Value of acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡscore and extrapancreatic inflammation on abdominal computed tomography score in predicting outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis / 中国医师进修杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To assess the value of acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ (APACHE-Ⅱ) score and extrapancreatic inflammation on abdominal computed tomography (EPIC) score in predicting outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).Methods One hundred and forty-seven patients with AP who underwent abdominal computed tomography scan within 24 h and acute physiological examination after admission were studied.To assess their value in predicting severe AP and complications,the APACHE Ⅱ score and EPIC score was calculated and evaluated by calculating receiver operator characteristic (ROC)curves,the sensitivity,the specificity,the Youden index and the area under the ROC curve (AUC).Results Forty-three of 147 patients developed severe AP.The mean scores of APACHE-Ⅱ score and EPIC score two criteria systems was significantly higher in severe AP than that in mild AP (P< 0.01).EPIC score had 0.893 sensitivity,0.870 specificity and the largest AUC for predicting severe AP.EPIC score had the largest AUC in predicting local complications.But the EPIC score was equal to the APACHE-Ⅱ score in AUC to predict systemic complications.Conclusion In patients with AP.EPIC score and APACHE-Ⅱ score combination will estimate the prognosis of disease accurately within 24 h of admission.