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Is it time to talk about the end of social distancing? A joinpoint analysis of COVID-19 time series in Brazilian capitals
Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça; Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar Figueiredo Mafra; Xavier, Diego Ricardo; Saldanha, Raphael de Freitas; Catão, Rafael de Castro.
Affiliation
  • Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Politécnica de Saúde Joaquim Venâncio. Rio de Janeiro. BR
  • Magalhães, Mônica de Avelar Figueiredo Mafra; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro. BR
  • Xavier, Diego Ricardo; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro. BR
  • Saldanha, Raphael de Freitas; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Rio de Janeiro. BR
  • Catão, Rafael de Castro; Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo. Departamento de Geografia. Vitória. BR
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop ; 53: e20200469, 2020. tab
Article in En | SES-SP, ColecionaSUS, LILACS | ID: biblio-1136817
Responsible library: BR1.1
ABSTRACT
Abstract

INTRODUCTION:

Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists. METHODS We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities. RESULTS All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase. CONCLUSIONS Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions.
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Full text: 1 Index: LILACS Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Social Isolation / Communicable Disease Control / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: America do sul / Brasil Language: En Journal: Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop Journal subject: MEDICINA TROPICAL Year: 2020 Type: Article
Fulltext
Add to My VHL
Print
XML
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Full text: 1 Index: LILACS Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Social Isolation / Communicable Disease Control / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: America do sul / Brasil Language: En Journal: Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop Journal subject: MEDICINA TROPICAL Year: 2020 Type: Article