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Purpose@#This study aimed to investigate the factors associated with chemoresistance to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by radical hysterectomy (RH) and construct a nomogram to predict the chemoresistance in patients with locally advanced cervical squamous carcinoma (LACSC). @*Materials and Methods@#This retrospective study included 516 patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (2003) stage IB2 and IIA2 cervical cancer treated with NACT and RH between 2007 and 2017. Clinicopathologic data were collected, and patients were assigned to training (n=381) and validation (n=135) sets. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to analyze factors associated with chemoresistance to NACT. A nomogram was built using the multivariate logistic regression analysis results. We evaluated the discriminative ability and accuracy of the model using a concordance index and a calibration curve. The predictive probability of chemoresistance to NACT was defined as > 34%. @*Results@#Multivariate analysis confirmed menopausal status, clinical tumor diameter, serum squamous cell carcinoma antigen level, and parametrial invasion on magnetic resonance imaging before treatment as independent prognostic factors associated with chemoresistance to NACT. The concordance indices of the nomogram for training and validation sets were 0.861 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.822 to 0.900) and 0.807 (95% CI, 0.807 to 0.888), respectively. Calibration plots revealed a good fit between the modelpredicted probabilities and actual probabilities (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, p=0.597). Furthermore, grouping based on the nomogram was associated with progression-free survival. @*Conclusion@#We developed a nomogram for predicting chemoresistance in LACSC patients treated with RH. This nomogram can help physicians make clinical decisions regarding primary management and postoperative follow-up of the patients.
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Objective To analyze the prognosis and appropriate treatment modalities of the patients with recurrence of early stage (Ⅰb-Ⅱa) cervical squamous cancer primarily treated with radical hysterectomy. Methods This retrospective study included patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage Ⅰb and Ⅱa recurrent cervical squamous cancer who underwent radical hysterectomy primarily from January 2007 to July 2015. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were performed to analyze related prognostic factors of overall survival and progression-free survival, which included age, postoperative therapy, the site of recurrence, therapy-free interval (TFI) and treatment modality. The patients who were treated with palliative chemotherapy after recurrence were selected as a subgroup. The responses of palliative chemotherapy were evaluated and analyzed among different factors, included TFI, the site of recurrence and chemotherapy regime. Results Of the 2 071 patients, 116 relapsedⅠb-Ⅱa cervical squamous cancer were included in the study with the average age of (45.6±7.2) years old. 3-year progression-free survival rate and 3-year overall survival rate after recurrence were 30.2% and 42.2%, respectively. Univariate analysis implied that postoperative radiotherapy, recurrence site, TFI and treatment modality were associated with progression-free survival (P<0.05), while postoperative radiotherapy, TFI and treatment modality with overall survival (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that TFI and treatment modality were independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (P<0.05), while postoperative radiotherapy at initial treatment, TFI and treatment modality were independent prognostic variables for overall survival (P<0.05). In the analysis of treatment modality, 3-year progression-free survival rate and 3-year overall survival rate of 47 patients who were treated with definitive local therapy were significantly higher than that of 69 patients who were treated with palliative chemotherapy (P<0.01). In the subgroup analysis of palliative chemotherapy, 15 patients achieved complete response (21.7%) and 16 displayed partial response (23.2%). The overall response rate (ORR) was 44.9%. TFI (P<0.01) and chemotherapy regime (P<0.05) were significant factors associated with ORR. The ORR of TFI≥12 months was significantly higher than that of TFI <12 months. Besides, the ORR of paclitaxel plus platinum chemotherapy was prominently higher than that of other regimens, while there was no significant difference between the ORR of paclitaxel plus cisplatin and other platinum (P=0.408). Conclusions For recurrent stageⅠb-Ⅱa cervical squamous carcinoma treated with radical hysterectomy, use of definitive local therapy for suitable patients is advised to achieve better prognosis. In terms of palliative chemotherapy, longer TFI may mean better ORR and the combination of paclitaxel plus platinum is preferred.