RESUMEN
<b>Introduction</b>: The importance of estimating the prognosis of advanced cancer patients is well known, but clinicians do not estimate survival time accurately. Since there is a need for an objective index to estimate survival time, the utility of the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), which depends only on objective factors, was evaluated. <b>Methods</b>: The PNI was calculated using the following formula, PNI=10×serum albumin value (g/dL)+0.005×lymphocyte count in peripheral blood, at 3 months, 2 months, 1 month, 3 weeks, 2 weeks, 1 week, and within 3 days before death in 278 cancer patients (166 men, 112 women; age range, 33-99 years; mean age, 69.8 years) who died in a hospital surgical unit. <b>Results</b>: Sites of primary diseases included lung, breast, esophagus, stomach, colorectum, liver, biliary tract, and pancreas. The PNI values showed a gradual decrease over time. Changes in the PNI values were lower in non-gastrointestinal cancer patients than in gastrointestinal cancer patients. The mean PNI value was significantly higher in patients who lived >3 weeks (38.8) than in those who died within 3 weeks (32.4). When the PNI cut-off point was set at 35, and it was assumed that the life expectancy was within 3 weeks in cases with PNI <35, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were 74.8%, 62.2%, 68.1%, and 69.6%, respectively. <b>Discussion</b>: The PNI appears to be a useful and simple parameter to predict clinical outcomes of patients with terminal stage cancer. Particularly, the PNI is considered feasible for gastrointestinal cancer patients.
RESUMEN
ObjectiveTo evaluate the value of the international union against cancer (UICC)stage,pathologic complete response (pCR),and the estimated treatment response as various means for prognostic stratifying patients after surgery in patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus who received preoperative radiotherapy (RT).MethodsA retrospective review was performed on 311 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received RT before the esophagectomy. Data collected included the demographics,the RT details,the pathologic findings,and the survival.Prognostic survival was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method and Logrank test.ResultsThe follow-up rate was 96.5％,89 and 43 patients,respectively were followed up more than 5 and 10 years.In univariate analysis,residual disease and the number of positive lymph node were predictors of the overall survival ( T-pCR,x2 =11.53,P =0.001 ;0,1 -3,≥4,x2=42.13,P=0.000,respectively).Further study found the 7th stage system of UICC cannot (can or cannot) entirely predict the prognosis of this group of patients.If categorizing the stages of their lymph nodes into three groups:N0(0),N1 (1-3) and N2(≥4)),and the modified UICC system can accurately distinguish ypStage Ⅰ with ypStage Ⅱ ( T0.3 N 1 M0 + T3 N0 M0 ) ( x2 =11.15,P =0.001 ) and ypStage Ⅱ with ypStage Ⅲ ( T4 N0-1 M0 and T0-3 N2 M0 ) ( x2 =23.39,P =0.000 ).ConclusionsThe pathologic post-radiotherapy T stage and the number of positive lymph node are predictors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving preoperative radiotherapy.The modified UICC stage system can be a better survival predictor than the 7th UICC stage system.