RESUMO
Objective:To explore the value of the age, atrial fibrillation, dysphagia, sex, stroke severity (A2DS2) score, the prestroke independence, sex, age, National Institutes of Health stroke scale (ISAN) score, acute ischemic stroke-associated pneumonia score (AIS-APS), and intracerebral hemorrhage associated pneumonia score without hematoma volume included (ICH-APS-A) in predicting risk of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP).Methods:From January to June 2019, 304 patients with acute stroke who were hospitalized in the Lianyungang Hospital Affiliated to Xuzhou Medical University were analyzed retrospectively. There were 164 patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS), including 82 patients with SAP. And there were 140 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), including 70 patients with SAP. They were divided into SAP group (152 cases) and non-SAP group (152 cases) depending on whether they had SAP. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare the predictive value of the four scores.Results:When predicting risk of SAP in patients with the stroke, the A2DS2 score had the largest AUC compared to the ISAN score, AIS-APS score, and ICH-APS-A score. When predicting risk of SAP in patients with AIS, the AUC (0.875, 95% CI 0.815 to 0.922) of the A2DS2 score was greater than the AIS-APS score and the ISAN score. When predicting risk of SAP in patients with ICH, the AUC (0.950, 95% CI 0.900 to 0.980) of the A2DS2 score was greater than the ICH-APS-A score and the ISAN score. When predicting risk of SAP in patients with AIS and ICH: 0.911 (95% CI 0.873 to 0.94) vs. 0.882 (95% CI 0.840 to 0.916), Z = 2.319, P = 0.020, the A2DS2 score was significantly better than the ISAN score ( P<0.05). When predicting risk of SAP in patients with AIS, the A2DS2 score, ISAN score, and AIS-APS score all have good predictive value ( P>0.05). When predicting SAP in patients with ICH, the A2DS2 score, ISAN score, and ICH-APS-A score all have good predictive value ( P>0.05). Conclusions:When predicting risk of SAP in patients, the A2DS2 score is a reliable prediction tool, with good predictive value.