the MELD score, the higher the mortality is. MELD score could assess the prognosis of patients with acute mushroom poisoning.
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Objective To investigate the evaluation value of oxygenation index at different times of mechanical ventilation (MV) on the prognosis of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).Methods A retrospectively analysis was conducted. A total of 228 patients with ARDS admitted to Department of Emergency of China Medical University Affiliated First Hospital from February 2014 to June 2016 were enrolled. All patients underwent MV treatment, and recruitment maneuver (RM) was performed by pressure-controlled ventilation (PCV) 30 minutes after the implementation of the protective ventilation strategy. Arterial blood gas analysis was performed at MV immediately, after RM and at 6, 12, 24 hours of MV, and oxygenation index was calculated. Vital signs, laboratory data, ultrasonic echocardiography, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, duration of MV, and ventilator related parameters of patients were collected. The patients were divided into survivors and non-survivors according to the prognosis of 28 days. The survivors were subdivided into high and low oxygenation group (oxygenation index was ≥ 150 mmHg and < 150 mmHg, respectively, 1 mmHg = 0.133 kPa). Differences in clinical indicators between survivors and non-survivors were compared. The correlation between the oxygenation index after RM and the oxygenation index at each time after MV was analyzed by bivariate correlation analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to analyze predictive value of oxygenation index measured at different times for the 28-day outcome of patients with ARDS.Results Among 228 patients, 99 patients died within 28 days, and 129 survived, with mortality rate of 43.4%. ① The oxygenation index after RM and at 6, 12, 24 hours after MV in survivors and non-survivors showed a continuously increased tendency, which was significantly lower in non-survivors than that in survivors (allP < 0.05). There was no significant difference in the duration of MV between high oxygenation group and low oxygenation group at MV immediately and after RM, but the duration of MV in high oxygenation group was significantly shorter than that of the low oxygenation group at 6, 12, 24 hour of MV (allP < 0.01). ② After ventilation for 24 hours, serum creatinine (SCr), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), lactate (Lac), right ventricular internal diameter, and SOFA score in non-survivors were significantly higher than those of survivors, and arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2), platelet (PLT) and right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) were significantly lower than those of survivors (allP < 0.05). ③ After 24 hours ventilation, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP), tidal volume (VT), and minute ventilation (VE) in non-survivors were significantly higher than those of survivors, and static compliance of thorax (Cdyn) was significantly lower than that of survivors (allP < 0.01). ④ It was shown by correlation analysis that the oxygenation index after RM was positively correlated with those at 6, 12, 24 hours of MV (r values were 0.856, 0.765, and 0.758, respectively, allP < 0.001). ⑤ It was shown by ROC curve that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the oxygenation index after RM for predicting 28-day prognosis was 0.688. When the cut-off value was 80.75 mmHg, the sensitivity was 97.7%, and the specificity was 42.4%, which could only be used for preliminary judgment of prognosis. The AUC of oxygenation index at 6, 12,24 hours of MV for 28-day survival of ARDS patients were 0.719, 0.727, 0.754, respectively. When the cut-off values were 171.50, 192.14, and 161.75 mmHg, the sensitivity was 69.8%, 67.4%, 86.0%, and the specificity was 78.8%, 78.8%, and 63.6%, respectively. It indicated that the predictive value was higher, and no significant difference was found among the oxygenation index at different time points.Conclusions The oxygenation index after the early stage of RM can preliminarily determine the prognosis of patients. The predictive value of oxygenation index after MV for 28-day survival of ARDS patients was higher, so the oxygenation index measured at 6 hours of MV may be considered to evaluate the prognosis of patients with ARDS.