RESUMO
Objective:To determine the predictive value of atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) on the long-term prognosis of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD).Methods:A total of 2 500 patients with coronary heart disease who underwent coronary angiography in Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University from May 2013 to November 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the AIP value, the subjects were divided into low AIP group (AIP<0.06) and high AIP group (AIP≥0.06). The incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was compared between the two groups. Kaplan-meier method was used to evaluate the MACE-free survival rate, and multivariate Cox survival analysis was used to evaluate the independent predictors of MACE.Results:A total of 2 427 patients were followed up, with a follow-up rate of 97.08% and a median follow-up time of 4.29 years. There were 1 123 cases in the low AIP group and 1 304 cases in the high AIP group, among which 624 patients (25.7%) had MACE. The total incidence of MACE in the high AIP group was higher than that in the low AIP group ( HR=1.43, 95% CI: 1.22-1.68, P<0.01). Kaplan-meier curves showed that the MACE-free survival rate was significantly lower in the high AIP group ( P<0.01). After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, AIP was still associated with the prognosis of CHD patients. Increased AIP (≥0.06) was an independent predictor of MACE in CHD patients within 4 years ( HR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.14-1.58, P<0.01). Conclusions:AIP (≥0.06) was an independent predictor of MACE occurrence in patients with CAD within 4 years. AIP has a certain value in the long-term prognosis of patients with CAD.
RESUMO
Objective: To clarify the predictive value for long-term prognosis of GRACE score and SYNTAX score in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). Methods: A total of 784 NSTE-ACS patients treated in our hospital from 2009-01 to 2014-01 were retrospectively studied. According to the treatment, the patients were divided into 3 groups: Medication group,n=410, Stent group,n=325 and CABG group,n=49. Based on 2 scoring systems, the patients were divided into another 3 groups: Low risk group, Medium risk group and High-risk group. The relationship between GRACE score and SYNTAX score was studied by Pearson correlation analysis, survival analysis was conducted by Kaplan-Meier method, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed by Cox proportional hazard model, and the area under curve (AUC) of ROC analysis was used to compare two methods. Results: All 784 patients completed the follow-up study at the median of 47.7 months. Pearson correlation analysis showed that there was a weak positive correlation between GRACE score and SYNTAX score (r=0.40,P0.05. Cox proportional hazard model and ROC analysis indicated that GRACE and SYNTAX scores had the important predictive value for lone term prognosis of NSTE-ACS. ROC analysis of GRACE score, SYNTAX score, the combination of GRACE and SYNTAX scores showed that 3 of them all had good predictive value for MACE occurrence, three of 95% CI had signiifcant overlapping without statistic differences. Conclusion: GRACE score and SYNTAX score are related, both of them have important while similar predictive value for long term prognosis in NSTE-ACS patients, the combination of 2 scores cannot increase the predictive value. GRACE score is appropriate for the risk stratiifcation in NSTE-ACS patients.