RESUMO
Background: This study aimed to assess the impact of low dose factor prophylaxis on haemophilia patients with respect to annual bleeding rates and severity of bleeding events. Methods: This is an analytical study. All patients of HAEMOPHILIA A AND B who are registered with CPRH haemophilia treatment centre from January 2022 to December 2022 were included and were followed up every month from January 2022. The study population was divided into two groups: those receiving regular low dose factor prophylaxis and those receiving episodic factor treatment. Both the group participants were matched for severity of factor deficiency and age. The collected data was compared with respect to the annual bleeding rate as well as severity of bleeding episodes in the two defined groups. Results: There were 100 study patients, and 16 of them are receiving regular low dose factor prophylaxis. The average bleeding episodes were found to be more in patients receiving episodic factor doses (ABR in moderate haemophilia= 3.511+/-0.81, ABR in severe haemophilia=5.38+/-4, 53) as compared to those receiving prophylactic factor doses (ABR in moderate haemophilia = 0.16+/-0.32, ABR in severe haemophilia=0.3+/-0.29). The incidence of severe bleeds (those requiring hospitalisation) was higher in patients receiving episodic factor therapy (15) as compared to those receiving regular low dose factor prophylaxis (1). Conclusions: Haemophilia patients receiving episodic factor doses have higher Annual Bleeding Rate as compared to patients receiving regular low dose factor prophylaxis. Also, patients receiving prophylaxis face less severe forms of bleeding episodes as compared to other group of patients.
RESUMO
Nutraceuticals, comprising supplements, herbal medicines, vitamins, and minerals, claim therapeutic benefits in addressing disease causes. Coined in 1989, the term denotes compounds promoting health. Projections suggest India's nutraceutical business will reach USD 18 billion by 2025, necessitating robust oversight. Food Safety and Standards Authority of India, established under Food Safety and Standards Act of 2006, governs approvals. This study aimed to collate data on approved, refused, and withdrawn nutraceutical products and ingredients in India from 2020 to 2023. During this period, 58 out of 110 applications, constituting 52.7%, gained approval. Notably, 20-40% of applications related to nutraceuticals faced refusal or withdrawal within the preceding four years. Factors contributing to rejections and withdrawals include the sorting of S-adenosyl-L-methionine (SAMe) as a pharmaceutical compound, non-compliance with recommended dietary intake, potential drug-like properties, misleading labeling, and insufficient evidence of product efficacy. Withdrawals often result from issues like adulteration, substandard ingredients, and noncompliance with Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) regulations. To surmount these challenges, FSSAI must establish rigorous regulations and guidelines for nutraceutical promotion, including public notifications for any modifications, with a concurrent expectation for industries to adhere to these guidelines in promoting public health. The collaboration of applicants/nutraceutical industry, and FSSAI would foster stable expansion, as evident in the CAGR for nutraceutical products and ingredients in India.
RESUMO
Objective To analyze the prevalence, annual trends, and co-morbidity trends of common chronic diseases among workers in a large automotive industry from 2019 to 2021, and to provide a scientific basis for the health management of workers in the automotive industry. Methods The health examination data of workers in a large automotive industry from 2019-2021 were analyzed. Trends in the prevalence of chronic diseases and co-morbidities were analyzed using Join Point software and trend χ2 test. Results The prevalence of metabolic syndrome, hyperuricemia, and fatty liver in the 2019 – 2021 health checkups of workers in this enterprise increased at an average rate of 9.27%, 11.35%, and 3.99% per year, respectively. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome, hyperuricemia, and fatty liver in male workers showed an increasing trend at an average rate of 7.05%, 9.25%, and 2.91% per year, respectively. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome in female workers showed an increasing trend at an average rate of 20.76% per year. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome, hyperuricemia and fatty liver was on the rise in the age groups ≤ 29 years old and 40 – 49 years old. The proportion of metabolic syndrome and its co-morbidity with one or two common chronic diseases showed an increasing trend. Conclusion The prevalence and co-morbidity of common chronic diseases in this enterprise are generally on the rise. The enterprise should focus on health education and preventive care for chronic diseases among workers aged ≤ 29 and 40 – 49 years old and male workers and control the annual increasing trend of metabolic syndrome among female workers and workers in the age group ≤ 29 years.
