Diagnostic value of pulmonary embolism volumein identifying mild-to-high-risk acute pulmonary embolism based on quantitative CT / 西安交通大学学报(医学版)

Objective To investigate the value of computer-assisted quantification of pulmonary embolism volume(PEV)in identifying mild-to-high-risk acute pulmonary embolism(APE).Methods We retrospectively enrolled 143 patients with suspected APE confirmed by computed tomography pulmonary angiography(CTPA)at Yan'an University Affiliated Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020.According to the 2018 Chinese Guidelines for Diagnosis,Treatment and Prevention of Pulmonary Thromboembolism,all the patients were divided into low-risk group(n=88)and mild-to-high-risk group(n=55).We collected the patients'basic demographic data,clinical manifestations,and serum levels of N-terminal-B type natriuretic peptide precursor(NT-proBNP)and D-dimer.Based on CTPA images,the degree of pulmonary thromboembolism was artificially evaluated to obtain the pulmonary artery occlusion index(PAOI).The thrombus was segmented using the pulmonary embolism detection tool based on digital lung,and PEV was calculated.We compared the differences in clinical and laboratory indicators and PAOI and PEV between the two risk groups.We analyzed the value of PAOI and PEV in identifying mild-to-high-risk APE using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,and used Logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors in predicting mild-to-high-risk APE.Different models were established.Results Compared with the low-risk group,APE patients in the mild-to-high-risk group were older(P＜0.05),had lower diastolic blood pressure(P＜0.05),higher levels of D-dimer and NT-proBNP(P＜0.05),lower levels of platelet count,arterial oxygen partial pressure and arterial carbon dioxide partial pressure(P＜0.05),and higher levels of PAOI and PEV(P＜0.001).ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for PEV in identifying mild-to-high-risk APE was 0.809(95％CI:0.734-0.884),while that for PAOI was 0.753(95％CI:0.667-0.839).Logistic regression analysis showed that PEV and NT-proBNP were independent risk factors for mild-to-high-risk APE(P＜0.05).Conclusion PEV and NT-proBNP are independent risk factors for mild-to-high-risk APE.

Efficacy analysis of the acute endovascular treatment in patients with symptomatic severe anterior intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis / 中国脑血管病杂志

Objective Observing the feasibility of acute endovascular treatment for patients with symptomatic anterior intracranial atherosclerotic severe stenosis.Method From Jun 2019 to Jun 2023,30 symptomatic anterior intracranial atherosclerotic severe stenosis cases were retrospectively collected in the Guangdong Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine to evaluate the risk stratification score and explore the safety and effectiveness of acute(≤72.0h)endovascular treatment.Endovascular treatment includes balloon dilation+self-expanding stent placement,balloon-mounted stent placement,and balloon dilation.From the clinical experience,the risk stratification score was based on the ABCD3-I score for transient ischemic attacks(TIA)and additional evaluation of cerebral watershed infarction to identify the risk of stroke progression or recurrence in acute stage of symptomatic intracranial artery stenosis.The score of 0-3 was defined as low-risk,4-7 as medium risk,and 8-13 as high-risk.The successful revascularization of blood flow is determined based on the residual stenosis≤50％and the extended thrombolysis in cerebral infarction(eTICI)＞2c.The information of patient receiving endovascular treatment was recorded,including age,sex,risk factors of cerebrovascular disease(hypertension,diabetes,hyperlipidemia,hyperhomocysteinemia,drinking history,smoking history),onset data(time from onset to endovascular treatment,symptoms,progression),diseased vessels,risk stratification score,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score before and 90 days after surgery,modified Rankin scale(mRS)score 90 days after surgery,intraoperative cerebrovascular events(intracranial hemorrhage,occlusion of responsible vessels),and postoperative cerebrovascular events 90 days after surgery(intracranial hemorrhage,cerebral infarction,TIA and in-stent restenosis)and deaths.Results Among 30 patients with symptomatic anterior intracranial atherosclerotic severe stenosis,3 patients were excluded from the time interval between onset and endovascular treatment＞72.0 hours,1 patient needed long-term anticoagulant drugs due to other diseases,1 patient lost follow-up,3 patients coexisted with other cardiogenic cerebral embolism diseases,4 patients with non-atherosclerotic arterial stenosis,and 7 patients refused emergency endovascular treatment.11 patients were finally included.(1)All 11 patients were successfully treated with endovascular treatment,and 7 were males;age ranged from 52 to 76 years old,with a median age of 64 years old;there were 9 cases with hypertension,3 cases diabetes,7 cases hyperlipidemia,2 cases hyperhomocysteinemia(only 9cases performed the examination),2cases smoking history,1 case drinking history;time from onset to endovascular treatment is 4.0-72.0 h,with a median time of 12.0 h;there were 3 and 8 cases of infarction in the left and right hemispheres,respectively,with 4,3,and 2 cases accompanied with anterior-posterior watershed,medial watershed,and anlerior-medial-posterior watershed infarctions,and 1 case accompanied by posterior-medial,anterior-medial watershed infarctions.(2)Among the 1 1 patients,the risk stratification score was 10-13 points,with a median score of 11 points;preoperative NIHSS score ranged 0-11 points,with a median score of 7 points.(3)Among the 1 1 patients,10 lesions located in the middle cerebral artery and 1 in the C7 segment of the internal carotid artery;the preoperative stenosis rate was 70％to 99％,with a median stenosis rate of 86％;preoperative eTICI grading was 2a in 7 cases and 2b50 in 4 cases(with slow distal blood flow);9 cases received balloon dilation and self-expanding stent placement,1 case received balloon-mounted stent placement,and 1 case received balloon dilation treatment;the postoperative stenosis rate is 10％to 20％,with a median stenosis rate of 15％;there were 3 cases with postoperative eTICI grade 2c and 8 cases with grade 3.(4)Among the 11 patients,one experienced intracranial hemorrhage on the first day after surgery and one had a new cerebral infarction on the third day after surgery.Eight patients were followed up by imaging 90days after surgery,demonstrating 2 cases of in-stent restenosis;90 days post-surgery,NIHSS score was 0-20 points,with a median score of 2 points;after 90 days of surgery,the mRS score was 0-4 points,with a median score of 1 point.There were 8 patients with mRS score ≤ 2 and no death events occurred.Conclusions Preliminary analysis shows that acute endovascular treatment for symptomatic anterior intracranial atherosclerotic severe stenosis has certain effectiveness,but the safety needs to be further validated.The screening of high-risk patients using risk stratification scores still requires further exploration through large sample and multicenter studies.

