Impactos por cambio de uso de suelo en las áreas naturales protegidas de la región central de la Sierra Madre Oriental, México / Impact of land use cover change on protected natural areas in central region of Sierra Madre Oriental, Mexico

Resumen Los cambios en el uso de suelo y la cubierta vegetal, derivados de la expansión y extensión de асtividades antrópicas, generan impactos negativos en la biodiversidad y la provisión de servicios ecosistémicos, y contribuyen significativamente en los procesos de cambio climatico a nivel regional. Las Áreas Naturales Protegidas (ANP) representan un instrumento de política pública para hacer frente a las tendencias de cambio y transformación de los ecosistemas, además de permitir la conservación de los recursos. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar el impacto potencial del cambio en el uso de suelo y la cobertura vegetal de las ANP de la región сеntral de la Sierra Madre Orientai (SMO), en México, a través del análisis espacial y la simulación de escenarios de cambio potencial. Se usaron imágenes satelitales para elaborar mapas de cambio en coberturas vegetales, entre los años 1989, 2000 y 2005, y con base en un conjunto de variables biofísicas y socioeconómicas, se simuló un escenario de cambio al 2025. Se determinó que la tasa de cambio de las cubiertas vegetales de la SMO en el periodo estudiado fue de 0.54 % en selvas, 0.22 % en bosques y 0.23 % en matorrales; y en las ANP fue de 0.34 % y 0.60 % para selvas y bosques, respectivamente. En este lapso se perdieron 1 578.26 ha de selvas, bosques y matorrales, al interior de las ANP. De mantenerse las tendencias actuales de cambio en el uso de la tierra, otras 4 542.17 ha estarán en riesgo de perderse en un futuro cercano. Los resultados indican que las ANP estudiadas están sometidas a presiones de cambio en el uso de la tierra, que amenazan la conservación del patrimonio natural que resguardan, por 10 que deberían rediseñarse las estrategias de manejo y monito reo a corto y mediano plazo.

Abstract Land use cover change, resulting from the expansion and extension of human activities, generates negative impact on biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services, as well as contributing significantly to climate change processes at a regional level. Natural Protected Areas (NPA) represent a public policy instrument to address the trends of change and ecosystem transformation, while allowing the conservation of resources. The objective of this study was to determine the potential impact of the processes involved in land use cover change on the NPA as part of the central region at the Sierra Madre Oriental (SMO) in Mexico by using the special analysis and the scenery simulation of potential change. Satellite imagery was used to determine the changes in natural vegetation cover between 1989, 2000 and 2005 and, using a set of biophysical and socioeconomic variables, a change scenario was simulated for 2025. This study found that the rate of change of vegetation cover at the SMO over the research period was 0.54 % in tropical forests, 0.22 % in forests and 0.23 % in scrublands, while those in NPA were 0.34 % and 0.60 % in tropical forests and forests respectively; 1 578.26 ha of tropical semi-deciduous temperate forest and scrublands were lost from the NPA. If the current land use trends change continues, another 4 542.17 ha are likely to be modified in the future. These results indicate that NPA under study are subject to the pressures of land use change that threaten the natural heritage under protection and that, therefore, management strategies and monitoring need to be redesigned in the short and medium term.

Cambios en la cobertura de manglares en Bahía Culebra, Pacífico Norte de Costa Rica (1945-2010) / Changes in mangrove coverage in Culebra Bay, North Pacific of Costa Rica (1945-2010)

