Résumé
Objective:To evaluate modified Lanza score (MLS) of gastric mucosa for predicting the prognosis of geriatric patients with sepsis.Methods:Data of 50 patients with sepsis, who were over 60 years old and underwent gastroscopy for suspected gastrointestinal bleeding in the Department of Geriatric Critical Care Medicine of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from January 2019 to April 2022, were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into the death group ( n=32) and the survival group ( n=18) according to their regression within 28 days after gastroscopy. Their gastric mucosa was scored by using MLS system, and the mortality of patients with MLS≥1 was calculated, then the patients were further divided into 2 groups, MLS=0-2 ( n=23, less than 2 regions of lesions ) and MLS=3-5 ( n=27, two or more regions of lesions). The relationship between MLS and acute physiology and chronic health status evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score, risk factor of death and mortality in each group were compared. The correlation between MLS and mortality was analyzed. The influence of geriatric sepsis risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients within 28 days were analyzed by using logistic regression. Results:Among the 50 geriatric patients with sepsis, those with gastric mucosal lesions, i.e., MLS ≥1, accounted for 68.00% (34/50), including 84.38% (27/32) patients with MLS≥1 in the death group, which was significantly higher than the 38.89% (7/18) patients with MLS≥1 in the survival group ( χ 2=10.593, P<0.001). Patients with MLS=3-5 had significantly higher APACHE Ⅱ scores (26.09±6.47 VS 18.57±7.66, t=3.527, P=0.001) and higher mortality [85.19% (23/27) VS 39.13% (9/23), χ 2=11.434, P=0.001] compared with MLS=0-2. Correlation analysis showed a significant correlation between MLS and mortality ( r=0.886, P=0.019). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MLS=4-5 was an independent risk factor for death in geriatric patients with sepsis ( OR=17.055, 95% CI: 1.387-209.744, P=0.027). Conclusion:MLS presents high sensitivity in predicting 28-day outcomes for geriatric patients with sepsis. Two or more than 2 regions of gastric mucosal lesions can significantly increase the risk of death in geriatric patients with sepsis.