How many emergency physicians does Korea need?
Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine
;
: 613-619, 2005.
Article
in Korean
| WPRIM
| ID: wpr-26492
ABSTRACT
PURPOSE:
This research used mathematical modeling to project the supply and demand of emergency physicians over the next decade in Korea.METHODS:
A model was used to project the annual emergency physicians (EP) workforce supply and demand through the year 2015. The mathematical equations used were as follows Supply = number of emergency physicians at the beginning of the year plus annual residency graduates minus annual attrition; Demand formula I = 5.29 fulltime equivalent positions/emergency department (ED) x the number of hospital EDs, Demand formula II = annual ED visits/(4,700visits/EP/year), Demand formula III = (11 to 16 EP per major referral ED) + (6 to 8 EP per urban district/ regional hospital ED).RESULTS:
While the most conservative demand projection was 1,505 EPs in the year 2015, the most aggressive supply estimate with a yearly supply of 120 new EPs and a 1% attrition rate was 1,362 EPs in that year.CONCLUSIONS:
In Korea, emergency physicians will remain in short supply for the next ten years, even at the present levels of EM residency output.
Full text:
Available
Index:
WPRIM (Western Pacific)
Main subject:
Referral and Consultation
/
Emergencies
/
Emergency Medicine
/
Hospitals
/
Internship and Residency
/
Korea
/
Models, Theoretical
Country/Region as subject:
Asia
Language:
Korean
Journal:
Journal of the Korean Society of Emergency Medicine
Year:
2005
Type:
Article
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