ResumenLos manglares tienen gran importancia ecológica, económica, riqueza natural y prestan servicios ambientales. No obstante, son amenazados por la sobreexplotación, la contaminación y el cambio de uso de suelo. Costa Rica tiene manglares en las costas pacífica y caribeña. Según algunos estudios, la cobertura de manglar ha ido disminuyendo desde la década de 1980. Debido a que estos datos no son actualizados y se basan en estimaciones poco precisas, es necesario hacer una valoración de la extensión actual y la variación de la cobertura en los últimos años, que permita determinar cambios. En esta investigación se estudió la cobertura de dos manglares ubicados en Bahía Culebra, Pacífico Norte: Iguanita y Playa Panamá. Se usaron fotografías e imágenes de satélite para un período de 65 años (1945-2010). Se encontraron cambios espaciotemporales en la cobertura de manglar, bosques adyacentes y áreas sin vegetación. Las menores coberturas de manglar se registraron en la década de 1970, pero aumentaron en años posteriores. Los cambios en la cobertura de bosque alrededor de los manglares de Iguanita y Playa Panamá concuerdan con otros análisis históricos sobre el uso del suelo alrededor de Bahía Culebra. Antes de 1980 se dio un aumento de las prácticas de ganadería extensiva e intensiva, lo que aumentó la tasa de deforestación. Después de 1980 se abandonaron estas prácticas y la cobertura de bosque secundario aumentó hasta el año 2000. Para asegurar una adecuada protección de los manglares, es necesario evaluar también las áreas aledañas y establecer zonas de amortiguamiento alrededor, para reducir los impactos futuros.

Abstract:Despite the economic and environmental services that mangroves provide, they continue to be threatened by overexploitation, pollution, and land use change. Costa Rica has mangrove areas on the Pacific and Caribbean coasts, and cover has been declining since the 1980s. However, data on mangrove coverage are not continually updated and are often based on inaccurate estimates. It is therefore necessary to assess the current extension and variation of the mangrove cover in recent years, to determine changes. The mangrove cover was analyzed in two mangrove forests located in Bahía Culebra, North Pacific: Iguanita and Playa Panamá. For this, aerial photographs and satellite imagery were used to study changes for a 65 year period (1945-2010). Spatio-temporal changes were found in mangrove coverage, adjacent forests and areas without vegetation. Lower mangrove cover occurred during the 1970s (28.4 ha in Iguanita and 4.8 ha in Playa Panamá); but increased in recent years (38.9 ha in Iguanita and 12.0 ha in Panamá). Changes in forest cover by the Iguanita and Playa Panama mangroves were related to the history of land use around Bahía Culebra. Before 1980, there was extensive and intensive cattle ranching, increasing the deforestation rate; after that year, these practices were abandoned and secondary forest coverage increased until 2000. To ensure the adequate protection of mangroves, it is not only important to protect mangrove forests, but it is also necessary to establish buffer zones on their surroundings, to mitigate and/or reduce possible impacts. Rev. Biol. Trop. 64 (3): 955-964. Epub 2016 September 01.

Ecology of Land Cover Change in Glaciated Tropical Mountains

Tropical mountains contain unique biological diversity, and are subject to many consequences of global climate change, exasperated by concurrent socioeconomic shifts. Glaciers are in a negative mass balance, exposing substrates to primary succession and altering downslope wetlands and streams. A review of recent trends and future predictions suggests a likely reduction in areas of open habitat for species of high mountains due to greater woody plant cover, accompanied by land use shifts by farmers and pastoralists along the environmental gradients of tropical mountains. Research is needed on the biodiversity and ecosystem consequences of successional change, including the direct effects of retreating glaciers and the indirect consequences of combined social and ecological drivers in lower elevations. Areas in the high mountains that are protected for nature conservation or managed collectively by local communities represent opportunities for integrated research and development approaches that may provide ecological spaces for future species range shifts.

Las montañas tropicales incluyen una singular diversidad biológica sujeta a las numerosas consecuencias del cambio climático global, exacerbado por concurrentes cambios socio-económicos. Los glaciares están en un balance negativo de su masa, promoviendo la exposición de los suelos a la colonización primaria, y alterando pantanos y riachuelos en las partes bajas. Revisiones de las tendencias actuales y predicciones sugieren que las especies de alta montaña sufrirían una reducción en las áreas de hábitats abiertos, debido al incremento en la cobertura de plantas leñosas, acompañado por los cambios en el uso del paisaje causados por agricultores y pastores a lo largo de las gradientes ambientales en las montañas tropicales. Es necesaria la investigación de las consecuencias en la biodiversidad y en los ecosistemas por causados por los cambios sucesionales, incluyendo los efectos directos del retroceso de los glaciares y las consecuencias indirectas de la acción combinada de factores sociales y ecológicos que ocurren en altitudes inferiores. Las áreas protegidas en las altas montañas usadas en la conservación de la naturaleza o manejadas colectivamente por comunidades locales representan oportunidades donde puede integrarse investigación y planes de desarrollo que podrían proveer espacios ecológicos para los futuros desplazamientos de los rangos de distribución de las especies.

