RESUMO
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics,risk factors and prognosis of patients with persistent inflammation,immune-suppression and catabolism syndrome(PICS)secondary to sepsis in medical intensive care unit(MICU)in initial stage,in order to increase the understanding of PICS and provide the reference experience for the early screening of high-risk patients.Methods A total of 298 elderly patients diagnosed as sepsis admitted into MICU from Aug.2013 to Dec.2016 were retrospectively studied.Of them,97 patients meeting inclusion criteria were ultimately enrolled and separated into the PICS group and the non-PICS group.General and clinical data and laboratory indexes at first day admitted into MICU were compared between the two groups.The indexes between the two groups were analyzed statistically by multivariate logistic regression analysis.The survival-time distributions were estimated by Kaplan-Meier model,and the difference in prognosis was compared between the two groups.Results Of 97 patients,36 patients (37.1%)met the diagnosis of PICS.The acute physiological function and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score had a significant difference between the two groups(27.7±5.8 vs.22.9±6.0,P<0.01).The grade of acute gastrointestinal injury(AGI)were significantly higher in the PICS group than in the non-PICS group(P <0.05).Platelet counts,helper T cell counts and CD4+/CD8+ ratios were significantly lower in the PICS group than in the non-PICS group[(164.39 ± 84.29) × 109/L vs.(235.16 ± 126.89) × 109/L,(238.97± 181.11)/μl vs.(385.93±308.22)/μl,(1.58 ± 1.13) vs.(2.12± 1.23),all P <0.05)].Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that APACHE Ⅱ score was an independent risk factor for PICS and its optimal cut-off value for predicting PICS was 26.5.Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the overall survival was poorer in the PICS group than in non-PICS group in the whole observation phase.The further Kaplan-Meier analysis on survival time of subdivisions showed that the survival of patients at 90-day and 180-day after admission and in stage 1-3 during one year had significant differences between the two groups (P < 0.05).While the survival of patients at 28-day after admission had no significant difference between the two groups(P>0.05).Conclusions The elderly patients with persistent inflammation,immune-suppression,and catabolism syndrome(PICS) secondary to sepsis in medical intensive care unit(MICU)show the higher levels of APACHE Ⅱ score and AGI grade,and lower values of platelet counts,CD4+ T cell counts and CD4+/CD8+ ratio in initial stage.And APACHE Ⅱ score is an independent risk factor for PICS in elderly sepsis patients,and the optimal cut-off value of APACHE Ⅱ score for predicting PICS is 26.5.The prognosis for advanced stage and long term prognosis are poor.It is essential to use APACHE Ⅱ and so on,to timely identify and intervene PICS.