RESUMO
@#Objective To understand pathogenic distribution and epidemiological characteristics of diarrhea syndrome in Gansu Province． Methods Fecal specimens from diarrhea syndrome surveillance cases at sentinel hospitals in Gansu Province from 2009 to 2018 were collected，and virus nucleic acids were detected by real－time fluorescent chain reaction，and bacteria were detected by isolation culture． Ｒesults 1 547 positive cases were detected from 4 406 stool specimens with the positive rate of 35. 11%． Among the positive samples，1 281 cases were positive for virus with the positive rate of 47. 20%; 287 ca- ses were positive for bacteria with the positive rate of 8. 57%． Top five of pathogenic spectrum were rota- virus ( 46. 04%) ，astrovirus ( 13. 37%) ，norovirus ( 13. 15%) ，Shigella ( 9. 90%) and adenovirus ( 7. 81%) ． In different age groups，statistically significant differences were found in the positive rates of rotavirus，norovirus，astrovirus，Shigella and non typhoid Salmonella ( all P＜0. 05) ． The positive rate of virus was higher from November to March of next year，and the positive rate of bacteria was higher from June to August． The epidemic seasons of pathogens were different，of which rotavirus was dominating in four seasons． Conclusions The pathogenic spectrum of diarrhea is wide relatively in Gansu Province， and viral diarrhea is more common，with obvious seasonal peak． Continuous monitoring should be strengthened to grasp characteristics and epidemic trends of pathogens，and it is helpful to take targeted and seasonal preventive measures in population at high risk．
RESUMO
Objective To explore factors influencing the incidence of carotid atherosclerosis in different genders so as to provide reference for the specific prevention of the disease. Methods A nested case-control study was conducted to analyze factors influencing the incidence of carotid atherosclerosis in Jinchang cohort population who were randomly selected through stratified sampling by age and followed up. A risk prediction model was established and the goodness of fit was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC). Results The standardized incidence of carotid atherosclerosis in this follow-up population was 12.32%, and the incidence rate of males (13.65%) was greater than that of females (11.29%). The difference was statistically significant ( 2=4.267, P<0.001). Age, education, elevated systolic blood pressure, and elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were common risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis in both men and women. Elevated fasting plasma glucose (OR=2.556, 95% CI: 1.618-4.038) and elevated triglyceride (OR=1.535, 95% CI: 1.058-2.227) were only associated with men. Abdominal obesity (OR=1.414, 95% CI: 1.013-1.974) was only associated with women. The area under ROC of male and female prediction models was 0.835 (95% CI: 0.815-0.856) and 0.809 (95% CI: 0.788-0.831), respectively. The sensitivity was 78.0% and 78.9%, the specificity was 78.8% and 73.1%, and the diagnostic coincidence rate was 91.3% and 82.4%, respectively. Conclusions There are different risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis in males and females, and targeted prevention and control measures should be taken according to gender. The risk prediction model established by Logistic regression had certain guiding value.