Necesidad de calcular el riesgo cardiovascular global en pacientes hipertensos

Ante la amenaza para la salud que representan las enfermedades cardiovasculares, la iniciativa HEARTS, de la Organización Mundial de Salud, brinda apoyo a los países para que fortalezcan las medidas destinadas a prevenir las enfermedades cardiovasculares, como la estratificación del riesgo cardiovascular. Los autores proponen como objetivo fundamentar la necesidad del cálculo del riesgo cardiovascular global en la atención primaria de salud. Para estimar el riesgo cardiovascular global se utilizan dos formas: la cualitativa y la cuantitativa. En esta última, se consideran determinados factores de riesgo cardiovascular, que se expresa en términos de bajo, medio y alto. Existen varios sistemas en diferentes soportes que permiten su uso en diversos escenarios; además, posibilitan planificar el seguimiento y el tratamiento de acuerdo al riesgo. Aunque tienen desventajas, su uso es recomendable para prevenir complicaciones y muerte. El cálculo del riesgo cardiovascular global en pacientes hipertensos es una medida de gran valor para predecir mortalidad, establecer la estrategia terapéutica y planificar el seguimiento de los pacientes. Su uso debe extenderse y consolidarse a todos los niveles de la atención de salud.

Faced with the global health threat posed by cardiovascular diseases, the HEARTS initiative of the World Health Organization supports countries to strengthen measures to prevent cardiovascular diseases, such as cardiovascular risk stratification. The authors propose as an objective to substantiate the need of calculating global cardiovascular risk in primary health care. Two forms are used to estimate global cardiovascular risk: qualitative and quantitative. In the latter, certain cardiovascular risk factors are considered and expressed in terms of low, medium, and high risk. There are several systems and in different supports that allow their use in various scenarios; in addition they make it possible to plan the follow-up and treatment according to risk. Although they have disadvantages, their use is recommended to prevent complications and death. The calculation of global cardiovascular risk in hypertensive patients is a measure of great value for predicting mortality, establishing the therapeutic strategy, and planning patient follow-up. Its use should be extended and consolidated at all levels of health care.

Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for malignant pleural mesothelioma / 中华肿瘤杂志

Objective: To development the prognostic nomogram for malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM). Methods: Two hundred and ten patients pathologically confirmed as MPM were enrolled in this retrospective study from 2007 to 2020 in the People's Hospital of Chuxiong Yi Autonomous Prefecture, the First and Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, and divided into training (n=112) and test (n=98) sets according to the admission time. The observation factors included demography, symptoms, history, clinical score and stage, blood cell and biochemistry, tumor markers, pathology and treatment. The Cox proportional risk model was used to analyze the prognostic factors of 112 patients in the training set. According to the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis, the prognostic prediction nomogram was established. C-Index and calibration curve were used to evaluate the model's discrimination and consistency in raining and test sets, respectively. Patients were stratified according to the median risk score of nomogram in the training set. Log rank test was performed to compare the survival differences between the high and low risk groups in the two sets. Results: The median overall survival (OS) of 210 MPM patients was 384 days (IQR=472 days), and the 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rates were 75.7%, 52.6%, 19.7%, and 13.0%, respectively. Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that residence (HR=2.127, 95% CI: 1.154-3.920), serum albumin (HR=1.583, 95% CI: 1.017-2.464), clinical stage (stage Ⅳ: HR=3.073, 95% CI: 1.366-6.910) and the chemotherapy (HR=0.476, 95% CI: 0.292-0.777) were independent prognostic factors for MPM patients. The C-index of the nomogram established based on the results of Cox multivariate regression analysis in the training and test sets were 0.662 and 0.613, respectively. Calibration curves for both the training and test sets showed moderate consistency between the predicted and actual survival probabilities of MPM patients at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years. The low-risk group had better outcomes than the high-risk group in both training (P=0.001) and test (P=0.003) sets. Conclusion: The survival prediction nomogram established based on routine clinical indicators of MPM patients provides a reliable tool for prognostic prediction and risk stratification.

