HIV gene subtypes of newly reported HIV/AIDS cases in Dehong Dai and Jingpo autonomous prefecture of Yunnan province, 2016 / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To explore distribution of HIV gene subtypes among newly reported HIV/AIDS cases from China and Myanmar in Dehong Dai and Jingpo prefecture of Yunnan province in 2016. Methods: We conducted DNA extractions from newly reported HIV/AIDS cases in 2016. The gag, env and pol genes were amplified by using reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR) and sequenced to identify HIV subtypes. Results: A total of 1 112 newly diagnosed HIV cases were reported in Dehong in 2016, and the HIV subtypes were identified for 860 cases. Subtype C was predominant (33.6%), followed by unique recombinant forms (URFs) (28.4%), CRF01_AE (18.6%) and so on. URFs include four recombination, among which the recombination of CRF01_AE and C subtype were predominant. The HIV subtype distribution was associated with nationality and transmission route in HIV/AIDS cases from Myanmar. Conclusions: The gene subtypes of C, URFs and CRF01_AE were mainly distributed; distribution of URFs remained complex and diverse among newly reported HIV/AIDS cases in Dehong in 2016.

Impact of the 90-90-90 goal and pre-exposure prophylaxis on HIV transmission and elimination in men who have sex with men in China: A mathematical modeling study / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective: To establish a dynamic compartmental model to predict the impact of HIV testing and treatment and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) on the annual incidence of HIV infection in men who have sex with men (MSM) in China from 2018 to 2037. Methods: A dynamic compartmental model was developed to describe the HIV epidemic in MSM in China. The model was parameterized using data from the literature available. We used MATLAB 7.0 software for data simulation and graphics rendering. We analyzed HIV transmission among MSM and estimated the impact of expanded HIV testing and treatment and PrEP on HIV elimination in MSM. Results: Under the current policy, the number of new HIV infections would reach 770 000, the infection rate would reach 11.1% and the incidence rate would reach 0.72/100 person years in MSM in the next 20 years. Under the 90%-90%-90% goal, 440 000 new infections (57.7%) would be reduced, the HIV infection rate would decline to 5.7% and the incidence rate would decline to 0.24/100 person years in the next 20 years, but it is still unlikely to achieve the goal of HIV elimination. With 100% PrEP compliance, the required PrEP coverage rates for achieving HIV elimination in the next 10, 15 and 20 years would be 65%, 32% and 19%, respectively. Conclusion: It is necessary to strengthen the comprehensive intervention in MSM, continue to expand HIV testing and treatment, and improve PrEP adherence and coverage to further control and eliminate the epidemic of HIV/AIDS in MSM.