Comparison of modified NIH and AFIP risk-stratification criteria for gastrointestinal stromal tumors: A multicenter retrospective study / 中华胃肠外科杂志

ABSTRACT

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To evaluate and compare the value of Modified NIH criteria and AFIP criteria for the risk classification of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST).</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Clinicopathological and follow-up data of 539 patients diagnosed as primary GIST with or without irregular tyrosine kinase inhibitors in the Nanfang Hospital(n=143), Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (n=138), Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (n=102) and Wuhan Union Hospital (n=156) from January 2012 to December 2015 were retrospectively analyzed. Recurrence risks of these 539 patients were classified by the modified NIH criteria and AFIP criteria. Overall survival and tumor-free survival of patients with different risks were compared by Log-rank test and the accuracy of the two criteria in predicting postoperative recurrence was compared by receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>Of 539 GIST patients, 283 were male and 256 were female; the age was (56.5±12.5) years old; tumors of 390 cases (72.4%) located in the stomach; tumor diameter of 178 cases (33.0%) was more than 5 cm; nuclear division number of 164 cases(30.4%) was more than 5/50 high magnification. The mean follow-up time was (37.5±13.6) months. According to the modified NIH criteria, the mean overall survival time of patients with very low, low, intermediate, and high risk was 52.0, 57.0, 56.9 and 53.6 months respectively (P=0.002), and the mean tumor-free survival time was 56.0, 58.1, 58.2 and 51.2 months respectively (P=0.000). According to the AFIP criteria, the mean overall survival time of patients with very low, low, intermediate, and high risk was 54.1, 57.8, 55.5 and 52.0 months respectively(P=0.015), and the mean tumor-free survival time was 57.3, 56.6, 54.9 and 50.4 months respectively(P=0.000). While predicting the risk of postoperative recurrence, the ROC curve of AFIP criteria has a larger area under the curve compared to the curve of the modified NIH criteria(0.689 vs 0.641, P<0.05).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Compared with the modified NIH criteria, AFIP criteria predicts the risk postoperative recurrence more accurately in GIST patients.</p>