RESUMO
Objective To study the effect of incentive and target assessment mechanism on the operation and manage-ment efficiency of nurse-led clinics.Methods 45 cases in the nurse-led clinic managed by the target assessment mechanism in our hospital from June to December 2021 were selected as the control group,and 46 cases managed by the incentive joint target assessment mechanism in our hospital from February to July 2022 were selected as the observation group.The annual workload,doctors'recognition of nurses,nursing quality and self-efficacy scale(GSES)scores before and after intervention were compared between the two groups,and the satisfaction of nurses in charge of patients was compared between the two groups.Results Be-fore intervention,there was no difference in the annual workload between the two groups(P＞0.05).After intervention,the an-nual workload of the two groups increased,and the observation group was higher than the control group(P＜0.05).Before inter-vention,there was no difference in the scores of recognition degree between the two groups(P＞0.05).After intervention,the scores of communication ability,quality management ability,emergency ability,independent work ability and specialist problem solving ability of the two groups increased,and the observation group was higher than the control group(P＜0.05).Before inter-vention,there was no difference in nursing quality score between the two groups(P＞0.05).After intervention,the quality of nursing cases,the quality of patient safety management,the quality of post work and the total mean score of the two groups were increased,and the observation group was higher than the control group(P＜0.05).Before intervention,there was no difference in GSES scores between the two groups(P＞0.05).After intervention,GSES scores of the two groups increased,and the obser-vation group was higher than the control group(P＜0.05).The total satisfaction rate of patients in observation group was 96.25% ,higher than 86.25% in control group(P＜0.05).Conclusion The incentive and target assessment mechanism can significantly improve nurses'annual workload and nursing quality,doctors'recognition of nurses and patients'satisfaction with nursing.
RESUMO
Objective:To analyze the eye lens dose and annual effective dose to interventional radiation workers in some hospitals of Xinxiang city from 2020 to 2022, and to ascertain the dose to interventional radiation workers.Methods:By using TLDs, the eye lens dose Hp(3) and annual effective dose Hp(10) were monitored for three consecutive years in six hospitals in Xinxiang city. The lens doses and annual effective doses to intervention radiation workers in different years in different-level hospitals and departments were analyzed. Results:From 2020 to 2022, a total of 117 people were monitored. The left eye lens dose range was 0.12-164.24 mSv, and the right eye lens dose range was 0.07-51.64 mSv. The average annual dose was 8.56 mSv for left eye lens and 4.49 mSv for right eye lens The average annual dose distribution in the MDL-5 mSv range for the left and right eye lens was 60.68% and 73.50%, respectively. 9.41% (11 people) of the left eye lens doses exceeded 20 mSv. The annual effective doses range was 0.11-31.27 mSv, with average annual dose of 2.56 mSv. The proportion of average annual effective doses mainly distributed in the range of MDL to 1.25 mSv was 52.14%, with 2.56% annual effective dose exceeding 20 mSv. There was no significant difference in left and right eye lens dose and annual effective dose between the tertiary hospitals and the secondary hospitals in three years ( P>0.05). Compared with different departments, the cumulative per capita dose in three years was statistically significant (left eye H=11.42, right eye H=13.72, annual effective dose H=25.94, P<0.05). The lens dose and annual effective dose in neurology department were lower than those in cardiology department and comprehensive intervention department ( Zcardiology department=-3.33, -3.78, -4.83, P<0.05; Zcomprehensive intervention department=-2.71, -2.63, -4.39, P<0.05). Conclusions:Most of the annual equivalent dose and annual effective dose to eye lens of the interventional radiation workers in Xinxiang city meet the national limits, but some of them have higher doses and exceed the national limits. It is suggested that the routine and continuous monitoring of eye lens doses to interventional radiologists should be strengthened while routine monitoring of annual effective dose, and attention should be paid to the eye lens and annual effective dose to interventional radiologists in secondary hospitals to improve the awareness of protection.
