RESUMO
Objective:To retrospectively analyze the independent risk factors of complicated appendicitis(CA)in children under five years old and establish a clinical prediction model, and to evaluate the clinical application of this model.Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on children under five years old who underwent appendectomy at Children′s Hospital of Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from January 2018 to December 2021.The children were divided into CA group and uncomplicated appendicitis group according to whether there was sign of perforation or gangrene in appendiceal tissue after operation.The differences in clinical features and preoperative laboratory test results between two groups were compared.The independent risk factors of CA were identified and a clinical prediction model was established.The clinical prediction model was verified by receiver operating characteristic curve.Results:A total of 140 children were enrolled in this study, including 84 cases in the CA group and 56 cases in uncomplicated appendicitis group.Univariate and binary Logistic regression analysis showed that the duration of symptoms>23.5 h( OR=6.650, 95% CI 2.469-17.912, P<0.05), abdominal muscle tension( OR=3.082, 95% CI 1.190-7.979, P<0.05) and C-reactive protein>41 mg/L ( OR=3.287, 95% CI 1.274-8.480, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for CA( P<0.05). The clinical prediction model of CA was constructed by the above mentioned three independent risk factors.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the clinical prediction model was 0.881(95% CI 0.825-0.936), the sensitivity was 77.4%, the specificity was 87.5%, the positive predictive value was 91.3% and the negative predictive value was 70.0%. Conclusion:Acute appendicitis in children under five years old is more likely to progress to CA if the duration of symptoms>23.5 h, the level of C-reactive protein is increased, and the abdominal muscle tension is accompanied.The clinical prediction model of CA constructed by common clinical information in pediatric clinics has good prediction efficiency, which provides a simple and feasible reference method for clinicians to distinguish CA from uncomplicated appendicitis.
RESUMO
Objective To analyze the clinical features and risk factors of death in pediatric trauma,in order to provide preventing strategies and reduce mortality.Methods A retrospective study of 7936 traumatic children admitted to the emergency department of our hospital from April 2014 to March 2016 was conducted.We retrospectively summarized the clinical features and Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of death in children with trauma.Results Compared to females,male patients contributed higher percentages(1.73∶1).There were more migrant children(5535 cases) than local ones(2 401 cases)(χ2=14.314,P＜0.05).Children in infancy stage(2 024 cases)and toddler period(3 097 cases) were more than in the other periods.Limb[41.9%(3 324/7 936)] and skin injuries[38.5%(3 058 324/7 936)] were the most common.Children trauma causes varied with age,fall,tumble and traffic accidents were common causes of children trauma.Pediatric trauma score of surviving group(n=1933),death group(n=5),general ward group(n=1852) and ICU group(n=86) were 8.53± 2.17,3.17± 1.29,9.72± 1.25,5.23± 1.84,respectively.Shock decompensation,mechanical ventilation,Glasgow coma scale ≤7 and pediatric trauma score＜8 were the risk factors which caused the death of trauma.Conclusion Parents should improve the security sense,strengthen the care of children and obey the traffic rules to reduce the rate of children trauma.Clinicians should pay attention to shock decompensation,mechanical ventilation,Glasgow coma scale and pediatric trauma score in order to identify critically ill patients in early stage and improve the success rate of rescue.