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Objective:To establish a risk prediction model for the occurrence of low 1 min Apgar scores in extremely premature infants (EPIs).Methods:From January 2017 to December 2021, EPIs delivered at our hospital were retrospectively analyzed and randomly assigned into training set group and validation set group in a 7∶3 ratio. 17 clinical indicators were selected as predictive variables and low Apgar scores after birth as outcome variables. Lasso regression and multi-factor logistic regression were used within the training set group to select the final predictors for the final model, and the calibration, distinguishability and clinical decision making curves of the final model were evaluated in the validation set group.Results:A total of 169 EPIs were enrolled, including 117 in the training set group and 52 in the validation set group. 4 indicators including gender, fetal distress, assisted conception and delivery time were selected as the final predictors in the final model. Both the training set group and the validation set group had good calibration curves. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the prediction model was 0.731, the sensitivity was 72.2%, the specificity was 60.5% and the AUC of the external validation curve was 0.704. The clinical decision making curve showed that the model had a greater benefit in predicting the occurrence of low Apgar score in EPIs within the threshold of 2% to 75%.Conclusions:The clinical prediction model established in this study has good distinguishability, calibration and clinical accessibility and can be used as a reference tool to predict low Apgar scores in EPIs.
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Objective:To study the predictive values of umbilical artery blood gas analysis(UABG) plus amplitude-integrated electroencephalography(aEEG) monitoring within 6 h after birth for early complications and short term neurological outcomes in low Apgar score neonates.Methods:From January 2020 to February 2022, neonates with gestational age (GA) ≥35 weeks and 1 min or 5 min Apgar score ≤7 admitted to NICU of our hospital were retrospectively reviewed. According to UABG pH values, the neonates were assigned into pH<7.2 group and pH ≥7.2 group, and further grouped into abnormal aEEG group and normal aEEG group. The ttest, rank sum test and χ2 test were used to compare laboratory results, incidences of diseases, physical growth and neurological prognosis at 6 month of age. Results:A total of 105 neonates with low Apgar scores were enrolled, including 73 cases in the pH<7.2 group and 32 cases in the pH≥7.2 group. In the pH<7.2 group, 52(71.2%) had abnormal aEEG and 21 had normal aEEG. In the pH≥7.2 group, 6(18.8%) had abnormal aEEG and 26 had normal aEEG. The incidence of abnormal aEEG in the pH<7.2 group was higher than the pH≥7.2 group ( P<0.001). The degree of aEEG abnormality was negatively correlated with UABG pH ( r=-0.463, P<0.001). In the pH<7.2 group, the levels of creatine kinase isozymes (CK-MB), activated partial thromboplastin time and the incidence of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) in neonates with abnormal aEEG were significantly higher than those with normal aEEG, and the head circumference (HC) at 6 month was significantly smaller in neonates with abnormal aEEG (all P<0.05). In the pH≥7.2 group, the level of CK-MB, incidences of HIE and respiratory failure in neonates with abnormal aEEG were higher than those with normal aEEG, HC at 6 month was smaller and the incidence of adverse neurological prognosis was higher in neonates with abnormal aEEG (all P<0.05). Conclusions:UABG plus aEEG monitoring within 6 h after birth shows predictive values for early complications and short term neurological outcomes in low Apgar scores neonates.
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INTRODUCCIÓN: El período más crucial de la vida humana corresponde a las primeras 24 h que siguen al nacimiento. En este período, la morbilidad y la mortalidad son elevadas, por lo que es necesario prevenir y conocer los factores de riesgo que puedan interferir en su normal desarrollo, evaluándose al nacer la puntuación de Apgar. OBJETIVOS: Identificar la posible asociación causal entre el índice de Apgar bajo y algunos factores epidemiológicos. Estimar a través del riesgo atribuible, aquellos factores que al actuar sobre ellos se lograría un mayor impacto en la población expuesta. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio analítico observacional tipo caso control, relacionado con algunos factores epidemiológicos que inciden en la ocurrencia de Apgar bajo al nacer, en el Hospital Materno Provincial Docente Mariana Grajales Coello de Santiago de Cuba, desde el 1ro de enero de 2006 hasta el 31 de diciembre de 2007 . RESULTADOS: La edad materna y la edad gestacional al parto, el meconio en el líquido amniótico, las anomalías del cordón umbilical, el parto distócico y la restricción del crecimiento intrauterino están relacionados con el índice de Apgar bajo al nacer en esta institución. CONCLUSIONES: La depresión al nacer se asoció causalmente con las anomalías del cordón umbilical y el líquido amniótico meconial, teniendo asociación significativa la desnutrición fetal intrauterina, la edad gestacional al parto < 37 sem y ³ 42 sem y la presentación fetal distócica. Se comprobó que al actuar en el diagnóstico temprano y de certeza de un CIUR se lograría un mejor y mayor impacto en la población expuesta
INTRODUCTION: The more crucial moment in human life is that corresponding with the first 24 hr post-partum. During this period, morbidity and mortality are high, this it is necessary to prevent and to know risk factors that may to interfere in its normal development, assessing at birth the Apgar score. OBJECTIVES: To identify the possible causal association between the low Apgar score and some epidemiological factors. To estimate according to the attributing risk factors that acting on them it will be a great impact in exposed population. METHODS: An observational and analytical type case-control study was conducted related to some epidemiological factors having an impact on a low Apgar score at birth in the Mariana Grajales Mother Teaching Provincial Hospital of Santiago de Cuba from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2007. RESULTS: Age mother and gestational age at labor, presence of meconium in amniotic fluid, umbilical cord abnormalities, dystocic labor and the intrauterine growth retard are related to a low Apgar score at birth in this institution. CONCLUSIONS: Depression at birth was associated in a causal way with umbilical cord abnormalities and the presence of meconium in amniotic fluid and a significant association with intrauterine fetal malnutrition, the gestational age at labor < 37 of weeks and ³ 42 weeks and dystocic fetal presentation. It was demonstrated that the retarded intrauterine growth (RIUG) acting in the early and certainty diagnosis it will be possible to achieve a better and major impact in exposed population