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Objective:To establish a nomograph prediction model of early critical changes in children with febrile convulsion, and to provide guidance for the prevention and nursing of children with febrile convulsion.Methods:Convenient sampling method was adopted to select 384 children with febrile convulsion in Anhui Children ′s Hospital from January 2018 to April 2021 as the research objects. Based on pews, the children with febrile convulsion were divided into 334 cases of non risk group and 50 cases of risk group. Binary Logistic regression analysis were used to determine the independent risk factors affecting the early critical changes of children with febrile convulsion. A nomogram was drawn based on the independent risk factors. The discrimination and consistency of the model were verified by model ROC curve and Hosmer Lemeshow goodness of fit.The external validation of model prediction efficiency were verified by validation data. Results:Binary Logistic regression analysis showed that age, respiratory rhythm disorder, unconsciousness, breath rate, heart rate, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), duration of first convulsion and mean body temperature after first convulsion were influence factors for early critical changes in children with febrile convulsion ( P<0.05). The C-index of the model was 0.974 (95% CI 0.954-0.993), and the C-index of the external validation of the model was 0.922 (95% CI 0.880-0.966). The results of H-L fitting test showed that the difference was not statistically significant( χ2=0.29, P>0.05). Conclusions:The early critical changes of children with febrile convulsion may be affected by respiratory rhythm disorder, confusion of consciousness, breath rate, heart rate, NLR, RDW, duration of the first convulsion, mean temperature after the first convulsion and other factors. Pediatric emergency department should collect corresponding intervention measures for children with febrile convulsion according to the establishment of prediction model to prevent their early deterioration.
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Objective To investigate the effects of CD147/MMP-9 pathway on early left ventricular remodeling Methods 30 healthy eight-week male SHR were divided into 3 groups (n = 10 for each group). SHR group received tail vein injections of normal saline weekly; CD147 group received CD147 of 600 ng·kg-1 weekly; and CD147+DOX group received CD147 of 600 ng/kg weekly and intragastric administration of DOX ( doxycycline ) of 30 mg/kg daily . 10 healthy eight-week male Wistar-Kyoto rats (WKY group) were treated as SHR group. Echocardiography, myocardial sections microscopy examination (HE and VG stain), and Western blot (for assessing levels of MMP-9, TIMP-1, CD147, and collagen I and Ⅲin myocardial tissues) were performed on day 56. Left ventricular weight index (LVWI)was measured and calculated. Collagen volume fractions (CVF) were obtained by image analysis. Results As compared with WKY group , levels of CD147 , MMP-9 , and MMP-9/TIMP-1 were lower but TIMP-1 and collagenⅠand Ⅲ were significantly higher in SHR group. The abundance of CD147 and MMP-9 protein and the ratio of MMP-9/TIMP-1 were obviously increased in CD147 group than in SHR group (P < 0.05). Levels of CD147, MMP-9, and MMP-9/TIMP-1 did no differ between CD147+DOX group and CD147 group. LVWI and contents of collagenⅠand Ⅲ were obviously declined in CD147 group as compare with SHR group. Cardiomyocyte hypertrophy , partial myocardial fibre rupture , myocyte dissolution and fuzzy myocardial fibre boundaries , more abundant of collagen fibers, and higher CVF were found in SHR group. Cardiac fibrosis was significantly improved after CD147 intervention, but the action was suppressed as DOX was administrated simultaneously. Conclusions Early ventricular remodeling may be involved in the inhibition of CD147/MMP-9 pathway in SHR. Input of CD147 to upregulate the pathway can improve the remodeling.