Identification and characterization of deforestation hot spots in Venezuela using MODIS satellite images / Identificação e caracterização dos hot spots do desmatamento na Venezuela a partir de imagens de satélite MODIS

Land cover changes over time as a result of human activity. Nowadays deforestation may be considered one of the main environmental problems. The objective of this study was to identify and characterize changes to forest cover in Venezuela between 2005-2010. Two maps of deforestation hot spots were generated on the basis of MODIS data, one using digital techniques and the other by means of direct visual interpretation by experts. These maps were validated against Landsat ETM+ images. The accuracy of the map obtained digitally was estimated by means of a confusion matrix. The overall accuracy of the maps obtained digitally was 92.5%. Expert opinions regarding the hot spots permitted the causes of deforestation to be identified. The main processes of deforestation were concentrated to the north of the Orinoco River, where 8.63% of the country's forests are located. In this region, some places registered an average annual forest change rate of between 0.72% and 2.95%, above the forest change rate for the country as a whole (0.61%). The main causes of deforestation for the period evaluated were agricultural and livestock activities (47.9%), particularly family subsistence farming and extensive farming which were carried out in 94% of the identified areas.

Cobertura do solo muda ao longo do tempo como resultado da atividade humana. Hoje em dia desmatamento pode ser considerado como um dos principais problemas ambientais. O objetivo deste estudo foi identificar e caracterizar as mudanças de cobertura florestal na Venezuela entre 2005-2010. Dois mapas de hot spots desmatamento foram gerados com base em dados MODIS, um usando técnicas digitais e outros, por meio de interpretação visual direta por especialistas. Estes mapas foram validados contra imagens Landsat ETM +. A exactidão do mapa obtidos digitalmente foi estimada por meio da matriz de confusão. A exatidão global do mapa de hot spots obtido digitalmente foi de 92,5%. Uma análise sobre os hot spots feita por especialistas permitiu identificar as causas do desmatamento. Os principais processos de desmatamento foram concentrados para o norte do rio Orinoco, onde estão localizadas 8,63% das florestas do país. Nesta região, alguns lugares registou uma taxa média anual de mudança de floresta entre 0,72% e 2,95%, acima da taxa de variação da floresta para o país como um todo (0,61%). As principais causas de desmatamento para o período avaliado foram as atividades agrícolas e pecuária (47,9%), a agricultura familiar e a agricultura extensiva, que são realizadas em 94% das áreas identificadas.

Simulating future urban growth in the city of Kahramanmaras, Turkey from 2009 to 2040.

City of Kahramanmaras has witnessed a rapid growth in the last five decades due to its agricultural and industrial potential. Urbanization has brought great challenges to the sustainable development of cities, especially in developing countries. A modeling system that could provide regional assessments of future development and explore the potential impacts of different regional management scenarios would be useful for the future health of the cities. The main goal of this study was to create a modeling system capable of depicting, quantitatively and graphically, the growth impacts of two land use policies and trends in the city of Kahramanmaras. Given its success with regional scale simulation, its ability to incorporate different levels of land protection through an “excluded” layer, and the relative ease of implementation and computation, the model developed by Keith Clarke from University of California at Santa Barbara, known as SLEUTH, was adopted for this study. SLEUTH is a pixel-based cellular automaton (CA) model and has been applied to several cities worldwide successfully. The model was calibrated using historic time series of developed areas derived from Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery between 1984 and 2009, and future growth was projected out to 2040. Two alternative growth scenarios were modeled: (1) current trends, and (2) managed growth: regions with high landscape potential were protected from urbanization. This application of the SLEUTH model demonstrates an ability to address a range of regional planning issues and provides useful information for the cities’ future planning and development.