Correlation analysis of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio with risk stratification/prognosis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism / 中华急诊医学杂志

Objective:To analyze the clinical characteristics and risk stratification of 182 patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE), and to investigate the correlation of neutrophil (N)/lymphocyte (L) ratio (NLR) and risk stratification/prognosis.Methods:The clinical data of 182 APE patients admitted to Peking University People’s Hospital from January 2015 to March 2021 were retrospectively collected, including age, sex, symptoms and signs, blood pressure, blood gas analysis, blood routine parameters, cardiac biomarkers, coagulation parameters, and right ventricular imaging parameters. The patients were divided into groups according to the risk stratification at admission and prognosis in hospital. χ2 test, t test or nonparametric test were used to analyze the differences in clinical characteristics, blood routine parameters, blood gas analysis, coagulation parameters and other parameters between the groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to study the independent risk factors for the prognosis of APE. Results:Among the 182 patients, 79 were male and 103 were female, 23 were in the high-risk group, 51 were in the intermediate-high-risk group, 46 were in the intermediate-low risk group, and 62 were in the low-risk group. There were 27 deaths and 155 survivors. The respiratory rate of the high/intermediate-high-risk group was significantly higher than that of the low/intermediate-low-risk group. Compared with the other three groups, pH, oxygen partial pressure (PO 2) and blood oxygen saturation (SO 2) in the high-risk group were significantly lower ( both P<0.05). There were statistically significant differences in WBC, N, and NLR levels between the high/intermediate-high-risk group and low/intermediate-low-risk group ( both P<0.05). However there were no significant differences in PLT, PLT/MPV, PLT/PDW, and coagulation related parameters PT, FIB, APTT and D-D between groups (all P > 0.05). MPV and PDW were only significantly different between the low-risk group, intermediate-low-risk group and high-risk group ( both P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR ( OR=1.179,95% CI:1.029-1.410, P=0.039) and PH ( OR=1.156,95% CI:1.031-1.522, P=0.041) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The ROC curve was used to analyze the predictive value of NLR for in-hospital mortality. When the cutoff value of NLR was 8.38, the AUC of NLR was 0.824 (95% CI: 0.829-0.913), the corresponding sensitivity was 0.831, and the specificity was 0.887. Conclusions:NLR is correlated with risk stratification and prognosis of APE, and is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis.

Value of endoscopic ultrasound elastography versus contrast-enhanced computed tomography in the diagnosis of gastrointestinal stromal tumors / 中国基层医药

Objective:To investigate the clinical value of endoscopic ultrasound elastography versus contrast-enhanced computed tomography in the risk stratification of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs). Methods:Clinical and imaging data were obtained from 77 patients who were confirmed to have GISTs and underwent endoscopic or surgical treatment at Wenzhou Central Hospital between May 2019 and April 2021. Endoscopic ultrasound elastography based on a five-point scoring system and hypotonic gastrointestinal contrast-enhanced computed tomography were performed for preoperative risk stratification of GISTs. The two techniques were compared in terms of the accuracy of preoperative risk stratification of GISTs. The imaging features of the two techniques were summarized.Results:According to the postoperative pathological results, 13 patients were at high risk, 13 patients were at medium risk, 35 patients were at low risk, and 16 patients were at extremely low risk. These patients were divided into two groups according to postoperative pathological results: a low-risk group (low risk + extremely low risk) and a medium- and high-risk group (high + medium risk). In the low-risk group ( n = 51), 42 patients were identified by endoscopic ultrasound elastography to have low-risk GISTs and were recommended to receive endoscopic treatment, while the rest 9 patients were identified to have medium-risk GISTs. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography findings revealed that 30 patients had low-risk GISTs and were recommended to receive endoscopic treatment, and 21 patients had medium-risk GISTs. In the medium- and high-risk group ( n = 26), 4 patients were identified by endoscopic ultrasound elastography to have low-risk GISTs, and 22 patients had medium- or high-risk GISTs. Contrast-enhanced computed tomography findings revealed that 9 patients were identified to have low-risk GISTs, and 17 patients had medium- or high-risk GISTs. Endoscopic ultrasound elastography yielded an overall diagnostic accuracy of 83.11% (64/77), while contrast-enhanced computed tomography had an overall diagnostic accuracy of 61.04% (47/77). Endoscopic ultrasound elastography outperformed contrast-enhanced computed tomography in accurate risk stratification of GISTs ( χ2 = 4.66, P < 0.05). In terms of predicting high-risk GISTs, endoscopic ultrasound elastography had a sensitivity of 84.62% and a specificity of 82.35%, both were higher than those of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (sensitivity: 65.38%; specificity: 58.82%), but the differences in sensitivity and specificity between the two techniques were not significant (sensitivity: Fisher's exact test P = 0.590, specificity: χ2 = 0.93, P > 0.05). Conclusion:Endoscopic ultrasound elastography appears to have a better overall diagnostic accuracy in the risk stratification of GISTs compared with contrast-enhanced computed tomography. The combined use of these two techniques may offer a better comprehensive understanding of the perilesional structure and organ involvements and distant metastasis than a single technique, thereby providing a reliable reference for the choice of treatment for GISTs.

Optimizing the risk stratification of coronary CT angiography for non-obstructive coronary artery disease based on cluster analysis / 中华放射学杂志