RESUMO
@#Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has seen a surge in clinical research, basic research, and innovative device development both domestically and internationally in the previous 2023. This article aims to review the progress of TAVR in the past year from the perspectives of international, and domestic research development of application. It highlights new clinical and basic research findings both domestically and internationally, the emergence of new devices and technologies, and the development and use of TAVR in China. Finally, it provides an outlook on the trajectory of TAVR development in 2024.
RESUMO
Objective@#To investigate the trend in mortality of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2022, so as to provide insights into formulation of the malignant tumor control strategy.@*Methods@#Data on mortality of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2022 were collected through Hangzhou Municipal Chronic Disease Monitoring Management System, and the cause of death composition ratio and crude mortality were calculated. The mortality of malignant tumors was standardized by the population of the sixth National Population Census in China in 2010. The trend in mortality of malignant tumors were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC).@*Results@#There were 13 301 malignant tumor deaths reported in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2022, accounting for 31.26% of the total cause of death and ranking the first among the causes of death. The crude mortality was 186.36/105 and standardized mortality was 106.63/105. There was no significant trend in the crude mortality of malignant tumors in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2022 (P>0.05), while the standardized mortality showed a tendency towards a decline (AAPC=-1.409%, P<0.05). The crude and standardized mortality of malignant tumors were higher in men than in women (241.40/105 vs. 133.37/105; 132.66/105 vs. 79.35/105; both P<0.05). There was no obvious trend in the crude mortality of malignant tumors in men (P>0.05), and the standardized mortality showed a tendency towards a decline (AAPC=-3.017%, P<0.05). While there was no obvious trend in the crude and standardized mortality of malignant tumors in women (P>0.05). The crude mortality of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a decline among residents at ages of 15 to 44 years and 65 years and older (AAPC=-3.933% and -2.413%, both P<0.05). The crude mortality of malignant tumors was higher in men than in women among residents at ages of 0 to 14 years, 45 to 64 years and 65 years and older (all P<0.05). The five most common causes of death included lung cancer, colorectal cancer, liver cancer, gastric cancer and pancreatic cancer, accounting for 66.96% of all malignant tumors. The crude mortality of colorectal cancer from 2017 to 2022 showed a tendency towards a rise (AAPC=2.815%, P<0.05).@*Conclusions@#The standardized mortality of malignant tumors showed a tendency towards a decline in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2022. Management of malignant tumors should be given a high priority among men at ages of 45 years and older, and lung cancer, colorectal cancer, liver cancer, gastric cancer and pancreatic cancer were leading causes of death.
RESUMO
Objective@#To analyze the trends in mortality of liver cancer in Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2022, so as to provide the evidence for improving liver cancer control measures.@*Methods@#Data of liver cancer mortality in Wenzhou City from 2014 to 2022 were collected from Wenzhou Chronic Disease Monitoring Information System. The crude mortality were estimated and standardized by the national population census data in China in 2010, and the trends in mortality of liver cancer were analyzed with average annual percent change (AAPC).@*Results@#There were 22 033 liver cancer deaths from 2014 to 2022, accounting for 18.08% of malignant tumor deaths and ranking the second in malignant tumor deaths. The crude mortality of liver cancer was 30.00/105 and the standardized mortality was 24.32/105, both showing decreasing trends (AAPC=-2.812% and -5.742%, both P<0.05). The standardized mortality of liver cancer were higher in men than in women (36.66/105 vs. 11.21/105, P<0.05), both showing decreasing trends (AAPC=-5.702% and -5.521%, both P<0.05). The crude mortality of liver cancer appeared a tendency towards a rise with age (P<0.05), with the highest crude mortality in the group aged 80 to 84 years, reaching 145.12/105. The crude mortality of liver cancer showed a tendency towards a decline among residents aged under 15 years, 15 to 44 years, 45 to 64 years and 65 years and above (AAPC=-20.311%, -6.569%, -7.408% and -3.177%, all P<0.05).@*Conclusions@#The mortality of liver cancer showed a tendency towards a decline in Wenzhou City from 2014 to 2022. Men and the elderly were high-risk groups for liver cancer deaths, and prevention should be strengthened based on risk factors.
