Comparative study of the accuracy of Platelet count/ spleen diameter ratio with other non-invasive parameters in predicting large esophageal varices in patients with chronic liver disease

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Bleeding from esophageal varices causes significant mortality and morbidity in patients with chronic liver disease. With upper GI endoscopy not available in many centers and in rural India, certain noninvasive methods can help to aid in the prediction of the presence of large esophageal varices. Early identification of large varices helps in prophylaxis to prevent bleeding until definitive management is done. Here in this study, we are using platelet count/spleen diameter ratio in predicting the large esophageal varices and comparing its sensitivity and specificity with non-invasive parameters. Study This is a cross-sectional study (Prospective study) in a tertiary hospital. Methods: Patients admitted to SSIMS & RC, DAVANAGERE between January 2021 and June 2021 with a diagnosis of chronic liver disease were included in the study. Patients were assessed for ascites, splenomegaly, ultrasonographic measurements like splenic size and portal vein diameter, and laboratory parameters like hemoglobin, platelet count, total bilirubin, prothrombin time and serum albumin. The ratio of platelet count with spleen diameter was calculated. Univariate and multivariate analyses were done. Results: Incidence of large varices were seen in 44%. By ultrasonography, 22 were found to have splenomegaly while 28 were found to have normal spleen dimensions. Patients with large esophageal varices had significantly lower platelet counts as compared to those without. Spleen diameter was greater while platelet count/spleen diameter ratio was lower in patients with large esophageal varices. On multivariate analysis, independent predictors for the presence of large varices were palpable spleen, low platelet count, spleen size >13.8 mm, portal vein >13 mm and splenic vein >11.5 mm. The platelet count/ spleen diameter ratio had a sensitivity and specificity of 87 % and 85% respectively which was more than other parameters. Hence platelet count/ spleen diameter ratio can be a reliable indicator for predicting the presence of large esophageal varices than other non-invasive parameters. Conclusion: Platelet count/ spleen diameter ratio is more accurate and a strong predictor of large esophageal varices than any other non-invasive parameters in patients with chronic liver disease which warrant the need for prophylaxis and early intervention to prevent life-threatening hemorrhage.