Objective:To explore the risk stratification value of coronary CT angiography (CCTA) in patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease based on cluster analysis and to identify the high-risk population of cardiovascular adverse events in patients.Methods:Prospective consecutive patients with suspected coronary artery disease who underwent CCTA examination and were confirmed as non-obstructive coronary heart disease were enrolled in the General Hospital of Chinese PLA from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2017. The clinical characteristics and CCTA diagnosis information of patients were collected, and then follow-up was performed to obtain adverse cardiovascular events. Firstly, the cluster analysis based on CCTA information divided the patients into different groups. Then, the risk of adverse cardiovascular events was compared between different groups. Finally, segment involvement score (SIS) score, Leiden score, SIS score combined with clinical characteristics, Leiden score combined with clinical characteristics, and cluster information combined with clinical characteristics were used to stratify the population, and the concordance index-time curve and net reclassification improvement (NRI) index were described to compare the risk stratification ability of the five different models.Results:A total of 3 402 patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease were included in the study, of whom 104 had adverse cardiovascular events during the follow-up period. Cluster analysis based on CCTA information classified patients into 3 different groups. There were statistically significant differences in clinical characteristics, CCTA information, and survival outcomes between groups ( P<0.05). The results of the concordance index-time curve showed that the risk stratification ability of CCTA cluster information combined with clinical characteristics was better than the current SIS score, Leiden score, SIS score combined with clinical characteristics, Leiden score combined with clinical characteristics. At the 1-year and 2-year time cutoffs, cluster information combined with clinical characteristics showed a positive increase in INR compared with the first four models (INR was 0.248 and 0.293, 0.316 and 0.293, 0.147 and 0.003, 0.192 and 0.007, respectively). Conclusion:CCTA based on cluster analysis has a good risk stratification value for patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease and is helpful for individualized intervention.

Association of bone lesions distribution with prognosis in renal cell carcinoma bone metastasis / 中华泌尿外科杂志

Objective:To investigate the association between bone lesions distribution and survival outcome and prognostic risk stratification in renal cell carcinoma bone metastasis (RCC-BM).Methods:The data of 122 RCC-BM patients admitted to Peking University People's Hospital between January 2009 and December 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. There were 100 males and 22 females, with a baseline age of (59.87±11.33) years old. According to the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC)/Motzer score, patients were stratified into different risk groups using profiles at first bone metastasis diagnosis, with 20 (16.4%), 74 (60.6%) and 28 (23.0%) patients in favorable, intermediate and poor group, respectively. The spatial distribution of bone metastasis was investigated at the first bone metastasis diagnosis. The overall distribution patterns were as follows: locoregional group (lesions only involved thoracic and/or lumbar vertebrates) in 26 cases (21.3%), stochastic group (bone lesions randomly distributed) in 69 cases (56.6%), extensive group (with concomitant visceral metastasis) in 27 cases (22.1%). Metastatic site involvement was as follows: spine in 48 cases(39.3%), pelvis in 43 cases (35.2%), upper extremities in 22 cases (18.0%), and lower extremities in 20 cases (16.4%). Half (61 cases) of the enrolled patients had synchronous bone metastasis as their first bone metastases were diagnosed simultaneously with their renal tumors. Of all the patients, 99 (81.1%) accepted radical nephrectomy, 6 (4.9%) accepted partial nephrectomy, and the other 17 patients (13.9%) accepted the treatment of ablation or embolization. Eighty-two patients (67.2%) received definitive treatment for bone metastatic lesions, respectively. Forty patients (32.8%) accepted the palliative tumor reduction therapy. Thirty-two patients (26.2%) received tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) or immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) medication, and 12 patients (9.8%) received local radiotherapy. Distribution variation and therapeutic strategies throughout the disease course until the last follow-up were recorded. Univariate analysis (chi-squared test, Mantel-Haenszel test), Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and multivariate ordinal logistic regression were performed for the possible association.Results:Patients from the locoregional group (30.8%, 8/26) were prone to have higher risk stratification at first diagnosis than patients in the stochastic and extensive groups ( 20.8%, 20/96, P=0.107) as the marginal difference was found. At first bone metastasis diagnosis, RCC-BM patients with spinal involvement were more likely to have higher MSKCC risk stratification than those without spinal involvement [20.3%(15/48) vs. 17.6%(13/74), P<0.05]. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression showed that after adjusting for general data, bone metastasis sites, and concomitant visceral metastasis, RCC-BM patients with spinal involvement at first bone metastasis diagnosis were 3.3 times (95% CI 1.195-9.091, P<0.05)more likely to fall into the higher MSKCC risk group than those without spinal involvement.In those 93 cases with follow-up records, 20 (21.5%), 53 (57.0%), and 20 (21.5%) cases were in the locoregional group, stochastic group, and extensive group, respectively. The median overall survival time (mOS) of patients with pelvic involvement (36 cases) throughout the disease course was 32.0 months (95% CI 6.0-58.0), which was shorter than that of patients without pelvic involvement (57 cases, mOS 49.0 months, 95% CI 20.4-77.5, P<0.05). Conclusions:Spinal involvement (especially limited to thoracic and/or lumbar vertebrates) at first bone metastasis diagnosis and pelvic involvement throughout the disease course were associated with poor prognosis.

Correlation analysis between sleep quality and carotid atherosclerosis in low and moderate risk individuals for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases / 上海交通大学学报（医学版）