RESUMO
Objective To understand the characteristics and temporal trends of stroke incidence in the household population of Shanghai's Qingpu District and to provide a basis for the development of comprehensive prevention and control strategies. Methods The stroke case database for Qingpu District from 2017-2022 was obtained from the Shanghai Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry and Reporting Information System. The average age of onset, incidence rate, standardised incidence rate, and constitutive ratio were calculated. Independent samples t-tests were used for comparisons between groups, 2-tests and 2-trend tests for comparisons of rates, and the Joinpoint regression model for calculating the annual percentage change (APC) to analyse the temporal trend of rates. Results Between 2017 and 2022, the average age of stroke onset in the household population of Shanghai's Qingpu District was 73.69±11.60 years. The average annual incidence rate was 556.62/100 000, with an average annual standardised incidence rate of 333.76/100000. There was an increasing trend in the incidence and standardised incidence of stroke in males (APC=7.06%, t=3.44, P=0.03, APC=5.32%, t=3.04, P=0.04). The incidence of stroke increases with age, with cases mainly concentrated in those aged 65 years and above, accounting for 79.47%. Ischemic stroke dominates the stroke typology, accounting for 91.08% of cases, while the incidence of hemorrhagic stroke shows an increasing trend (APC=4.64%, t=4.59, P=0.01). Conclusion The occurrence of stroke in the general population of Shanghai’s Qingpu District is concerning. The study indicates that males, individuals aged 65 years and above, and ischaemic stroke are significant factors that require attention for stroke prevention and control.
RESUMO
Objective@#To analyze the status of health risk behaviors among middle school students in Beijing City from 2018 to 2022, in order to provide reference for scientific and effective intervention.@*Methods@#Using multi stage stratified cluster random sampling method,data of student health and associated factors monitoring among 84 712 middle school students from 16 districts of Beijing during 2018 to 2022 were compared regarding the differences of health risk behaviors among students in different groups by Chi quare test. And their change trends were evaluated by annual percentage change (APC). @*Results@#In the five surveys during 2018 to 2022,reporting rates of unhealthy diet, unintentional injury, intentional injury, substance abuse and Internet addiction (only in 2018 and 2020) behaviors were higher in boys than in girls ( χ 2=4.91-297.52, P ＜0.05).Reporting rate of physical inactivity behavior in girls was higher than that in boys ( χ 2=56.49-160.88, P ＜0.05). Reporting rates of unhealthy diet, physical inactivity, unintentional injury (except 2021), substance abuse and Internet addiction (only in 2018 and 2019) behaviors were the highest in vocational high school, followed by general high school, and the lowest in junior middle school ( χ 2=23.30-1 285.98, P ＜0.01). Intentional injury behavior was highest in junior high school, followed by vocational high school, and lowest in general high school ( χ 2=96.18-378.32, P ＜0.01).Reporting rate of Internet addiction (2020-2022) behavior was highest in general high school, followed by vocational high school, and lowest in junior high school ( χ 2=16.93-60.11, P＜0.01). Reporting rates of unhealthy diet, intentional injury (2020 and 2022) and substance abuse (except 2018) behaviors were higher in suburban areas than in urban areas (χ 2=6.70-117.56, P＜0.05). Reporting rates of physical inactivity, unintentional injury, intentional injury (2018 and 2019) and Internet addiction behaviors were higher in urban areas than in suburban areas (χ2=3.90-130.80, P＜0.05). Standardized rates of unintentional injury, intentional injury, substance abuse and Internet addiction behaviors showed a statistically significant downward trend from 2018 to 2022 (APC=-14.16, -13.43, -16.03, -8.48, t =-6.94, -4.46, -11.98, -4.36, P ＜0.05).@*Conclusions@#During 2018-2022, unintentional injury, intentional injury, substance abuse and Internet addiction behaviors of middle school students in Beijing City have improved, and the reporting rates of unhealthy diet and physical inactivity behaviors are high and don t show a downward trend. Efforts should be made to strengthen intervention in unhealthy diet and physical inactivity behaviors among middle school students, in order to reduce the occurrence of health risk behaviors.
