Comparison of the predictive value of the Oxford acute severity of illness score and simplified acute physiology score Ⅱ for in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit patients with sepsis: an analysis based on MIMIC-Ⅳ database / 中华危重病急救医学

Objective:To compare the predictive value of Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS) and simplified acute physiology score Ⅱ (SAPSⅡ) for in-hospital mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the data in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅳ0.4 (MIMIC-Ⅳ 0.4). Based on Sepsis-3 diagnostic criteria, the basic information of ICU adult sepsis patients with infection and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2 within 24 hours of ICU admission admitted for the first time in the database was extracted, including gender, age, vasopressor drugs, sedative drugs, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, length of ICU stay, OASIS, SAPSⅡ scores, etc. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. A receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to compare the prognostic value of OASIS score and SAPSⅡ score.Results:A total of 11 098 adult ICU sepsis patients were enrolled in the final analysis, of which 2 320 died and 8 778 survived in hospital, with a mortality of 20.90%. Compared with the survivors, the non-survivors were older [years old: 71 (60, 81) vs. 67 (56, 78)], had longer length of ICU stay [days: 6.95 (3.39, 13.07) vs. 4.23 (2.19, 9.73)] and higher proportions of using vasopressor drugs, sedative drugs, mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy [vasopressor drugs: 50.65% (1 175/2 320) vs. 33.05% (2 901/8 778), sedative drugs: 58.53% (1 358/2 320) vs. 48.41% (4 249/8 778), mechanical ventilation: 89.57% (2 078/2 320) vs. 81.66% (7 168/8 778), renal replacement therapy: 11.98% (278/2 320) vs. 6.57% (577/8 778), all P < 0.01]. Moreover, the non-survivors had higher OASIS score [43 (36, 49) vs. 35 (29, 41), P < 0.01] and SAPSⅡ score [49 (40, 60) vs. 38 (31, 47), P < 0.01] as compared with the survivors. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of OASIS score and SAPSⅡ score for predicting in-hospital death of ICU patients with sepsis was 0.713 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.701-0.725] and 0.716 (95% CI was 0.704-0.728), respectively, and the Delong test showed no significant difference in AUC between the two scoring systems ( P > 0.05). Conclusions:OASIS score has a good predictive value for in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients, which is similar to SAPSⅡ score. OASIS score is simpler and has a broader clinical application prospect than SAPSⅡ score.

Comparison of four scoring systems for predicting ICU mortality in patients with sepsis / 南方医科大学学报

OBJECTIVE@#To evaluate the value of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Simplified Acute Physiology Score Ⅱ (SAPS-Ⅱ), Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS) and Logistic Organ Dysfunction System (LODS) scoring systems for predicting ICU mortality in patients with sepsis.@*METHODS@#We collected the data of a total of 2470 cases of sepsis recorded in the MIMIC-III database from 2001 to 2012 and retrieved the scores of SOFA, SAPS-Ⅱ, OASIS and LODS of the patients within the first day of ICU admission. We compared with the score between the survivors and the non-survivors and analyzed the differences in the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the 4 scoring systems. Binomial logistic regression was performed to compare the predictive value of the 4 scoring systems for ICU mortality of the patients.@*RESULTS@#In the 2470 patients with sepsis, 1966 (79.6%) survived and 504 (20.4%) died in the ICU. Compared with the survivors, the non-survivors had a significantly older mean age, higher proportion of patients receiving mechanical ventilation, and higher initial lactate level, creatinine, urea nitrogen, SOFA score, SAPS-Ⅱ score, OASIS score and LODS score ( < 0.05) but with significantly lower body weight and platelet counts ( < 0.05). The AUCs of the SOFA score, SAPS-Ⅱ score, OASIS score, and LODS score were 0.729 ( < 0.001), 0.768 ( < 0.001), 0.757 ( < 0.001), and 0.739 ( < 0.001), respectively. The AUC of SAPS-Ⅱ score was significantly higher than those of SOFA score (=3.679, < 0.001) and LODS score (=3.698, < 0.001) but was comparable with that of OASIS score (=1.102, =0.271); the AUC of OASIS score was significantly higher than that of LODS score (=2.172, =0.030) and comparable with that of SOFA score (=1.709, =0.088). For predicting ICU mortality in patients without septic shock, the AUC of SAPS-Ⅱ score was 0.769 (0.743-0.793), the highest among the 4 scoring systems; in patients with septic shock, the AUCs SAPS-Ⅱ score and OASIS score, 0.768 (0.745-0.791) and 0.762 (0.738-0.785), respectively, were significantly higher than those of the other two scoring systems. Binomial logistic regression showed the corrected SOFA, SAPS-Ⅱ, and OASIS scores, but not LODS scores, were significantly correlated with ICU mortality in patients with sepsis, and their ORs were 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03-1.14, =0.001), 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02-1.05, < 0.001), 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01-1.06, =0.001), 0.96 (95% CI: 0.89-1.04, =0.350), respectively.@*CONCLUSIONS@#The scores of SOFA, SAPS-Ⅱ, OASIS, and LODS can predict ICU mortality in patients with sepsis, but SAPS-Ⅱ and OASIS scores have better predictive value than SOFA and LODS scores.

The study of the value of Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score in assessing the severity of critical illness patients: a single-center analysis of 470 cases / 中华急诊医学杂志

Objective To explore the value of Oxford acute severity of illness score in evaluating the severity and prognosis of critical illness patients.Methods All adult patients admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine from August 2012 to July 2014 were retrospectively analyzed.The severity in survivors and non-survivors was evaluated by using Oxford acute severity of illness score and APACHE Ⅲ score,and then statistic analysis were performed.Results Of 470 patients,321 (68.297％) were male,the range of age and ((x) ±s) age were 18 to 97 years and (59 ± 18) years respectively,and 123 patients (26.170％) were in non-survivors group and 347 patients in survivors group.The area under the ROC of Oxford acute severity of illness score was 0.760 (95％ CI:0.712-0.808,P ＜ 0.001),and Youden index was biggest when Oxford acute severity of illness score was 30.5.The area under the ROC of APACHE Ⅲ score was 0.844 (95％ CI:0.806-0.882,P ＜ 0.01),and Youden index was biggest when APACHE Ⅲ score was 70.5.Mortality was high (above 70％) as Oxford acute severity of illness score increased (＞ 40),and Spearman r was 0.976 (P ＜ 0.01).Conclusions Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score was useful to evaluating the severity and prognosis of critical illness patients and it was easy in clinical practice.