Objective·To explore the relationship between sleep quality and carotid atherosclerosis in the population with low or moderate risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.Methods·Based on the population-based cohort study of chronic diseases in Xinjiang,the researchers selected residents aged 35-75 from two fixed communities in Urumqi and Korla,in Northern and Southern Xinjiang,respectively,using a two-stage random cluster sampling method from July 2019 to September 2021.In the population without a history of coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular events,the prediction model for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)risk in China(China-PAR)was used to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.Low and moderate risk population of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were included.Participants completed physical examinations,questionnaires[including the Risk Factors Assessment Scale of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases in Xinjiang,Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index(PSQI),International Physical Activity Questionnaire(IPAQ),and Food Frequency Questionnaire],cardiovascular and metabolic biochemical examinations,and carotid color doppler.Carotid intima-media thickness(CIMT)and plaque formation were used to determine the carotid atherosclerosis of the study subjects.Multivariate Logistic regression model and restricted cubic spline(RCS)were used to analyze the relationship between sleep quality and carotid intima-media thickening/plaque formation in the population with low and moderate risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.Results·A total of 1 528 subjects were included in the study,the mean age was(49.4±8.2)years,and 685(44.8％)were male.In the included population,there were 581(38.0％)subjects with carotid intima-media thickening and 305(20.0％)subjects with carotid plaque formation.Among them,intima-media thickening and plaque formation both occurred in 154(10.1％)people.Therefore,the prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis was 47.9％(732 subjects).Compared with the group without carotid artery thickening,the group with carotid intima-media thickening/plaque formation had higher levels of general cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risk factors,including age,male ratio,blood lipid levels and obesity,and higher PSQ1 sleep score[(7.06±2.13)vs(7.43±2.51),P=0.001].The proportion of patients with poor sleep quality was higher(6.5％vs 12.1％,P=0.001).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that poor sleep quality was an independent risk factor for carotid atherosclerosis[adjusted OR(aOR)=1.22,95％CI 1.004-1.492,P=0.040].RCS analysis suggested that PSQI and the risk of carotid atherosclerosis showed a positive linear correlation,that is,the worse quality of sleep,the higher risk of carotid atherosclerosis.Conclusion·Although the traditional metabolic risk factors are at a low risk level,the prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis is high and poor sleep quality is an independent risk factor for carotid atherosclerosis in the low and moderate risk population of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.

Analysis of Long-Term Prognostic Factors Based on Nutritional Status in Patients with Multiple Myeloma / 中国实验血液学杂志

OBJECTIVE@#To explore the prognostic factors of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) based on nutritional status.@*METHODS@#The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and clinical parameters at diagnosis of 203 newly diagnosed MM patients hospitalized in the department of hematology, Wuxi People's Hospital from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. The best cut-off value was determined by ROC curve, and the patients were divided into high CONUT group (>6.5 points) and low CONUT group (≤6.5 points); through COX regression multivariate analysis of overall survival (OS) time, CONUT, ISS stage, LDH and treatment response were selected for multiparameter prognostic stratification.@*RESULTS@#The OS of MM patients in high CONUT group was shorter. The low-risk group (≤2 points) of the multiparameter risk stratification had longer OS time and progression-free survival (PFS) time compared with the high-risk group (>2 points), and it was also effective for different age or karyotype subgroups, new drug groups containing bortezomib and transplant-ineligible subgroup.@*CONCLUSION@#The risk stratification of MM patients based on CONUT, ISS stage, LDH and treatment response is worthy of clinical application.

Prediction model of NIH risk stratification for gastrointestinal stromal tumor based on ultrasonographic radiomics by oral contrast enhanced ultrasonography / 中华超声影像学杂志

Objective:To investigate the prediction of National Institute of Healthy (NIH) risk stratification of gastrointestinal stromal tumor(GIST) based on clinical ultrasound model, ultrasonographic radiomics model and combined model by oral contrast enhanced ultrasonography.Methods:The clinical and ultrasound imaging data of 204 gastric GIST patients attending Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from June 2021 to June 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, among whom a total of 101 patients with high and moderate NIH risk stratification GIST confirmed by postoperative pathology were included in the high risk group, and a total of 103 patients with low and extremely low NIH risk stratification GIST were in the low risk group. The ultrasound images of the largest diameter of the GIST were manually segmented by ITK-SNAP software, and Pyradiomics (v3.0.1) module in Python 3.8.7 was applied to extract ultrasonographic radiomics features from the ROI segmented images. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets in the ratio of 7∶3. The XGBoost of Sklearn module was applied to construct the clinical ultrasound imaging model, ultrasonographic radiomics model, and combined model. Then the area under ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were evaluated; the predictive ability of the three models was compared by Delong test. Calibration Curve was applied to evaluate the model performance, and the clinical Decision Curve Analysis was applied to determine the net benefit to patients.Results:A total of 578 ultrasonographic radiomics features were extracted from ROI, and 8 ultrasonographic radiomics features were finally retained for modeling after regression and dimensionality reduction. Finally, test results showed that AUC, sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of clinical ultrasound imaging model, ultrasonographic radiomics model and combined model were 0.75, 69.3%, 68.9%, 69.1%; 0.87, 79.2%, 81.6%, 80.4%; 0.91, 80.2%, 83.5%, 81.9%, respectively. Delong test showed that the difference of AUC between ultrasonographic radiomics model and clinical ultrasound imaging model was statistically significant ( Z=2.698, P<0.001), and the combined model was significantly better than clinical ultrasound imaging model ( Z=4.062, P<0.001) and ultrasonographic radiomics model ( Z=2.225, P=0.026). Calibration Curve showed the high performance of combined model, and Decision Curve Analysis showed the superior clinical usefulness of combined model. Conclusions:It is feasible to construct an ultrasonographic radiomics model for GIST NIH risk stratification based on oral contrast enhanced ultrasonography images, and the combined model has more advantageous diagnostic performance, which can identify high risk NIH GIST objectively and stably for clinical purposes.