RESUMO
Objective:To investigate the correlation between the annual professional proficiency test results and the theoretical examination score of completion assessment in standardized residency training, as well as the value of the annual professional proficiency test results in predicting whether a resident passes the theoretical examination of completion assessment.Methods:The residents who participated in the annual professional proficiency test of residency training in Affiliated Hospital 2 of Nantong University in 2019-2021 and the completion assessment of residency training in 2020-2022 were selected as subjects, and related data were collected, including sex, education background, personnel type, training specialty, the results of annual professional proficiency test, and the theoretical examination score of completion assessment. According to whether the resident passed the theoretical examination of completion assessment, they were divided into passed group and failed group. SPSS 19.0 was used to perform the chi-square test, the independent samples t-test, and the binary logistic regression analysis; the Pearson correlation coefficient was used for correlation analysis; the sensitivity analysis was represented by ROC curve. Results:Compared with the residents who passed the theoretical examination of completion assessment, the residents who did not pass the examination had a significant reduction in the proportion of the residents from our hospital and a significant increase in the proportion of the residents commissioned by foreign institutions ( χ 2=7.00, P=0.008). The passed group had a significantly higher national percentile of annual professional proficiency test score than the failed group (43.46%±26.61% vs. 23.40%±18.71%, t=6.02, P<0.001). The national percentile of annual professional proficiency test score was positively correlated with the theoretical examination score of completion assessment ( r=0.43, P<0.05). The source of residents commissioned by foreign institutions and the low percentile of annual professional proficiency test score were independent risk factors for failing the theoretical examination of completion assessment ( P=0.020 and P<0.001). The national percentile of annual professional proficiency test score had an area under the ROC curve of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.65-0.80) in predicting the outcome of theoretical examination and had a certain predictive value with a cut-off value of 15.1%. Conclusions:In addition to strengthening homogenization and professional base management for residency training, it is necessary to make full use of the results of annual professional proficiency test in standardized residency training and timely check the professional knowledge of the residents whose a national percentile of <15.1%, so as to effectively improve the pass rate of theoretical examination and the quality of training.
RESUMO
Objective:To investigate the scope and changes in the outcome of Keshan disease in Jilin Province, and provide scientific basis for adjusting the focus of Keshan disease prevention and control.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the annual report data of Keshan disease reported by 38 Keshan disease endemic counties (cities, districts) in Jilin Province from 2017 to 2021. Descriptive analysis was conducted on the scope of Keshan disease endemic areas, population, general situation and outcomes of current patients.Results:As of the end of 2021, there was no overall change in the scope of Keshan disease endemic areas in Jilin Province. The number of permanent residents in counties, townships, and villages in the endemic areas had decreased by 11.77%, 26.77%, and 35.55%, respectively, compared to 2017. There were a total of 1 092 current patients with Keshan disease, including 926 cases of latent Keshan disease and 166 cases of chronic Keshan disease. The male to female ratio was 0.38∶1.00 (303∶789), and 79.76% (871/1 092) of the patients were over 60 years old. Some patients also had other chronic diseases such as hypertension and coronary heart disease. In 2021, the number of patients with Keshan disease decreased by 1 020 compared to 2017. Death, migration (in), loss of follow-up, and re-diagnosis accounted for 34.29% (500/1 458), 27.85% (406/1 458), 25.51% (372/1 458), and 12.35% (180/1 458) of the total number of outcomes, respectively; 57 middle-aged and young patients under 60 years old accounted for 11.40% (57/500) of the total deaths. Over the past 5 years, 24 new patients were discovered, including 4 cases of latent Keshan disease and 20 cases of chronic Keshan disease. Additionally, 6 patients with chronic Keshan disease died within 2 years of diagnosis.Conclusions:The overall scope of Keshan disease endemic areas in Jilin Province has not changed, with a significant decrease in the number of permanent residents, an aging population of current patients, and some patients coexisting with chronic diseases. Death, migration (in), and loss of follow-up are the main outcomes of current patients.
