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Objective To retrospectively analyze the epidemiological trend of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding in recent 10 years,and investigate the change of their disease burden,so as to provide a theoretical basis for the accurate prevention and control of children's lower gastrointestinal bleeding. Methods A total of 671 children with "lower gastrointestinal bleeding" who were diagnosed in our hospital from 2012 to 2021 were collected as research subjects. To analyze the microscopic examination rate and common etiology of lower gastrointestinal bleeding in children in the past 10 years,as well as the epidemiological characteristics of different age groups, different regions and different basic diseases; Calculate and compare the rate of disability life lost (YLD), early death life lost (YLL) and disability adjusted life year (DALY) of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding within 10 years, and calculate the annual change percentage (AAPC) to analyze the change trend of disease burden. Results The microscopic examination rate of children with lower gastrointestinal bleeding showed a trend of increasing in the past 10 years (P18 years old, hypertension and gastroenteritis. The DALY rate, YLL rate and YLD rate caused by lower gastrointestinal bleeding in the past 10 years showed an upward trend (P<0.05). Conclusion The microscopic examination rate of lower gastrointestinal bleeding in children was graduallyincreasing,and the prevalence rate of basic diseases such as boys,hypertension and gastroenteritis was increasing;in addition,the disease burden caused by children's lower gastrointestinal bleeding was also increasing year by year and should be protected.
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【Objective】 To establish a predictive model for patients with hemorrhage after CT-guided coaxial core needle lung biopsy （CCNB） based on logistic regression. 【Methods】 A total of 489 patients who had undergone CCNB were retrospectively recruited. The potential risk factors of hemorrhage after lung biopsy were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression， through which we screened the independent risk factors and established a prediction model for hemorrhage. We evaluated the discrimination， calibration and clinical usefulness of the model. 【Results】 There were 141 cases （42.6%） of hemorrhage in the development group and 66 cases （41.8%） of hemorrhage in the validation group； there was no case of severe hemorrhage or hemothorax. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that fibrinogen degradation products， pulmonary interstitial fibrosis， largest diameter and puncture depth were independent predictive factors of hemorrhage. Hemorrhage prediction model was established and presented in the form of a nomogram. Discrimination of the model： the AUC was 0.837 in the development group and 0.777 in the validation group. The calibration curve showed good agreement between predicted probability and actual probability of hemorrhage. The unreliability test yielded a P value of 0.849 in the development group and 0.147 in the validation group. The DCA curve showed that the hemorrhage predictive model could increase the benefit of patients. 【Conclusion】 The predictive model of hemorrhage in patients after CCNB based on logistic regression can be used in clinical practice.
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Objective To analyze the clinically isolated bacterial distribution and drug resistance characteristics in the our hospital during 2016 to provide the pathogenic drug resistance monitoring data for rational bacterial drugs use in clinic.Methods The clinicaly submitted samples were performed the pathogenic bacterial isolation according to the routine method.The isolated pathogens were identified by the Vitek2-Compact system and the drug susceptibility test was performed by adopting the MIC and KB methods.The results were statistically analyzed by adopting the WHONET5.6 software.Results A total of 2 214 non-repeat strains of bacteria were isolated in 2016,including 1 614 strains of Gram-negative bacilli,accounting for 72.9％,600 strains of Gram-positive bacteria,accounting for 27.1 ％.The top five isolated bacteria were Klebsiella pneumoniae,Escherichia coli,Pseudomonas aeruginosa,Acinetobacter baumannii and Staphylococcus aureus.The detection rates of ESBLs producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae were 51.8％ and 27.6％ respectively.The detection rates of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) was 26.5％.No vancomycin or linezolid resistant staphylococcal strains were found.Conclusion The main isolated pathogens in our hospital are dominated by Gram-negative bacteria.Hospital should strengthen reasonable and standardized use of antibacterial drugs to reduce the generation of drug resistant bacterial strains.