Estratificacion de riesgo y pronostico de las eritrocitosis patologicas en la altura / Risk stratification and prognosis of pathological erythrocytoses at altitude

Introducción. Las eritrocitosis patológicas en la altura afectan al 10 % de la población constituyéndose una causa importante de morbilidad por enfermedades no transmisibles. Suscita emergente categorizar la severidad de estas eritrocitosis para estimar su evolución y tratamientos adecuados. Objetivo. Estratificar el riesgo de las eritrocitosis patológicas en la altura considerando parámetros de severidad que sean de utilidad clínica en el pronóstico y tratamiento. Material y métodos. Estudio transversal retrospectivo de 283 historias clínicas de pacientes con eritrocitosis patológica de altura (EPA) o eritrocitosis secundaria (ES), residentes en altura (>3600 m s. n. m) y diagnosticados entre gestiones 2000 a 2021. Se identificó características clínico-laboratoriales diferenciales respecto del diagnóstico, respuesta al tratamiento y evolución de pacientes. Se planteó 3 niveles de estratificación de riesgo (bajo, intermedio, alto) considerando variaciones en síntomas de hiperviscosidad, eritropoyetina, complicaciones y comorbilidades. Resultados. 194 pacientes correspondieron al grupo de riesgo bajo, 67 al riesgo intermedio y 22 al riesgo alto. Riesgo bajo conllevó Epo 30 mUI/ml (30-100 mUI/ml), tratamiento con atorvastatina-aspirina, respuestas parciales y pronóstico regular, concerniendo pacientes con ES asociada a patologías pulmonares leves. Riesgo alto reflejó Epo >100 mUI/ml, inclusión de hidroxiurea al tratamiento con atorvastatina, menor respuesta y pronóstico desfavorable, incumbiendo pacientes >60 años con ES asociada a patologías pulmonares crónicas severas o complicaciones por eritrocitosis. Conclusiones. Contar con niveles de riesgo para las eritrocitosis patológicas permite conjeturar su pronóstico y optimizar decisiones terapéuticas.

Introduction. Pathological erythrocytoses at altitude affect 10% of the population, representing an important cause of morbidity from non-communicable diseases. Categorizing the severity of such erythrocytoses to estimate their evolution and suitable treatments becomes emergent. Objective. To stratify the risk of the pathological erythrocytoses at high altitude considering severity parameters useful for prognosis and treatment. Material and methods. Retrospective cross-sectional study that included 283 medical records of patients with Chronic Mountain Sickness-erythrocytosis (CMS-e) or Secondary Erythrocytosis (SE), inhabitants at high altitude (>3600 m a. s. l.) diagnosed between 2000 to 2021. Differential clinical-laboratory characteristics regarding the diagnosis, response to treatment and evolution of patients were identified. Three risk groups (low, intermediate, high) were raised, considering variations about hyperviscosity symptoms, erythropoietin levels, complications, and comorbidities. Results. 194 patients corresponded to the low-risk group, 67 to the intermediaterisk and 22 to the high-risk. Low-risk group involved Epo 30 mIU/ml (30-100 mIU/ ml), treatment with atorvastatin-aspirin, partial responses and favorable prognosis, concerning patients with SE attributed to mild lung diseases. High-risk reflected Epo >100 mIU/ml, inclusion of hydroxyurea to the treatment with atorvastatin, poor response and unfavorable prognosis, involving patients >60 years of age with SE attributed to severe and chronic lung diseases or complications due to erythrocytosis. Conclusion. Counting on a risk stratification for pathological erythrocytosis at high altitude allows to assess the prognosis and optimize therapeutic decisions.

Clinical relevance of oxidative stress biomarkers in cardiovascular prevention / Relevância clínica de biomarcadores de estresse oxidativo na prevenção cardiovascular

Cardiovascular diseases involve hyperlipidemia, inflammation and oxidative stress. Although this relationship is well established, only biomarkers associated with hyperlipidemia and inflammation are currently in clinical practice for diagnosis and evaluation of patient treatment. Our hypothesis is that oxidative stress biomarkers may be an independent risk factor and may assist in cardiovascular risk stratification and contribute to improving current scores. Thus, the objective of this study was to investigate which are the biomarkers and methodologies were used in clinical studies in humans with different health conditions. With the results obtained in the first part, we selected studies conducted in healthy individuals and in individuals under primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention in order to evaluate the most frequent biomarkers, the results obtained according to the individual's profile and the methodology used, and correlate with different health conditions. We observed that malondialdehyde (MDA) was the most frequent lipid biomarker of oxidative stress applied in the studies, but it presented significant variability in the results and a weak correlation with clinical outcomes. The result of this study demonstrates the importance of carrying out a multicentric study to validate the MDA values in individuals with different health conditions and the standardization of the methodology based on high performance liquid chromatographyy (HPLC)

As doenças cardiovasculares envolvem hiperlipidemia, inflamação e estresse oxidativo. Embora essa relação esteja bem estabelecida, apenas biomarcadores associados à hiperlipidemia e inflamação são atuais na prática clínica para diagnóstico e avaliação do tratamento do paciente. Nossa hipótese é que biomarcadores de estresse oxidativo podem ser um fator de risco independente e podem auxiliar na estratificação de risco cardiovascular e contribuir para melhorar os escores atuais. Assim, o objetivo deste estudo foi investigar primeiramente quais são os biomarcadores e metodologias utilizados nos estudos clínicos em humanos em diferentes condições de saúde. Com os resultados obtidos na primeira etapa, selecionamos os estudos conduzidos em indivíduos saudáveis e em prevenção cardiovascular primária e secundária a fim de avaliar os biomarcadores mais utilizados, os resultados obtidos conforme o perfil do indivíduo e a metodologia utilizada e finalmente correlacionar com as diferentes condições de saúde. Observamos que o malondialdeído (MDA) foi o biomarcador lipídico de estresse oxidativo mais frequente nos estudos, porém apresentou importante variabilidade nos resultados e fraca correlação com desfechos clínicos. O resultado desse estudo demonstra a importância da realização de um estudo multicentrico para validação dos valores de MDA nos diferentes perfis de indivíduos e a padronização metodológica baseada na cromatografia líquida de alta eficiência (HPLC)

