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Objective To explore the value of a new community-acquired pneumonia severity index(CPSI) in predicting the severity and mortality of patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted.Patients with CAP in critical care medicine of the First People's Hospital of Chenzhou were enrolled in this study.According to whether the patients died within 28 days,patients were divided into the survival group and the death group.The difference of sex,age,vital signs,blood test,the lowest Glasgow coma score (GCS) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score,sepsis related organ failure assessment (SOFA)score,CURB-65 (confusion,uremia,respiratory rate,BP,age 65 years) score,pneumonia severity index (PSI) score and community-acquired pneumonia severity index (CPSI) score were compared between the two groups.Logistic regression analysis was performed for the scoring systems with statistical significance in univariate analysis.The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was drawn to analyze the prognostic value of each scoring system.Results Totally 283 patients were enrolled in this study (184 survivals and 99 deaths,mortality rate 35％).Univariate analysis showed that age,mechanical ventilation (MV) ratio,the fastest heart beat rate (HR),the lowest systolic blood pressure (SBP),the lowest mean blood pressure (MAP),pressure adjusted shock index (PASI),inspired oxygen concentration (FiO2),arterial oxygen partial pressure (PaO2),and oxygenation index (PO2/FiO2),blood urea nitrogen concentration (BUN),serum creatinine concentration (Scr),urine output,length of ICU stay,the lowest GCS,and APACHE Ⅱ score were significantly different between the two groups (P＜0.05).Multivariate regression analysis showed that CPSI score and SOFA score were independent risk factors for patients with CAP.The ROC curve of CAP patients was predicted in each scoring system,and the area under the ROC curve of CPSI score (0.728),SOFA and age score (0.708),PSI score (0.701),APACHE Ⅱ score (0.690),CURB-65 score (0.687) and SOFA score (0.683) gradually decreased.The sensitivity and specificity of the area under curve prediction showed that CPSI score was superior to the other scores.Conclusions The CPSI score can evaluate the severity of CAP patients,efficiently predict the outcome of patients with CAP,and can be widely used in clinical practice.
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Objective The present study aimed to explore the value of plasma Presepsin levels for predicting the incidence of multiple organs dysfunction (MOD) in septic patients in an emergency department (ED).Methods A prospective observational study was performed in the ED of Beijing Chao～Yang Hospital from November 2013 to October 2014.A total of 680 septic patients were consecutively enrolled.The septic patients who developed MOD or non-MOD were recorded.Plasma Presepsin and serum procalcitonin (PCT) levels were detected,and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were calculated upon ED arrival.Results Plasma Presepsin levels at ED admission were significantly higher in patients with MOD [1023.5 (728.3-1 860.0) pg/mL] than in those without MOD [334.0 (218.0-479.5) pg/mL],and were not different between different types of organ dysfunction.Median Presepsin levels in septic patients with different numbers of organ dysfunction were 235.0 (172.0-340.3) pg/mL in those with no organ dysfunction,403.5 (275.8-587.3) pg/mL in those with one organ dysfunction,844.5 (559.8-1 259.5) pg/mL in those with two organs dysfunction,and 1 412.5 (893.0-2 675.8)pg/mL in those with three or more than organs dysfunction,respectively,which was statistically significant between every two groups.Presepsin,PCT and SOFA score were all the independent predictors of MOD.The areas under ROC curve (AUCs) of Presepsin for predicting MOD were 0.914,significantly higher than that of PCT (0.756) and SOFA score (0.840),respectively.Conclusions Plasma Presepsin levels were not different between different types of organ dysfunction.Presepsin levels increased with increasing numbers of organ dysfunction in septic patients,and Presepsin was superior to PCT and SOFA score in predicting the incidence of MOD.In conclusion,Presepsin was a valuable biomarker in evaluating MOD in septic patients in ED.
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Objective To predict the risk of 28-day mortality in septic patients in intensive care unit (ICU) with the combination of Weighted index of comorbidities (WIC) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) score.Methods The clinical data of adult severe sepsis/septic shock patients in Department of Emergency Medicine of Changzheng Hospital and Department of Critical Care Medicine of Jinan Military General Hospital from October 2011 to February 2013 were analyzed retrospectively.The etiological factor,past history,having severe sepsis or not were recorded.Age score,WIC score,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score and SOFA score were calculated at or 24 hours after admission.The logistic regression was used and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to calculate the patients' outcome.Results In 310 enrolled patients,223 (71.9％) patients survived and 87 (28.1％) died.Univariate analysis showed that the P values of the age score,WIC score,APACHE Ⅱ score and SOFA score,chronic cardiac insufficiency,type 2 diabetes,cerebrovascular disease,tumor,multiple injury,pulmonary infection and having severe sepsis or not were all less than 0.2.The above 11 variables were put into the multivariate logistic regression equation 1,of which predicted probability was reserved.It revealed that 5 variables were independently associated with 28-day prognosis,of which influence power in descending order were SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) =1.308,95％ confidence interval (95％ CI):1.158-1.478,P=0.000],having severe sepsis or not (OR =0.206,95％ CI:0.100-0.424,P=0.000),APACHE Ⅱ score (OR =1.090,95％CI:1.021-1.164,P=0.010),WICscore (OR=1.441,95％CI:1.067-1.947,P=0.017),agescore (OR=1.228,95％CI:1.027-1.468,P=0).024),the Walswere 18.554,18.369,6.725,5.662,5.067,respectively.The 3 variables,age score,WIC score and SOFA score,were brought into the multivariate logistic regression equation 2,of which predicted probability was reserved too.It revealed that age score (OR=1.330,95％CI:1.145-1.546,P=0.000),WIC score (OR =1.496,95％ CI:1.145-1.546,P=0.000) and SOFA score (OR =1.429,95％ CI:1.303-1.567,P=0.000),were independently associated with the septic patients' 28-day prognosis.There was no significant difference in the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) between the SOFA score and APACHE Ⅱ score (0.784 vs.0.780,Z=0.014,P=0.989).However,compared with APACHE Ⅱ score,the AUC of equation 1 (0.888) and 2 (0.851) were much more (Z=4.333,P=0.000; Z=2.669,P=0.008).Conclusion The sensitivity of 28-day prognosis by WIC score was improved greatly with the combination of SOFA score and age score.