RESUMO
Objectives:To explore the burden and trend of cardiovascular diseases(CVD)attributed to household air pollution(HAP)in the world and China from 1990 to 2019. Methods:Based on the Global Burden of Disease(GDB)database in 2019,the CVD data attributed to HAP in China and around the world were extracted,and the mortality and disability-adjusted life years(DALY)and their age standardized rate(ASR)and estimated annual percentage change(EAPC)were used to analyze the burden of disease and trend in China and other regions and countries from 1990 to 2019. Results:From 1990 to 2019,the age-standardized death rate(ASDR)(EAPC=-3.65,95%CI:-3.86 to-3.44),and the age-standardized DALY rate(EAPC=-3.60,95%CI:-3.78 to-3.41)attributable to HAP for CVD globally showed a decreasing trend.In China,the ASDR(EAPC=-5.78,95%CI:-6.17 to-5.38)and the age-standardized DALY rate(EAPC=-5.97,95%CI:-6.32 to-5.62)also showed a declining trend.The burden of males was slightly higher than females,reaching its peak at the age of 75 to 89 years.The largest increase of the burden of CVD attributed to HAP was in Philippines(ASDR:EAPC[95%CI]=0.87[0.21-1.54];age-standardized DALY rate:EAPC[95%CI]=1.32[0.60-2.03]),and the largest decline was in Saudi Arabia(ASDR:EAPC[95%CI]=-18.48[-18.63 to-18.32];age-standardized DALY rate:EAPC[95%CI]=-18.25[-18.38 to-18.12]).In 2019,the highest disease burden of CVD related to HAP per 100 000 people was significantly higher in ASDR(56.67,95%UI:42.08-73.07)and age-standardized DALY rate(1 318.63,95%UI:997.40-1 672.29)in areas with low social demographic index(SDI)than in other SDI areas.In 2019,among the 21 geographical regions and 204 countries in the world,the highest disease burden per 100 000 people was in Oceania,and the highest country was Solomon Islands,the corresponding ASDR of China was 12.52(95%UI:6.35-21.29)and the age-standardized DALY rate was 262.65(95%UI:133.90-447.50). Conclusions:From 1990 to 2019,the age-standardized burden of CVD attributable to HAP in the world and China showed a consistent downward trend,with males slightly higher than females,and the burden concentrated on population between 75 and 89 years old.Although there has been a certain decline in China,the disease burden is still high,so there is still a urgent need to take strong intervention measures to reduce burden of CVD attributable to HAP in China.
RESUMO
The mean annual rainfall over different stations of North Eastern dry zone of Karnataka varied between 630.1 mm to 744.3 mm. The mean annual rainfall received relatively more at North side and middle of the zone in comparison to south side lying stations within the North Eastern dry zone of Karnataka. The percentage of seasonal rainfall contribution towards annual rainfall varied between 66-74%, 16-20% and 10-14% for Kharif, rabi and summer seasons respectively. The drought characterization revealed that, out of 35 years (1986-2020) of study period, all the stations have experienced one or the other kind of drought situation during 17 to 20 years which accounts for 49 to 57 per cent, which means, most of the stations have experienced either mild or moderate drought conditions for 50% of the years.