The prediction capability of a cataract surgery risk stratification model based on a large electronic medical record dataset

Purpose: The aim of this study was to develop a risk stratification system that predicts visual outcomes (uncorrected corrected visual acuity at one week and five weeks postoperative) in patients undergoing cataract surgery. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis in a multitier ophthalmology network. Data from all patients who underwent phacoemulsification or manual small-incision cataract surgery between January 2018 and December 2019 were retrieved from an electronic medical record system. There were 122,911 records; 114,172 (92.9%) had complete data included. Logistic regression analyzed unsatisfactory postoperative outcomes using a main effects model only. The final model was cross-checked using forward stepwise selection. The Hosmer朙emeshow goodness of fit test, the Bayesian information criterion, and Nagelkerke抯 R2 assessed model fit. Dispersion was calculated from deviance and degrees of freedom and C-stat from receiving operating characteristics analysis. Results: The final phacoemulsification model (n = 48,169) had a dispersion of 1.08 with a Hosmer朙emeshow goodness of fit of 0.20, a Nagelkerke R2 of 0.19, and a C-stat of 0.72. The final manual small-incision cataract surgery model (n = 66,003) had a dispersion of 1.05 with a Hosmer朙emeshow goodness of fit of 0.00015, a Nagelkerke R2 of 0.14, and a C-stat of 0.68. Conclusion: The phacoemulsification model had reasonable model fit; the manual small-incision cataract surgery model had poor fit and was likely missing variables. The predictive capability of these models based on a large, real-world cataract surgical dataset was suboptimal to determine which patients could benefit most from sight-restoring surgery. Appropriate patient selection for cataract surgery in developing settings should still rely on clinician thought processes, intuition, and experience, with more complex cases allocated to more experienced surgeons

Analysis of the Influence of Abdominal Obesity on Systemic Arterial Hypertension and on the Lipid Profile on Cardiometabolic Risk Stratification in Adult Women

Abstract Background: Obesity is a public health problem and has been associated with the development of metabolic disorders that have a strong relationship with the onset of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Objective: The objective was to analyze the influence of abdominal obesity (AO) on systemic arterial hypertension (SAH) and on the lipid profile in cardiovascular risk stratification in adult women. Methods: Altogether, 91 women participated in the research. Lifestyle information was collected, in addition to the analysis of clinical measures of cardiovascular risk and biochemical parameters. Unpaired Student's t-test, logistic regression, and Pearson's correlation were performed for data analysis, with a value of p <0.05 considered significant. Results: The prevalence of AO was 62.6%. Logistic regression showed that AO increased the chance of developing SAH by 2.9-fold. The same behavior was observed in the TG/HDL-c lipid ratio (3.93 ± 0.3 vs. 2.16 ± 0.2), representing an 82% increase in obese women. The present study also demonstrated that the best anthropometric parameter to analyze cardiovascular risk in the studied population was the waist/height ratio (AUC = 0.707). Conclusions: It can therefore be concluded that AO plays a significant role in the development of SAH and changes in lipid values that predict increased cardiovascular risk, configuring a strong influence factor for CVD.

Effectiveness and future implications of COVID-19-related risk stratification for managing retinopathy of prematurity: The Indian twin cities retinopathy of prematurity study report number 10

Purpose: To evaluate the effectiveness and future implications of COVID?related risk stratification for managing retinopathy of prematurity (ROP). Methods: A prospective study was conducted at a tertiary eye care center from the beginning of the lockdown in India from 23 March 2020 till the end of the first phase of lockdown on 29 May 2020. We evaluated 200 prematurely born infants (< 34 weeks of gestational age) using the new safety guideline protocols for low?risk babies developed in conjunction with the Indian ROP Society for care during the COVID?19 pandemic. Low risk included babies born at more than 30 weeks of gestational age, post menstrual age 34 weeks or above at presentation, more than 1000 grams of birth weight, and stable systemically with good weight gain. Results: New guidelines were implemented in 106 (53%) infants who were low risk while 94 (47%) infants with high risk were followed up as per the old guidelines. Out of the 106 infants (212 eyes) managed by the new guidelines, good outcome (group 1) was seen in 102 (96.2%) infants. Twenty?seven of the 102 infants had some form of ROP and 5 of these infants needed treatment. None of the low?risk babies with no detachment at presentation managed by new guidelines required surgery later (group 2). Two (1.9%) infants came with retinal detachment at presentation and underwent successful surgery (group 3) and two infants (1.9%) were lost to follow up. Conclusion: New risk stratification during the COVID?19 pandemic was an efficient and safe strategy in managing low?risk ROP babies.

Speckle Tracking in Acute Non-St Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes Patients as a Factor of Risk Stratification

Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) early diagnosis remains a clinical problem in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS), especially in the regional wall motion abnormalities’ absence on presentation by Echo. This study assessed the relationship between ECG changes and speckle Tracking in subjects with acute NSTE-ACS. Methods: This prospective trial was performed on 100 subjects with NSTE-ACS. All subjects were subjected to laboratory tests [complete blood picture, renal function test, liver test profile, lipid profile, RBS and cardiac biomarkers (cardiac troponin, creatinine kinase and CK-MB)], 12 lead ECG, Echocardiography (TTE, speckle tracking), Image analysis and coronary angiography. Results: regarding IVRT, TDI e`, TDI a`, a considerable difference between the two groups were found. DBP was considerably lower in STD group in comparison with TWI group (P value= 0.047). IVRT, TDI a` and GLS were considerably higher in STD group in comparison with TWI group (P value= 0.024, 0.031, 0.003 respectively). Conclusions: Speckle tracking could be used as part of standard echo for the examination of individuals suffering from NSTE-ACS.

