RESUMO
Background: The severity of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) can be evaluated by the PSI and CURB-65 scales. However, it is unknown whether their predictive capacity varies according to the etiology of the disease. Aim: To compare the performance of these scales in adults with viral, bacterial, mixed, and no agent detected CAP. Material and Methods: We studied 725 patients hospitalized for CAP aged 18 to 95 years (47% females) Urinary S. pneumoniae and Legionella antigens were detected by immuno-chromatography (Binax®). Respiratory viruses and bacteria were detected by PCR in nasopharyngeal smears. The proportions of deaths, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and oxygen therapy were compared between mild and non-severe patients defined by PSI (I/II and I-III) and CURB-65 (1 and 1-2), according to the causative agent. Results: Ten percent of patients died. A causative agent was detected in 65%. The proportion of mild and non-severe patients according to PSI and CURB-65, and of deceased patients, admitted to the ICU and with oxygen therapy was similar in the four categories per agent. There were no deaths among non-severe patients with bacterial CAP. However, 6% of patients with CAP caused by virus or without causative agents, died. No deaths occurred among mild patients with bacterial CAP. In viral CAP, no deaths occurred among patients classified as mild only by PSI. The yields of PSI were greater than those of CURB-65 in non-severe patients who died and were admitted to the ICU with bacterial and viral CAP (5 and 14%; 7 and 12% respectively, p = 0.04). Conclusions: The prognostic performance of PSI in CAP varies according to the causative agent in adults. It is higher in non-severe bacterial cases, and superior to CURB-65.
Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adolescente , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Adulto Jovem , Pneumonia , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Hospitalização , Unidades de Terapia IntensivaRESUMO
Resumen Introducción: Los casos de sarampión están resurgiendo en muchos países del mundo. Hubo un brote de sarampión importado entre noviembre de 2018 y febrero de 2019 en Chile, lo que generó preocupación entre el público y las autoridades sanitarias. Muchos se preocuparon por la tasa de inmunización contra el sarampión de la población, un factor que se relaciona con la capacidad reproductiva del virus (medida de transmisibilidad de un patógeno). Objetivo: Aquí estimamos el número reproductivo efectivo (Re) de este brote de sarampión. Resultados: Aunque la estimación tiene mucha incertidumbre por el bajo número de casos y la ausencia de mezcla homogénea de la población, encontramos que Re fue aproximadamente 1,5. Discusión y Conclusiones: En consecuencia estimamos que aproximadamente 90,3% de la población tiene inmunidad al sarampión, lo que coincide con las estimaciones del Ministerio de Salud. Estos resultados sugieren que la población chilena ha establecido la inmunidad colectiva contra la introducción de casos importados de sarampión, lo que refleja un manejo preventivo adecuado de esta enfermedad.
Abstract Background: Measles cases are reemerging in many countries across the globe. There was an outbreak of imported measles between November 2018 and February 2019 in Chile, raising concern among the public and health authorities. Many were worried about the Chilean measles herd immunity, a factor that relates to the reproductive capacity of the virus (measure of transmissibility of a pathogen). Aim: Here we estimate the effective reproductive number (Re) of this measles outbreak. Results: Although the estimate is highly uncertain due to the low number of cases and the absence of homogeneous mixing of the population, we found Re was approximately 1.5. Discussion and Conclusions: Consequently we estimated about 90,3 % had measles immunity, consistent with administrative estimates from the Ministry of Health. These results suggest the Chilean population has established herd immunity against the introduction of imported measles cases, reflecting adequate preventive management of this disease.