RESUMO
BACKGROUND:A large number of previous studies have confirmed that a high concentration of metabolites is significantly correlated with embryo quality and clinical outcome,and the theory of silencing embryo development indicates that normally developed embryos maintain a low level of material exchange with the outside world during in vitro culture,while embryos often show abnormal metabolic activity due to stress repair mechanism when DNA damage occurs. OBJECTIVE:To establish and verify an embryo quality prediction model based on the third-day 340 nm absorbance embryo cultures to provide the basis for a more objective and accurate embryo quality assessment. METHODS:269 patients at the Nanxishan Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region for in vitro fertilization and embryo transplantation from November 2019 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.Among them,on day 3,162 cases who had 873 optimal embryos and 214 high-quality blastocysts were included in the high-quality embryo group.On day 3,107 cases who had 859 non-optimal embryos and 214 non-high-quality blastocysts were included in the non-high-quality embryo group.Lambert-beer law was used to screen out the characteristic wavelength with distinguishing degree between superior and non-superior embryos,analyze its correlation and influence trend with high-quality embryos,and establish the clinical prediction model and validation of absorbance for high-quality and non-high-quality embryos at this wavelength. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)There was a significant difference in absorbance between high-quality and non-high-quality embryos at 340 nm on day 3(P<0.001),and a negative correlation was found with the formation of high-quality embryos on day 3(r=-0.486,P<0.001).The absorbance of high-quality and non-high-quality blastocyst at 340 nm was significantly different(P<0.05),and was negatively correlated with the formation of high-quality blastocyst(r=-0.642,P<0.001).(2)The optimal cut-off value of absorbance at 340 nm between high-quality and non-high-quality embryos on day 3 was 0.235.The area under the curve was 0.799.Sensitivity was 62.9%.Specificity was 78.0%.Accuracy was 70.5%.The optimum cutoff value of high-quality and non-high-quality blastocysts of absorbance at 340 nm was 0.175.The area under the curve was 0.871.Sensitivity was 74.3%.Specificity was 89.1%.Accuracy was 82.2%.(3)Restricted cubic spline curve analysis showed that when the absorbance of the culture medium at 340 nm was greater than 0.221,there was a significant positive trend on the formation of non-high-quality embryos at day 3,and when the absorbance of the culture medium at 340 nm was greater than 0.160,there was a significant positive trend on the formation of non-high-quality blastocysts.(4)The clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve showed that the absorbance of the culture medium at 340 nm had the maximum clinical net benefit for the prediction models of high-quality embryos and high-quality blastocysts on the third day when the valve probability was 0.18-0.95 and 0.16-1.00,respectively,and the ratio of loss to gain within the valve probability range was always less than 1.It is proven that the prediction model has good efficacy in clinical applications.The results of embryo transfer showed that the absorbance of embryo culture medium at 340 nm in non-pregnant patients was significantly higher than that in clinical pregnancy,biochemical pregnancy and early abortion patients(P<0.05).(5)The high-quality and non-high-quality embryo culture in 340 nm absorbance has a significant difference with correlation.The embryo quality prediction model has a certain clinical value and application effectiveness.The joint embryo morphology evaluation to a certain extent improves the objectivity and accuracy of embryo quality evaluation.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND:The impact of the endometrium's structure and spiral artery blood flow parameters on the pregnancy rate of artificial insemination by husband remains unclear.This study identified the independent factors and constructed a prediction model with good clinical application efficacy after calibration of other confounding factors. OBJECTIVE:To construct and validate a clinical pregnancy prediction model for artificial insemination by husband based on endometrial structure and uterine spiral artery blood flow parameters. METHODS:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 1 299 patients who underwent artificial insemination by husband treatment at Changzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital from January 2017 to January 2021.The non-pregnancy group consisted of 1 182 patients,while the pregnancy group included 117 patients.Out of these patients,93 cases were successfully matched between the pregnancy and non-pregnancy groups using a 1∶1 propensity score matching method.Single-factor and multi-factor analyses were used to screen the endometrial structure and uterine spiral artery blood flow parameters to determine their influence on artificial insemination by husband outcomes.The optimal cutoff value was established for each independent influencing factor through receiver operating curve analysis and their risk trend affecting artificial insemination by husband pregnancy outcomes was analyzed using a restricted cubic spline.The clinical efficacy of this combined forecast model was tested by using clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve methods. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)There was no statistical significance in non-endometrial factors between the pregnancy group and the non-pregnancy group,and the data had a good balance by propensity score matching(P>0.05).(2)Single-factor analysis identified several subendometrial parameters as significant influencing factors of artificial insemination by husband pregnancy outcomes,including vascularization index,flow index,vascular flow index,resistance index,pulsatility index,maximum systolic velocity/end-diastolic velocity,thickness of average junction zone and maximum junction zone from the basal endometrium to the outer myometrium inner layer(P<0.05).(3)Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that thickness of average junction zone,pulsatility index,and vascular flow index were independent influencing factors of pregnancy outcomes of artificial insemination by husband,vascular flow index>thickness of average junction zone>pulsatility index.(4)Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of vascular flow index was 0.704(0.629,0.779),and the optimal cutoff value was 6.26;the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of thickness of average junction zone was 0.660(0.582,0.739),and the optimal cutoff value was 6.38;the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of pulsatility index was 0.642(0.563,0.721),and the optimal cutoff value was 1.18.(5)The restricted cubic spline analysis revealed that artificial insemination by husband pregnancy outcomes were significantly positively affected when the vascular flow index was>6.24 or the thickness of average junction zone was≤6.55 mm,while a negative risk was associated with pulsatility index>1.27.(6)The clinical decision curve and clinical influence curve analyses exhibited that the combined prediction model had the maximum clinical net benefit at the threshold probability value of 0.17-0.93,and the ratio of loss to benefit was consistently less than 1 in the threshold probability range,indicating that the model had good clinical efficacy.(7)It is concluded that after adjusting for other confounding factors outside of the endometrium using propensity score matching and multifactorial logistic regression,the thickness of average junction zone,pulsatility index and vascular flow index were independent factors that influenced pregnancy outcomes of artificial insemination by husband.Through determining their optimal cutoff values and assessing their risk trends,it was confirmed that the combined prediction model had good predictive value and clinical efficacy.