Validación de los modelos de predicción de desenlaces cardiacos adversos CARPREG II (Cardiac Disease in Pregnancy) y clasificación modificada de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) en gestantes con cardiopatía / Validation of the CARPREG II risk stratification model and the WHO scale in pregnant women with heart disease

Resumen Introducción: En gestantes con cardiopatía, los modelos de estratificación del riesgo de desenlaces adversos permiten guiar las decisiones clínicas y establecer estrategias de seguimiento y manejo de acuerdo con cada categoría. Objetivo: Validar los modelos de predicción de riesgo de desenlaces cardiacos adversos CARPREG II y OMSm en gestantes con cardiopatía. Materiales y método: Estudio de validación y comparación de dos modelos de predicción de riesgo en una cohorte prospectiva de gestantes con cardiopatía, valoradas por un equipo cardioobstétrico en un país de ingresos medios. Se evaluaron los desenlaces cardiovasculares y perinatales y se determinó la calibración y el nivel de discriminación de estas herramientas. Resultados: Entre 328 gestantes (27 años DE = 7), el 33% (n = 110) tenían cardiopatía congénita, el 30% (n = 98) arritmias, el 14% (n = 46) valvulopatías y el 9% (n = 29) miocardiopatía. Un evento cardiaco ocurrió en el 15% (10% primario y 5% secundario). La discriminación de ambos modelos fue adecuada (AUC-ROC: 0.74; IC 95%: 0.64-0.84 para CARPREG II y 0.77 para OMSm; IC 95%: 0.69-0.86). La calibración también es buena (Hosmer-Lemeshow > 0.05). Las variables numéricas fracción de eyección y presión sistólica de la arteria pulmonar, pueden mejorar la capacidad de predicción del CARPREG II. Conclusiones: Los modelos CARPREG II y OMSm tienen buena capacidad de predicción del riesgo de desenlaces cardiacos adversos y se ajustan a nuestras gestantes con cardiopatía.

Abstract Introduction: In pregnant women with heart disease, risk stratification models for adverse outcomes allow guiding clinical decisions and establish monitoring and management strategies according to each category. Objective: To validate CARPREG II and WHOm adverse cardiac outcome risk prediction models in this population. Materials and methods: Validation and comparison study of two risk prediction models in a prospective cohort of pregnant women with heart disease, assessed by a team cardio-obstetrician in a middle-income country. We assessed cardiovascular and perinatal outcomes and determined the calibration and level of discrimination of these tools. Results: Among 328 pregnant women (27 years SD = 7), 33% (n = 110) had congenital heart disease, 30% (n = 98) arrhythmias, 14% (n = 46) valvular pathologies and 9% (n = 29) cardiomyopathies. A cardiac event occurred in 15% (10% primary and 5% secondary). Discrimination of both models was adequate (AUC-ROC 0.74 CI 95% 0.64-0.84 for CARPREG II and 0.77 for WHOm 95% CI 0.69-0.86). The calibration is also good (Hosmer-Lemeshow >0.05). The Numerical variables of fraction of ejection and systolic pressure of the pulmonary artery can improve the predictive ability of CARPREG II. Conclusions: The CARPREG II and WHOm risk stratification models have good ability to predict the risk of adverse cardiac outcomes and are adjusted to our pregnant women with heart disease.

Clinical Characteristics and Risk Factors of Invasive Fungal Infections in Acute Leukemia Patients in Tropical Regions / 中国实验血液学杂志

OBJECTIVE@#To analyze the clinical characteristics and risk factors of invasive fungal infection (IFI) occurenced in patients with acute leukemia (AL) during treatment in tropical regions.@*METHODS@#The clinical data of 68 AL patients admitted to the Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital from April 2012 to April 2019 was retrospectively analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the factors affecting the occurrence of IFI in AL patients.@*RESULTS@#Among the 68 patients, 44 were acute myeloid leukemia, 24 were acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 39 were male, 29 were female and the median age was 41(13-75) years old. The 68 patients received 242 times of chemotherapy or hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(HSCT), including 73 times of initial chemotherapy or inducting chemotherapy after recurrence, 14 times of HSCT, 155 times of consolidating chemotherapy. Patients received 152 times of anti-fungal prophylaxis, including 77 times of primary anti-fungal prophylaxis and 75 times of secondary anti-fungal prophylaxis. Finally, the incidence of IFI was 31 times, including 24 times of probable diagnosis, 7 times of proven diagnosis, and the total incidence of IFI was 12.8%(31/242), the incidence of IFI in inducting chemotherapy was 24.66%(18/73), the incidence of IFI in HSCT patients was 28.57% (4/14), the incidence of IFI in consolidating chemotherapy was 5.80% (9/155). Multivariate analysis showed that inducting chemotherapy or HSCT, the time of agranulocytosis ≥7 days, risk stratification of high risk were the independent risk factors for IFI in AL patients during treatment in tropical regions.@*CONCLUSION@#The incidence of IFI in patients with AL in the tropics regions is significantly higher than that in other regions at homeland and abroad. Anti-fungal prophylaxis should be given to the patients with AL who have the high risk factors of inducting chemotherapy or HSCT, time of agranulocytosis ≥7 days and risk stratification of high risk.