Effectiveness of different screening strategies for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in a rural northern Chinese population / 北京大学学报(医学版)

OBJECTIVE@#To estimate the potential health benefit of screening strategies for cardiovascular diseases primary prevention in a rural northern Chinese population.@*METHODS@#A total of 6 221 adults aged 40-74 years old, from rural Beijing, China and free from cardiovascular diseases at baseline were included. The following screening strategies were compared: Strategy 1, the strategy based on numbers of risk factors recommended by the Chinese Guideline for Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases in people aged 40-74; Strategy 2, screening people aged 40-74 based on the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) risk prediction model; Strategy 3, screening people aged 50-74 using the China-PAR risk prediction model. Participates who were classified into medium- or high-risk by the corresponding strategies would be introduced to lifestyle intervention, while high risk population would take medication in addition. Markov model was used to compare the potential health benefits within 10 years in each scenario, which applied the parameters from this rural northern Chinese cohort, published literatures, meta-analyses and systematic reviews, clinical trials and other cohort studies of Chinese population. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) events/deaths could be prevented and number needed to be screened (NNS) per QALY gained/per CVD event prevented/per CVD death prevented were calculated to compare the effectiveness. One-way sensitivity analysis concerning uncertainty of cardiovascular disease incidence rate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis about the uncertainty of hazard ratios were conducted.@*RESULTS@#Compared with non-screening strategy, the potential health benefits of each strategy were: Strategy 1 would gain QALY of 498 (95%CI: 103-894) and prevent 298 (95%CI: 155-441) CVD events; Strategy 2 would gain QALY of 691 (95%CI: 233-1 149) and prevent CVD events of 374 (95%CI: 181-567); Strategy 3 would gain QALY of 654 (95%CI: 199-1 108) and prevent CVD events of 346 (95%CI: 154-538). Screening strategy based on ChinaPAR risk prediction model (strategy 2 or 3) would be generally better in terms of QALY gained, CVD events/deaths prevented and NNS than the strategy based on numbers of CVD risk factors (all P<0.05 except NNS per QALY gained and NNS per CVD event prevented in 40-74 years). Similar benefits were obtained for the strategy 2 and 3. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses on the parameters of incidence rates and hazard ratios.@*CONCLUSION@#Screening people to target increased risks of cardiovascular diseases in this rural northern Chinese population is necessary. Screening strategy based on China-PAR risk prediction model could gain more health benefits than that based on numbers of CVD risk factors.

Influence of chronic diseases on health related quality of life in middle-aged and elderly people from rural communities: application of EQ-5D scale on a Health Survey in Fangshan, Beijing / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To evaluate the health related quality of life (HRQoL) and to explore the influencing factors related to the prevalence of the essential hypertension,diabetes,coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke in middle-aged and elderly people from rural communities.Methods A total of 5345 individuals were chosen from a 2010 Health Survey in Fangshan,Beijing.Self-designed questionnaire was applied to collect the information on general health-related behaviors,chronic conditions,self-rated health,blood pressure and HRQoL with the EuroQoL questionnaire (EQ-5D) were measured.Probit regression model was used to identify the influencing factors on HRQoL,adjusting age,marriage status,education level,smoking,alcohol intake,physical activity and control of blood pressure.Population Attributable Risk Proportion (PARP) for estimating the influence of chronic disease on HRQoL was also calculated.Results The average EQ-5D index was 0.923 ±0.145,with 72.1％ of the overall respondents in the status of having chronic diseases.Participants with chronic diseases had significantly lower EQ-5D index (0.907 ± 0.155 ) than those without (0.963 ±0.105 ) (t =15.082,P＜ 0.001 ).Significant relations were found between a lower HRQoL and chronic diseases.Relative risk (RR) and 95％ confidence interval (95％ CI) of poor HRQoL in populations with hypertension,diabetes,CHD and stroke were 1.686 (95％CI: 1.519-1.871),1.725 (95％CI:1.502-1.981 ),1.869 (95％CI: 1.663-2.099),and 1.759 (95％CI: 1.474-2.089) respectively.The most influential disease appeared to be stroke in male (RR=1.929,95％CI: 1.462-2.546),whereas CHD in female individuals (RR=1.926,95％CI: 1.671-2.220).Rates of PARP (PAR％) for poor HRQoL in chronic disease subgroups were as follow: hypertension 31.05％,CHD 23.39％,diabetes 4.84％ and stroke 4.44％,respectively.Conclusion This study suggested that stroke,at individual level,was the major influential factor to HRQoL.However,hypertension remained the leading preventable influential factor to HRQoL at the population level.