RESUMO
Introduction: The type of land use surrounding the remnants of tropical forest may generate changes in the characteristics of plant populations and communities. Consequently, there may be a significant reduction in processes of pollination and diasporas dispersion. Therefore, causing changes in some parameters of seed rain. Objective: To characterize and compare seed density, species richness, floristic composition, habit, dispersal syndrome, and successional category of seed rain between urban and rural fragments of Atlantic Forest, in the 2015 and 2016 weather seasons. Methods: The study areas were defined after mapping and quantification of urban and rural occupations around the remnants, based on satellite images. In each fragment, were installed 36 collectors of 0.25 m2. The material was collected monthly during two consecutive years. Results: Seed rain richness was higher in the urban fragment during the rainy season in the two years, whereas it was similar between the fragments in the dry season. The seed density in the rural fragment was higher than in the urban during the rainy season; did not vary in urban between years or between seasons; and it was higher in the rural fragment in the rainy season of one year. There was a difference in the floristic composition of the seed rain between the fragments along time. The variations in the functional attributes of habit, dispersal syndrome, and successional category, were explained by the variables fragment, season, and year. Conclusions: Differences in the characteristics of the seed rain between the fragments might reflect the spatial and temporal heterogeneity, due to the diverse uses of the soil and external pressures (anthropogenic actions) present in the surroundings of the forest fragments and temporal variation in precipitation.
Introducción: El tipo de uso del suelo que rodea los remanentes de bosque tropical puede generar cambios en las características de las poblaciones y comunidades vegetales. En consecuencia, puede haber una reducción significativa en los procesos de polinización y dispersión de las diásporas. Por lo tanto, provocando cambios en algunos parámetros de la lluvia de semillas. Objetivo: Caracterizar y comparar la densidad de semillas, la riqueza de especies, la composición florística, el hábito, el síndrome de dispersión y la categoría sucesional de la lluvia de semillas entre fragmentos urbanos y rurales de Mata Atlántica, en las estaciones climáticas del 2015 y 2016. Métodos: Las áreas de estudio se definieron luego del mapeo y cuantificación de las ocupaciones urbanas y rurales alrededor de los remanentes, con base en imágenes satelitales. En cada fragmento se instalaron 36 colectores de 0.25 m2. El material fue recolectado mensualmente durante dos años consecutivos. Resultados: La riqueza de lluvia de semillas fue mayor en el fragmento urbano durante la estación lluviosa en los dos años, mientras que fue similar entre los fragmentos en la estación seca. La densidad de semillas en el fragmento rural fue mayor que en el urbano durante la estación lluviosa; no varió en urbano entre años o entre estaciones; y fue mayor en el fragmento rural en la estación lluviosa del primer año. Hubo una diferencia en la composición florística de la lluvia de semillas entre los fragmentos a lo largo del tiempo. Las variaciones en los atributos funcionales de hábito, síndrome de dispersión y categoría sucesional, fueron explicadas por las variables fragmento, estación y año. Conclusiones: Las diferencias en las características de la lluvia de semillas entre los fragmentos podrían reflejar la heterogeneidad espacial y temporal, debido a los diversos usos del suelo y presiones externas (acciones antropogénicas) presentes en el entorno de los fragmentos de bosque y variación temporal de la precipitación.
Assuntos
Estações do Ano , Dispersão de Sementes/fisiologia , Floresta Úmida , BrasilRESUMO
India has access to several natural resources because of its diverse Agro-climatic conditions and a wide-ranging and large raw material base suitable for vegetable cultivation. This study was purely based on secondary data as collected from reports from Horticulture at a Glance, Agriculture at a glance and the Indiastat site. The trends of area, production, and productivity were estimated from the period 2001–2002 to 2021–2022, under tomato cultivation. The Study period was further divided into three subperiods: period I (2001–2011), period II (2011–2022), and the overall period (2001–2022). The compound growth rates of area, production, and productivity computed at the national level was 2.93 percent, 4.89 percent, and 1.90 percent, respectively and in Uttar Pradesh it was found 3.81, 13.22 and 9.11 percent. This study showed that the percentage share of Uttar Pradesh under Tomato cultivation was higher than in the whole of India.
