RESUMO
Objective:To analyze the mortality of accidental falls among the elderly in China from 2004 to 2019 and predict the standardized mortality from 2020 to 2024, so as to provide scientific evidence for formulating strategies to prevent accidental falls among the elderly.Methods:The death data of accidental falls of the elderly in China from 2004 to 2019 were collected from the China Death Cause Monitoring Data Set, and the total number of deaths, mortality rate and standardized mortality rate in the elderly from 2004 to 2019 and those data among them of different genders, residences and age groups were calculated. Joinpoint 4.8.0.1 statistical software was used to calculate the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) of standardized mortality. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA) was used to predict the standardized mortality rate of accidental falls among the elderly in China from 2020 to 2024. Results:The number of deaths related to accidental falls among the elderly in China was increased from 2 908 in 2004 to 23 709 in 2019. The mortality rate was increased from 51.89/100 000 in 2004 to 67.74/100 000 in 2019. The standardized mortality rate of accidental falls showed an overall upward trend from 2004 to 2019 (AAPC=1.65, P>0.05), including an upward trend from 2004 to 2010 (APC=1.66, P>0.05), a downward trend from 2010 to 2013 (APC=-9.67, P>0.05), and another upward trend from 2013 to 2019 (APC=7.83, P<0.01). The number of death and mortality rate related to accidental falls in Chinese elderly males and females both showed upward trends from 2004 to 2019, and the standardized mortality rate also showed upward trends from 2004 to 2019 (AAPC males=2.19, AAPC females=0.29, all P>0.05). The standardized mortality rate in males was generally higher than that in females, with that of males showing an upward trend from 2013 to 2019 (APC=7.36, P<0.05) and that of female showing an upward trend from 2014 to2019 (APC=6.92, P>0.05). The number of deaths and mortality rate among the elderly living in rural and urban areas both showed upward trends from 2004 to 2019, and the standardized mortality rate also showed an upward trend from 2004 to 2019 (AAPC rural = 1.71, AAPC urban =1.00, all P>0.05). The standardized mortality rate among the elderly living in rural areas was generally higher than that in urban areas. The rural and urban elderly both showed upward trends from 2013 to 2019 (APC rural = 8.24, APC urban =6.11, all P<0.05). The number of death and mortality rate of different age groups all showed upward trends from 2004 to 2019. The standardized mortality rates of the elderly aged 65-74 years and ≥85 years also showed upward trends from 2004 to 2019 (AAPC 65-74 years=0.38, AAPC ≥ 85 years=4.09, all P>0.05). The standardized mortality rate of the elderly aged 75-84 years showed a downward trend from 2004 to 2019 (AAPC=-0.10, P>0.05), and that of the elderly aged 65-74 years showed an upward trend from 2010 to 2019 (APC=5.35, P<0.05). The standardized mortality rate of the elderly aged 75-84 years and ≥85 years showed upward trends from 2013 to 2019 (APC 75-84 years=6.49, APC ≥ 85 years=10.47, all P<0.05). The ARIMA prediction results showed that the overall standardized mortality rates of accidental falls in the elderly in China from 2020 to 2024 were 69.11/100 000, 72.33/100 000, 74.41/100 000, 76.34/100 000, and 76.48/100 000, respectively, showing a slow upward trend. Conclusions:The accidental fall-related mortality among the elderly in China showed an overall upward trend from 2004 to 2019, and the standardized mortality rate from 2020 to 2024 also shows an upward trend. The elderly who are male in gender, live in rural areas, or at age of ≥85 years are the key population for prevention and control of accidental fall. Active and effective measures should be taken to reduce accidental falls in the elderly so as to contribute to active and healthy aging.
RESUMO
Objective:To investigate the effect of Internet plus rehabilitation nursing service and continual nursing on postoperative rehabilitation of patients with osteoporotic lumbar compression fracture (OLCF).Methods:A retrospective case-control study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 123 patients with OLCF admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Henan Medical College from May 2018 to October 2019. There were 46 males and 77 females, aged 56-74 years [(65.3±5.4)years]. The level of injury was located at L 1 in 93 patients, L 2 in 19, L 3 in 10, and L 4 in 1. The Denis fracture classification was type A in 26 patients, type B in 30, type C in 27, and type D in 40. All patients were treated by percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP). A total of 62 patients were given Internet plus rehabilitation care services and continual care guidance (Group A), and 61 patients were given routine care health education before discharge (Group B). The Japanese orthopaedic association (JOA) score, visual analoge score (VAS), osteoporosis health confidence scale (OHBS) score, and adult health self-management ability assessment scale (AHSMSRS) score were recorded before and after intervention. The self-made questionnaires and Newcastle nursing service satisfaction scale (NSNS) were used to evaluate the compliance rate and nursing satisfaction after 3 months of intervention. Results:All patients were followed up for 3-6 months [(4.5±1.2)months]. In Group A, the JOA score was (12.1±2.1)points before intervention and (23.0±1.1)points after 3 months of intervention; the VAS was (4.4±1.3)points before intervention and (1.5±0.6)points after 3 months of intervention; the OHBS score was (81.4±4.0)points before intervention and (121.6±9.7)points after 3 months of intervention; the AHSMSRS score was (96.3±3.5)points before intervention and (143.5±11.0)points after 3 months of intervention. In Group B, the JOA score was (12.3±2.1)points before intervention and (20.4±1.2)points after 3 months of intervention; the VAS was (4.2±1.4)points before intervention and (3.6±1.1)points after 3 months of intervention; the OHBS score was (82.1±3.7)points before intervention and (108.7±9.4)points after 3 months of intervention; the AHSMSRS score was (97.1±3.8)points before intervention and (127.7±9.9)points after 3 months of intervention. The JOA score, VAS, OHBS score and AHSMSRS score in both groups were significantly improved after intervention ( P<0.01). These scores in Group A were higher than those in Group B after 3 months of intervention ( P< 0.01). The compliance rate and nursing satisfaction in Group A were 90% (56/62) and 94% (58/62) after 3 months of intervention, while those in Group B were 74% (45/61) and 75% (46/61) ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Conclusion:Compared with conventional nursing, Internet plus rehabilitation nursing service and continual nursing for OLCF patients can promote the postoperative lumbar functional recovery, reduce pain, improve self-management ability and compliance behavior, and enhance the recognition of nursing service, which is worthy of clinical application.