Covid-19 growth rate analysis: application of a low-complexity tool for understanding and comparing epidemic curves
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
;
53: e20200331, 2020. tab, graf
Article
in English
| SES-SP, ColecionaSUS, LILACS
| ID: biblio-1136846
ABSTRACT
Abstract INTRODUCTION:
The acceleration of new cases is important for the characterization and comparison of epidemic curves. The objective of this study was to quantify the acceleration of daily confirmed cases and death curves using the polynomial interpolation method.METHODS:
Covid-19 epidemic curves from Brazil, Germany, the United States, and Russia were obtained. We calculated the instantaneous acceleration of the curve using the first derivative of the representative polynomial.RESULTS:
The acceleration for all curves was obtained.CONCLUSIONS:
Incorporating acceleration into an analysis of the Covid-19 time series may enable a better understanding of the epidemiological situation.
Full text:
Available
Index:
LILACS (Americas)
Main subject:
Pneumonia, Viral
/
Coronavirus Infections
/
Betacoronavirus
Type of study:
Incidence study
/
Prognostic study
Limits:
Humans
Country/Region as subject:
North America
/
South America
/
Asia
/
Brazil
/
Europa
Language:
English
Journal:
Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop
Year:
2020
Type:
Article
Institution/Affiliation country:
Grupo Baiano de Oncologia/BR
/
Universidade Estadual de Feira de Santana/BR
/
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais/BR
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