RESUMO
The soil and water conservation structures are constructed to overcome water scarcity as a result of interannual rainfall variability and paucity of the perennial source of water. The present study was aimed to estimate the design runoff for the efficient hydrologic design of various soils and water conservation structures using machine techniques for enabling efficient harvesting of available rainfall with economical design which can support in developing climate resilience for the Saurashtra region of Gujarat, India. The design rainfall at various return periods was predicted by Annual One Day Maximum Rainfall (ADMR) using three technics i.e. Probability Distribution Fitting, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for 11 stations. Various goodness of fit tests revealed that ADMR was efficiently predicted by log-logistic (3P) distribution for six stations, generalized extreme value distribution for two stations and lognormal (3P), gamma (3P) and lognormal distribution for one station each. Among ANN and GPR, the performance indicators revealed that GPR has shown a higher capability to predict ADMR as compared to ANN with correlation coefficient ranging from 0.97 to 0.99, mean absolute error from 15 mm to 411 mm and root mean squared error from 40 mm to 494 mm for various stations. The design runoff estimation was demonstrated based on predicted ADMR for return periods suitable for various soil and water conservation structures like field bunding, terrace outlets and vegetative outlets, field diversion, permanent masonry gully control structures, earthen dam, etc. using SCS-Curve Number method for curve number 70 and 85. The study is useful for researchers, planners and engineers to implement the economical, efficient and safe design of various soil and water conservation structures.
RESUMO
The study determined the effect of changing climate on rainfall 24-hourly annual maximum series (AMS) downscaled data found to be statistically insignificant in trend for the Port Harcourt metropolis. The measured rainfall data for this study were collected for 35 years (1971-2005) from the Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NIMET). The 24-hourly (AMS) rainfall data extracted were further downscaled into shorter-duration rainfall using Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) and the Modified Chowdhury Indian Meteorological Department (MCIMD) method. The result of the slope obtained showed decreasing positive values of 0.5250 (at 0.25 hour) to 0.0249 mm/hr/year (at 24 hours) and 0.7625 (at 0.25 hour) to 0.0250 mm/hr/year (at 24 hours) for IMD and MCIMD models, respectively. The variable rate of change obtained showed 0.6 mm/year or 6.00 mm/decade at 24 hours. Relatively, the trend test for the 24-hourly monthly maximum series (MMS) also showed a p-value of 0.2289 which is greater than the alpha value at a 5% significant level with a slope value of 0.0006 to confirm the positive mild trend status of the 24-hourly AMS sample data. The trend change point date was obtained in 1988 by plotting the distribution-free cumulative (CUSUM) test, while the sequential MK (SQMK) test gave another year of change point date as 1994, further intensifying the positive trend change in the Port Harcourt metropolis. Therefore, proving the existence of mild and positive changing climatic conditions in the time series measured rainfall data for the study area.
RESUMO
In this study, we introduce a statistical model applied to climate change data consisting of an autoregressive times series (AR) model which represents a type of random process. A Bayesian approach using MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) methods is considered to get the inferences of interest. The main goal of the study is to have a model to get good predictions for mean temperature and also good to identify the time of possible change-points that might be present in the time series which could indicate the possible beginning of a change in climate. Applications of the proposed model are considered using annual average temperatures in some locations obtained over a period of time ranging from the end of 1800’s to a popular Bayesian discrimination criterion using MCMC methods.In addition to a good fit of the proposed model for the data, the model also was used to detect the times of climate changes in the different climate stations using CUSUM methodology.
RESUMO
Bhadradri district of the central Telangana zone is monsoon dependent as like our country in the past three decades many changes and shifts in the rainfall was experienced by the district farming community. Hence, the rainfall data of the past three decades (1991-2020) was analyzed by using non parametric statistical tests i.e Mann-Kendall (MK) test and Sen’s slope estimator for determining the trend and magnitude. The Results of the study revealed that Z test value for annual rainfall was significantly increased with Positive linear trend of Sen’s slope estimator with +12.79 mm increase per year. Among the seasons Southwest monsoon period reported significantly positive trend with Z value of 2.07 and Sen’s slope estimator was +9.227 mm per season. Highest rainfall variability (116.3%) was found in the winter season with negative Z value (-1.559) and decreasing Sen’s estimate of -0.397 mm per season was reported. Mann Kendall test values for monthly rainfall reported that significant increase in the march month with Z value of 2.030 and Sen’s slope estimator was highest during the month of August +3.988 mm per month.