Estimation and projection of the HIV epidemic trend among the migrant population in China / 生物医学与环境科学(英文)
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences
;
(12): 343-348, 2011.
Article
in English
| WPRIM
| ID: wpr-306853
ABSTRACT
<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>The migrant population is a vulnerable group for HIV infection in China. Understanding potential epidemic trends among migrants is critical for developing HIV preventative measures in this population.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>The Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) model was used to process prefecture and county-level surveillance data to generate HIV prevalence and epidemic trends for migrant populations in China.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The prevalence of HIV among migrants in 2009 was estimated at 0.075% (95% CI 0.042%, 0.108%) in China. The HIV epidemic among migrants is likely to increase over the next 5 years, with the prevalence expected to reach 0.110% (95% CI 0.070%, 0.150%) by 2015.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Although the 2009 estimates for the HIV/AIDS epidemic in China indicate a slower rate of increase compared with the national HIV/AIDS epidemic, it is estimated to persistently increase among migrants over the next 5 years. Migrants will have a strong impact on the overall future of the HIV epidemic trend in China and evidence-based prevention and monitoring efforts should be expanded for this vulnerable population.</p>
Full text:
Available
Index:
WPRIM (Western Pacific)
Main subject:
Sexual Behavior
/
Transients and Migrants
/
HIV Infections
/
China
/
Epidemiology
/
Prevalence
/
Risk Factors
/
Condoms
/
Safe Sex
/
Epidemics
Type of study:
Etiology study
/
Prevalence study
/
Prognostic study
/
Risk factors
Limits:
Female
/
Humans
/
Male
Country/Region as subject:
Asia
Language:
English
Journal:
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences
Year:
2011
Type:
Article
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