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Objective To study the temporal distribution regular pattern of under 5 mortality rate(U5MR)from 1 998 to 201 4 in Zhejiang Province,and to predict the under 5 mortality rate in 201 5.Methods A time series ARIMA (p,d,q) forecasting model for U5MR was conducted using IBM SPSS Statistics 20.0 statistical analysis software.Results The UMAR showed downward trend.The ARIMA(2,1 ,2)model of U5MR from 1 998 to 201 4 in Zhejiang Province is yt =-0.696 +0.636yt -1 +0.024yt -2 +0.340yt -3 +αt -0.003αt -1 +0.997αt -2 ,and the model fitting was good.Each of the actual mortality was consistent with the trend of model prediction,and was within the 95% confidence interval.The predicted value of U5MR was 4.08‰ (95% CI:1 .52‰ -6.64‰)in 201 5.Conclusion Time series analysis is an effective way to analyze the temporal distribution regular pattern of U5MR,which could be used for short -term prediction.
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Objective To investigate the effects of functional electrical stimulation (FES) on endogenous proliferation of the neural stem cells within the brain and the behaviors in rats with acute cerebral infarction and explore the FES therapeutic mechanism on improving the neural function after the cerebral infarction. Methods Fifty-four SD adult male rats were randomly allocated into FES treatment group, placebo stimulation group and sham-operated group (n=18). Focal cerebral infarction models were induced by the performent of middle cerebral artery occlusion (MCAO) in rats; the FES treatment group began receiving the FES (10 min/d, once dairy) and the placebo stimulation group did not give any special treatment since the 3rd day of the successful model inducement. The expression of nestin positive cells in the hippocampus subgranular zone and subventricular zone was examined by immunohistochemistry staining and the expression of nestin protein at ischemia side was detected by Western blot analysis on the 3rd, 7th and 14th d after MCAO; meanwhile, the behavior functions of rats at various time points were evaluated. Results The number of nestin positive cells in the hippocampus subgranular zone and subventricular zone and the expression of nestin protein from ischemia side brain in the FES treatment group significantly increased than those in the placebo stimulation group on the 7th and 14th d after MCAO (P<0.05). And statistical difference was noted on the 14th d on the behavior functional evaluation between the FES treatment group and the placebo stimulation group (P<0.05). Conclusion FES may enhance the endogenous proliferation of the neural stem cells within the brain in rats with acute cerebral infarction and improve the behavior function in rats, which may be one of the mechanisms of FES on improving the neural function after cerebral infarction.
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<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To demonstrate the effects of recombinant human insulin-like growth factor-I (rhIGF-I) and/or recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-2 (rhBMP-2) on proliferation, differentiation and calcification of MC 3T3-E1 cells and NIH 3T3 cells.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Mouse osteoblast-like cell line MC 3T3-E1 and mouse fibroblast cell line NIH 3T3 were treated with different dosages of rhIGF-I or rhBMP-2 and rhIGF-I plus rhBMP-2. Cell proliferation was measured by methylthiazol tetrazolium (MTT)method and flow cytometry. Cell differentiation was examined by using alkaline phosphatase(ALP)measurement kit. Radioimmunoassay was applied to detect levels of osteocalcin (OC) secreted by cultured cells. Von kossa staining method was used to study the calcification effects.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>MC 3T3-E1 cells treated with 1-50 ng/ml rhIGF-I and NIH 3T3 cells treated with 5-75 ng/ml rhIGF-I showed marked effects of promoting proliferation (P<0.01), increasing the percentages of S-phase cells, decreasing the percentages of G1-phase cells and increasing activities of cellular ALP and percentages of calcification area (P<0.05). 10-100 ng/ml rhBMP-2 was also able to promote proliferation (P<0.01), increase the percentages of S-phase cells, decrease the percentages of G1-phase cells and enhancing cellular ALP activities and percentages of calcification area for both the two cells (P>0.05).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>rhIGF-I and rhBMP-2 have synergistical effects on promoting cell proliferation, early cell differentiation and calcification depending on the used dosages, but no significant effects on promoting advanced cell differentiation.</p>